OKC

2025-26 Season

CASON WALLACE

Oklahoma City Thunder | Guard | 6-3
Cason Wallace
8.5PPG
3.1RPG
2.5APG
26.3MPG
+1.6 Impact

Wallace produces at an above average rate for a 26-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+1.6
Scoring +7.2
Points Scored 8.5 PPG = +8.5
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -3.3
Shot Making above expected FG% = +2.0
Creation +0.6
Assists & Self-Creation 2.5 AST/g + self-creation = +0.6
Turnovers -2.2
Turnovers 0.9/g (live + dead blend) = -2.2
Defense +3.0
Steals 2.0/g = +4.6
Blocks 0.4/g = +0.4
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.0
Hustle & Effort +2.5
Rebounds 3.1 RPG (OREB + DREB) = -1.0
Contested Shots 3.7/g = +0.7
Deflections 3.7/g = +2.4
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.4/g = +0.2
Screen Assists 0.6/g = +0.2
Raw Impact +11.1
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.5
Net Impact
+1.6
67th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 41th
8.5 PPG
Efficiency 39th
53.0% TS
Playmaking 48th
2.5 APG
Rebounding 55th
3.1 RPG
Defense 93th
+11.8/g
Hustle 34th
+7.6/g
Creation 46th
+2.62/g
Shot Making 59th
+7.07/g
TO Discipline 81th
0.04/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Cason Wallace's opening stretch of the season was defined by extreme offensive volatility masked by a relentless, grinding defensive motor. Even when his jumper completely vanishes, he usually finds a way to keep his head above water. During the 12/19 vs LAC matchup, he shot a miserable 1-for-8 from the floor for just 5 points, yet still scraped together a +2.9 Impact score because his perimeter harassment and hustle plays kept the rotation afloat. When his outside shot actually connects, he transforms into an elite role player. On 10/31 vs WAS, Wallace tallied 12 points and 5 rebounds on just seven shot attempts, generating a massive +19.0 Impact by blending that efficient shot selection with his usual gritty defense. Still, his offensive passivity occasionally sinks his overall effectiveness. On 11/12 vs GSW, Wallace sleepwalked to 3 points and a single rebound in 21 minutes, earning a brutal -11.4 Impact as his total lack of scoring punch left the offense entirely stagnant.

This midseason stretch was defined by maddening inconsistency, with Wallace oscillating wildly between passive slumps and sudden shooting explosions. When he finally caught fire, he was devastating. He erupted for 27 points on 02/01 vs DEN, generating an astronomical +32.0 Impact score because his aggressive, decisive perimeter shooting completely warped the opposing defense. Volume didn't always equal value, however. During the 02/04 vs SAS contest, Wallace hoisted his way to 13 points but finished with a -3.2 Impact score, dragged into the negative by inefficient 6-of-16 shooting and forced looks that stalled the offensive flow. Conversely, he occasionally found ways to drive winning basketball without dominating the box score. On 01/22 vs MIL, he earned a robust +6.9 Impact score on just nine points by generating extra possessions through sheer hustle and relentless point-of-attack defense. To stick in the starting lineup permanently, he must bridge the gap between these wild extremes.

This late-season stretch was defined by a volatile transition from a high-usage offensive engine to an erratic bench piece. Wallace looked like a budding star during a blistering late-February run. He peaked on 02/24 vs TOR, racking up 27 points, eight rebounds, and seven assists on hyper-efficient 11-for-16 shooting to drive a massive +23.8 Impact score. Even when his jumper vanished, he occasionally found ways to tilt the floor through sheer grit and playmaking. During his shift to the second unit on 03/15 vs MIN, Wallace managed a +7.6 Impact score despite scoring just four points because he relentlessly crashed the glass for six rebounds and dished out seven assists. Unfortunately, his offensive rhythm frequently collapsed into brutal inefficiency down the stretch. On 04/08 vs LAC, he clanked his way to three points on a dismal 1-for-6 shooting night, yielding a disastrous -13.6 Impact score as his missed shots actively dragged the team down.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Wallace's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~6 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 43% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Wallace consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Slight upward trend. First-half impact: +0.4, second-half: +2.8. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 3 games. Longest cold streak: 6 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 73 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. Fox 59.7 poss
FG% 61.5%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.3
PTS 18
C. Gillespie 58.3 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 4
K. George 54.8 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 3
J. Murray 52.6 poss
FG% 45.5%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.29
PTS 15
D. DiVincenzo 50.1 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 4
C. Sexton 45.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
I. Quickley 42.8 poss
FG% 85.7%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.33
PTS 14
J. Fears 42.1 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 8
L. Dončić 41.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
J. Champagnie 41.4 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

D. Fox 101.8 poss
FG% 53.3%
3P% 37.5%
PPP 0.21
PTS 21
A. Edwards 89.0 poss
FG% 36.8%
3P% 16.7%
PPP 0.21
PTS 19
C. Gillespie 77.8 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 16
K. George 72.9 poss
FG% 41.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 10
J. Harden 62.3 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.21
PTS 13
I. Quickley 53.1 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 11
B. Podziemski 50.9 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 9
C. Sexton 49.4 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 11
L. Dončić 49.3 poss
FG% 27.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 7
P. Pritchard 47.5 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 10

SEASON STATS

87
Games
8.5
PPG
3.1
RPG
2.5
APG
2.0
SPG
0.4
BPG
43.7
FG%
36.6
3P%
81.4
FT%
26.3
MPG

GAME LOG

87 games played