OKC

2025-26 Season

CASON WALLACE

Oklahoma City Thunder | Guard | 6-3
Cason Wallace
8.6 PPG
3.1 RPG
2.7 APG
26.9 MPG
+1.1 Impact

Wallace produces at an above average rate for a 27-minute workload. Elite defensive value (+3.8/game) is a major strength.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+1.1
Scoring +4.7
Points 8.6 PPG × +1.00 = +8.6
Missed 2PT 1.9/g × -0.78 = -1.5
Missed 3PT 2.5/g × -0.87 = -2.2
Missed FT 0.2/g × -1.00 = -0.2
Creation +2.4
Assists 2.7/g × +0.50 = +1.4
Off. Rebounds 0.8/g × +1.26 = +1.0
Turnovers -1.9
Turnovers 1.0/g × -1.95 = -1.9
Defense +3.8
Steals 2.0/g × +2.30 = +4.6
Blocks 0.4/g × +0.90 = +0.4
Def. Rebounds 2.3/g × +0.30 = +0.7
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +4.4
Contested Shots 4.4/g × +0.20 = +0.9
Deflections 4.4/g × +0.65 = +2.9
Loose Balls 0.5/g × +0.60 = +0.3
Screen Assists 0.7/g × +0.30 = +0.2
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.1/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.1
Raw Impact +13.4
Baseline (game-average expected) −12.3
Net Impact
+1.1
82th pctl vs Guards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 44th
8.6 PPG
Efficiency 36th
52.8% TS
Playmaking 50th
2.7 APG
Rebounding 55th
3.1 RPG
Rim Protection 98th
0.21/min
Hustle 93th
0.16/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 80th
0.04/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Cason Wallace spent his first 20 games locked in a frustrating tug-of-war between elite point-of-attack defense and crippling offensive hesitancy. He is an absolute menace guarding the ball. Look at 10/30 vs WAS, where his smothering perimeter defense completely short-circuited the opponent's transition game, generating a massive +14.1 impact score alongside 12 points. Even when his shot volume vanished, his relentless motor could salvage his nightly value. During 11/05 vs POR, he managed a highly positive +4.3 impact despite scoring just 5 points because his elite hustle metrics kept his floor remarkably stable. However, his reluctance to attack off the bounce frequently derailed the offense. This passivity bottomed out during 01/19 vs CLE, resulting in a steep -11.2 impact score as his failure to generate advantages left the unit entirely stagnant. Until he consistently hunts his own shots, his nightly effectiveness will continue to wildly fluctuate.

An agonizing offensive slump defined this stretch for Cason Wallace, forcing him to rely entirely on sheer defensive grit to stay on the floor. During the 12/17 vs LAC matchup, he managed a +2.7 impact despite scoring just 5 points on abysmal 1-for-8 shooting. Relentless hustle plays and elite point-of-attack pressure completely offset his broken jumper, allowing him to create crucial value without putting the ball in the basket. That defensive safety net eventually snapped on 12/23 vs SAS. His perimeter brick-laying severely damaged the team's floor spacing, resulting in a staggering -10.9 impact as his offensive ineptitude became too heavy for his defense to carry. He finally found a brief offensive pulse on 12/29 vs ATL, dropping 17 points and generating a +5.3 impact. By punishing sagging defenders with lethal, high-efficiency corner execution, he briefly reminded everyone what a balanced version of his game looks like.

A chaotic offensive rollercoaster defined this twenty-game stretch for Cason Wallace, where his elite point-of-attack defense constantly warred against his own erratic shot selection. When his jumper caught fire, he looked like an absolute star. He erupted for 27 points and a massive +18.3 impact score vs DEN on 02/01 because his lethal outside shot-making completely shattered the opposing defensive scheme. Yet, a glaring inability to finish through contact routinely dragged him down on other nights. Look no further than his outing vs SAS on 02/04, where poor shot selection yielded a -4.3 impact score despite him tallying an above-average 13 points. Thankfully, he often rescued his overall value through sheer defensive terror. During a brutal shooting night vs ORL on 02/03, Wallace generated immense pressure on opposing ball handlers to salvage a +4.7 impact score while scoring just 5 points. He remains a wildly disruptive perimeter force, but his offensive aggression must stabilize.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Wallace's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~6 points per game.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 39% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Defensive difference-maker. Wallace consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 73 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. Fox 59.7 poss
FG% 61.5%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.3
PTS 18
C. Gillespie 58.3 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 4
K. George 54.8 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 3
J. Murray 52.6 poss
FG% 45.5%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.29
PTS 15
D. DiVincenzo 50.1 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 4
C. Sexton 45.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
I. Quickley 42.8 poss
FG% 85.7%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.33
PTS 14
J. Fears 42.1 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 8
L. Dončić 41.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
J. Champagnie 41.4 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

D. Fox 101.8 poss
FG% 53.3%
3P% 37.5%
PPP 0.21
PTS 21
A. Edwards 89.0 poss
FG% 36.8%
3P% 16.7%
PPP 0.21
PTS 19
C. Gillespie 77.8 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 16
K. George 72.9 poss
FG% 41.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 10
J. Harden 62.3 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.21
PTS 13
I. Quickley 53.1 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 11
B. Podziemski 50.9 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 9
C. Sexton 49.4 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 11
L. Dončić 49.3 poss
FG% 27.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 7
P. Pritchard 47.5 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 10

SEASON STATS

73
Games
8.6
PPG
3.1
RPG
2.7
APG
2.0
SPG
0.4
BPG
43.2
FG%
34.5
3P%
81.2
FT%
26.9
MPG

GAME LOG

73 games played