OKC

2025-26 Season

SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER

Oklahoma City Thunder | Guard | 6-6
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
30.8PPG
4.1RPG
6.7APG
33.7MPG
+26.4 Impact

Gilgeous-Alexander produces at an elite rate for a 34-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+26.4
Scoring +29.8
Points Scored 30.8 PPG = +30.8
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -6.9
Shot Making above expected FG% = +5.9
Creation +3.0
Assists & Self-Creation 6.7 AST/g + self-creation = +3.0
Turnovers -5.4
Turnovers 2.3/g (live + dead blend) = -5.4
Defense +1.8
Steals 1.4/g = +3.2
Blocks 0.8/g = +0.7
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.1
Hustle & Effort +2.6
Rebounds 4.1 RPG (OREB + DREB) = -0.2
Contested Shots 3.6/g = +0.7
Deflections 2.4/g = +1.6
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.7/g = +0.4
Screen Assists 0.2/g = +0.1
Raw Impact +31.8
Baseline (game-average expected) −5.4
Net Impact
+26.4
100th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 99th
30.8 PPG
Efficiency 99th
66.6% TS
Playmaking 94th
6.7 APG
Rebounding 79th
4.1 RPG
Defense 69th
+9.2/g
Hustle 68th
+10.5/g
Creation 98th
+6.27/g
Shot Making 83th
+8.94/g
TO Discipline 30th
0.07/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander opened the 2025-26 season on a terrifying offensive rampage, transforming into an unstoppable scoring machine. Look at the 10/23 vs IND matchup, where he exploded for 55 points and 8 rebounds in 45 grueling minutes. That marathon performance yielded a staggering +52.1 Impact score, driven by a relentless volume of shots and sheer offensive gravity that completely warped Indiana's defensive scheme. He was equally lethal when operating with surgical precision, like on 11/24 vs POR. He dropped 37 points and 7 assists on a blistering 13-of-18 from the floor, generating a massive +46.5 Impact score because nearly every touch resulted in a high-value bucket or an open look for a teammate. Even on his quietest nights, his floor game kept the offense afloat. During the 10/27 vs DAL game, he managed a modest 23 points on sluggish 10-of-22 shooting. Yet, he still salvaged a +12.9 Impact score by dishing out 8 assists and grinding through defensive possessions when his jumper temporarily abandoned him.

This midseason stretch was defined by sheer offensive tyranny, as Shai Gilgeous-Alexander evolved into a hyper-efficient scoring machine. His absolute apex arrived on 01/22 vs MIL, where he torched the defense for 40 points and 11 assists on a staggering 16-of-19 shooting to generate a massive +50.2 Impact score. That astronomical rating stemmed directly from his flawless shot selection and elite playmaking, punishing every rotation without forcing bad looks. He wasn't always a machine, though. During a sluggish outing on 01/05 vs PHX, Gilgeous-Alexander still managed 25 points, but his heavy volume of missed jumpers—going 8-of-22 from the floor—dragged his Impact down to a modest +9.2. He quickly corrected those bad habits, erupting on 01/24 vs IND for 47 points and a +48.2 Impact. When his shot selection matches his relentless aggression, nobody can guard him.

This late-season stretch was defined by absolute offensive mastery, as Shai Gilgeous-Alexander toggled effortlessly between ruthless scoring and elite playmaking. His brilliant orchestration peaked on 03/09 vs DEN. He carved up the defense for 35 points and 15 assists on 14-of-21 shooting, earning a staggering +41.9 Impact score because he generated pristine looks without forcing bad shots. He was not entirely immune to poor decisions, however, as seen during a frustrating 03/28 vs CHI matchup. Gilgeous-Alexander bricked all 10 of his three-point attempts en route to an 8-for-24 shooting night. This stubborn shot selection and the resulting wasted possessions dragged his Impact down to a pedestrian +11.6 despite scoring 25 points. He quickly erased that memory on 03/30 vs DET. Erupting for 47 points on just 19 field goal attempts, he attacked the rim relentlessly to draw fouls and generate a massive +46.8 Impact.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Very consistent. Gilgeous-Alexander posts positive impact in 99% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~7 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.

Reliable shooter — hits 45%+ from the field in 82% of games. You can count on efficient nights more often than not.

Defensive difference-maker. Gilgeous-Alexander consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +28.9, second-half: +23.8. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

Hot right now — 5 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 72 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 64 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

T. Camara 138.2 poss
FG% 65.5%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.37
PTS 51
S. Castle 109.9 poss
FG% 31.6%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 24
C. Braun 102.3 poss
FG% 53.3%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.41
PTS 42
J. McDaniels 98.8 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.32
PTS 32
A. Edwards 77.0 poss
FG% 55.6%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 17
H. Jones 75.3 poss
FG% 45.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 16
D. Daniels 70.8 poss
FG% 64.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 19
R. Westbrook 63.8 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 17
A. Thompson 59.6 poss
FG% 53.8%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.3
PTS 18
J. Wells 59.4 poss
FG% 64.3%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.4
PTS 24

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

T. Camara 97.5 poss
FG% 30.0%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 7
J. McDaniels 88.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.21
PTS 19
H. Jones 68.7 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.22
PTS 15
D. Vassell 66.7 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 8
S. Mykhailiuk 59.6 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 14.3%
PPP 0.08
PTS 5
C. Braun 56.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.09
PTS 5
R. O'Neale 56.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Champagnie 54.3 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.04
PTS 2
P. Larsson 52.1 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 11
D. DiVincenzo 51.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 22.2%
PPP 0.19
PTS 10

SEASON STATS

78
Games
30.8
PPG
4.1
RPG
6.7
APG
1.4
SPG
0.8
BPG
54.5
FG%
37.5
3P%
87.8
FT%
33.7
MPG

GAME LOG

78 games played