CLE

2025-26 Season

JAMES HARDEN

Cleveland Cavaliers | Guard | 6-5
James Harden
22.9PPG
4.8RPG
7.7APG
35.1MPG
+11.3 Impact

Harden produces at an elite rate for a 35-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+11.3
Scoring +20.6
Points Scored 22.9 PPG = +22.9
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -7.0
Shot Making above expected FG% = +4.7
Creation +2.8
Assists & Self-Creation 7.7 AST/g + self-creation = +2.8
Turnovers -8.4
Turnovers 3.6/g (live + dead blend) = -8.4
Defense +1.4
Steals 1.2/g = +2.8
Blocks 0.4/g = +0.4
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.8
Hustle & Effort +2.9
Rebounds 4.8 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +1.1
Contested Shots 2.6/g = +0.5
Deflections 1.5/g = +1.0
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.6/g = +0.3
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +19.3
Baseline (game-average expected) −8.0
Net Impact
+11.3
94th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 95th
22.9 PPG
Efficiency 93th
61.4% TS
Playmaking 98th
7.7 APG
Rebounding 87th
4.8 RPG
Defense 85th
+10.8/g
Hustle 82th
+12.9/g
Creation 99th
+6.86/g
Shot Making 99th
+13.24/g
TO Discipline 6th
0.10/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

James Harden opened the 2025-26 campaign on a vintage, high-usage hot streak that felt plucked straight out of his prime. He completely torched the opposition on 11/22 vs CHA, erupting for 55 points on a blistering 10-of-16 from beyond the arc. That masterclass generated a staggering +54.3 Impact score because his shot selection was absolutely lethal. A week earlier, he logged a grueling 51 minutes on 11/15 vs DAL to rack up 41 points, 14 rebounds, and 11 assists. His +41.1 Impact in that marathon stemmed from sheer offensive volume and relentless playmaking. However, this heavy burden occasionally backfired. On 11/09 vs PHX, Harden managed 13 assists but still posted a dismal -8.8 Impact score. That negative mark was driven entirely by a brutal 4-for-15 shooting night, as his reliance on contested perimeter isolation dragged the overall offense into the mud.

James Harden spent this mid-season stretch waging a stubborn war against his own shooting efficiency. Despite the frequent bricklaying, he somehow orchestrated enough offense to keep his overall value afloat. Look no further than the 01/21 vs CHI matchup, where he chucked his way to 24 points on a brutal 9-for-25 from the floor. That relentless gunning dragged his value down to a -1.0 Impact score, as the hidden costs of wasted offensive possessions completely negated his scoring output. Conversely, his true worth as a maestro emerged whenever he finally reined in his shot selection. During the 01/28 vs UTA contest, he scored a modest 16 points, but his 10 assists and careful playmaking generated a stellar +14.6 Impact. He reached his absolute peak during the 01/19 vs WAS game, pouring in 36 points and 9 assists on a tidy 9-for-17 shooting night to post a massive +27.2 Impact. The Beard is no longer an unstoppable scoring machine, but his floor-general instincts still make him a highly effective offensive engine.

This late-season stretch was defined by James Harden's masterful transition from a pure volume scorer into a calculating, high-leverage floor general. He still had nights where his legs looked heavy, like the 03/15 vs DAL matchup where he forced bad jumpers to shoot just 4-for-12, dragging his effectiveness down to a brutal -11.5 Impact. Yet, when he ruthlessly picked his spots, he completely dictated the terms of engagement. During the 03/17 vs MIL game, he operated with surgical precision, pouring in 27 points on a hyper-efficient 7-for-10 shooting night to generate a staggering +26.1 Impact. Even when his scoring vanished, his veteran cunning salvaged his minutes. Take the 03/30 vs UTA contest, where he managed a mere 13 points but still posted a +7.2 Impact by tearing apart the defense with 14 assists. He might lack the explosive isolation burst of his prime, but his elite court vision keeps his offensive engine humming.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Very consistent. Harden posts positive impact in 88% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~8 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 41% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Harden consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +14.1, second-half: +8.4. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 19 games. Longest cold streak: 2 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 67 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

N. Marshall 118.7 poss
FG% 68.8%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.22
PTS 26
J. Wells 116.9 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 45.5%
PPP 0.18
PTS 21
D. Mitchell 104.3 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 20
S. James 65.0 poss
FG% 47.4%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.34
PTS 22
D. Daniels 63.0 poss
FG% 53.8%
3P% 55.6%
PPP 0.3
PTS 19
A. Thompson 62.4 poss
FG% 30.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 15
C. Wallace 62.3 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.21
PTS 13
T. Camara 61.9 poss
FG% 71.4%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 15
P. Banchero 60.8 poss
FG% 76.9%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.44
PTS 27
M. Smart 59.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.25
PTS 15

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

C. Flagg 76.3 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 18
J. Wells 73.6 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 19
N. Marshall 65.7 poss
FG% 70.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 15
L. James 63.0 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.14
PTS 9
D. Daniels 62.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Wiggins 58.7 poss
FG% 72.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 20
L. Dončić 57.7 poss
FG% 35.0%
3P% 16.7%
PPP 0.26
PTS 15
D. Mitchell 55.2 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 5
J. Brown 54.4 poss
FG% 63.6%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.28
PTS 15
B. Sensabaugh 49.0 poss
FG% 22.2%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 4

SEASON STATS

82
Games
22.9
PPG
4.8
RPG
7.7
APG
1.2
SPG
0.4
BPG
43.1
FG%
37.0
3P%
87.9
FT%
35.1
MPG

GAME LOG

82 games played