OKC

2025-26 Season

JALEN WILLIAMS

Oklahoma City Thunder | Guard-Forward | 6-5
Jalen Williams
17.1PPG
4.5RPG
5.2APG
27.9MPG
+7.0 Impact

Williams produces at an elite rate for a 28-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+7.0
Scoring +15.0
Points Scored 17.1 PPG = +17.1
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -5.3
Shot Making above expected FG% = +3.2
Creation +1.7
Assists & Self-Creation 5.2 AST/g + self-creation = +1.7
Turnovers -4.1
Turnovers 1.8/g (live + dead blend) = -4.1
Defense +1.5
Steals 1.2/g = +2.8
Blocks 0.3/g = +0.3
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.6
Hustle & Effort +2.9
Rebounds 4.5 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +0.3
Contested Shots 2.6/g = +0.5
Deflections 2.6/g = +1.7
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.4/g = +0.3
Screen Assists 0.3/g = +0.1
Raw Impact +17.0
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.0
Net Impact
+7.0
85th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 84th
17.1 PPG
Efficiency 56th
55.2% TS
Playmaking 84th
5.2 APG
Rebounding 83th
4.5 RPG
Defense 65th
+8.9/g
Hustle 41th
+7.9/g
Creation 85th
+4.29/g
Shot Making 58th
+7.04/g
TO Discipline 35th
0.06/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Jalen Williams spent the opening stretch of the 2025-26 season shaking off early shooting rust to morph into a highly efficient offensive engine. The campaign began with a clunky performance on 11/29 vs PHX, where a dismal 3-for-12 shooting night yielded just 11 points and dragged his overall impact down to a sluggish -4.2. He bounced back the very next night on 11/30 vs POR. Despite scoring a modest 16 points on 18 shots, he still scraped together a +4.1 impact by crashing the glass for eight rebounds and keeping the offense moving with five assists. His absolute peak arrived shortly after on 12/08 vs UTA. Tearing apart the defense for 25 points and eight assists in a mere 25 minutes, Williams generated a massive +24.2 impact score driven by ruthless scoring efficiency. Even when his jumper temporarily abandoned him, his relentless hustle and playmaking kept his nightly value incredibly high.

Jalen Williams spent this eleven-game stretch transforming into the ultimate offensive connector, thriving entirely inside the arc while his three-point shot abandoned him. Even when his jumper failed him on 12/28 vs PHI, he managed a stellar +8.4 impact by generating extra possessions through relentless hustle and distributing six assists. He reached his apex on 01/05 vs PHX. Carving up the defense for 23 points and seven assists on hyper-efficient 9-for-13 shooting, he posted a massive +12.0 impact. Heavy usage occasionally exposed his limitations, however. Look at his grueling 41-minute shift on 01/08 vs UTA. Williams stuffed the box score with 17 points and eight assists, yet he recorded a -1.2 impact because of forced, inefficient shot selection on a 6-for-15 shooting night. When he plays within himself and attacks the paint, Williams is a devastating secondary star, but he bleeds value when asked to force the issue.

Jalen Williams spent this erratic mid-season stretch wrestling with his offensive identity, oscillating wildly between broken jumper and unstoppable force. The growing pains were glaring on 01/16 vs HOU. During that contest, a brutal 2-for-11 shooting night tanked his overall value to a -4.5 Impact, as his terrible shot selection completely negated the impressive 10 assists he handed out. He quickly abandoned that hesitation and morphed into an absolute buzzsaw a month later. On 02/11 vs PHX, Williams erupted for 28 points on a near-flawless 11-of-12 from the floor, generating a massive +26.2 Impact by ruthlessly punishing the defense with perfect efficiency. Even when his scorer's touch vanished down the stretch, he learned to manipulate the game through sheer effort. Facing off on 04/02 vs LAL, he tallied a mere 10 points on 4-of-10 shooting but still posted a +6.9 Impact. He salvaged his value in that matchup by crashing the glass for nine rebounds and threading eight assists, finding ways to dominate the margins without forcing bad shots.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Very consistent. Williams posts positive impact in 84% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~6 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 61% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Williams consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 17 games. Longest cold streak: 2 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 30 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. Fox 87.1 poss
FG% 45.5%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 14
C. Coward 43.7 poss
FG% 31.2%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 11
R. O'Neale 43.2 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 8
D. Brooks 41.0 poss
FG% 62.5%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.44
PTS 18
K. Murray 37.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 8
S. Castle 35.5 poss
FG% 30.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 9
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 8
S. Mykhailiuk 30.1 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 8
J. Goodwin 30.0 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 8
A. Edwards 28.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 4

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

D. Brooks 63.1 poss
FG% 46.2%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.27
PTS 17
R. O'Neale 57.0 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 11
V. Wembanyama 55.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 14
S. Castle 52.9 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 13
A. Wiggins 38.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 7
J. Jackson Jr. 33.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 6
P. George 32.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
K. George 30.7 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 7
R. Hachimura 29.8 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
L. Markkanen 28.9 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.35
PTS 10

SEASON STATS

37
Games
17.1
PPG
4.5
RPG
5.2
APG
1.2
SPG
0.3
BPG
48.9
FG%
31.8
3P%
83.5
FT%
27.9
MPG

GAME LOG

37 games played