OKC

2025-26 Season

AARON WIGGINS

Oklahoma City Thunder | Guard | 6-5
Aaron Wiggins
9.7 PPG
3.2 RPG
1.7 APG
22.2 MPG
-1.2 Impact

Wiggins produces at an below average rate for a 22-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-1.2
Scoring +5.4
Points 9.7 PPG × +1.00 = +9.7
Missed 2PT 2.0/g × -0.78 = -1.6
Missed 3PT 2.7/g × -0.87 = -2.4
Missed FT 0.3/g × -1.00 = -0.3
Creation +1.8
Assists 1.7/g × +0.50 = +0.8
Off. Rebounds 0.8/g × +1.26 = +1.0
Turnovers -2.5
Turnovers 1.3/g × -1.95 = -2.5
Defense +1.3
Steals 0.9/g × +2.30 = +2.1
Blocks 0.4/g × +0.90 = +0.4
Def. Rebounds 2.4/g × +0.30 = +0.7
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +2.5
Contested Shots 4.1/g × +0.20 = +0.8
Deflections 1.7/g × +0.65 = +1.1
Loose Balls 0.6/g × +0.60 = +0.4
Screen Assists 0.3/g × +0.30 = +0.1
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.0/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.1
Raw Impact +8.5
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.7
Net Impact
-1.2
52th pctl vs Guards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 51th
9.7 PPG
Efficiency 39th
53.2% TS
Playmaking 28th
1.7 APG
Rebounding 56th
3.2 RPG
Rim Protection 84th
0.16/min
Hustle 58th
0.11/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 46th
0.06/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

A chaotic pendulum swing between lethal shooting and invisible passivity defined Aaron Wiggins's early season. He bounced between the starting lineup and the bench, oscillating wildly in his overall effectiveness based entirely on his defensive engagement and shot selection. During the 11/02 vs NOP matchup, he poured in 15 points efficiently, yet posted a -3.2 impact score because poor defensive rotations gave back all his offensive gains. Just three days later on 11/05 vs POR, he caught fire as an absolute flamethrower. His pristine shot selection and quick trigger fueled a massive +19.9 impact alongside a 27-point explosion. He can still generate immense value without dominating the box score, provided he stays locked in on the other end of the floor. Look at his 01/19 vs CLE start, where a quiet 12 points translated to a highly positive +6.7 impact because his relentless defensive disruption anchored the perimeter.

Erratic shot selection and a frustrating inability to string together consistent offensive performances defined this turbulent midseason stretch for Aaron Wiggins. His worst moments arrived when he completely abandoned the flow of the offense. This habit was glaringly obvious during the 01/25 vs TOR matchup, where an uncharacteristic barrage of forced, contested threes dragged him to a brutal -7.7 impact score. He fell into a similar trap during the 02/07 vs HOU game, tallying 17 points but posting a -2.1 impact because his tendency to force contested looks early in the clock routinely derailed the team's offensive rhythm. Those hidden costs constantly undermined his box score totals. Yet, when he actually played within himself and locked in on the other end, his two-way ceiling was undeniable. During the 02/04 vs SAS contest, he exploded for 20 points and a massive +7.6 impact score, driven largely by suffocating perimeter defense and highly efficient shot selection. If Wiggins wants to escape the negative margins, he must realize that defensive versatility means nothing when reckless perimeter shooting shoots his own team in the foot.

This stretch of the season was defined by maddening inconsistency, as Aaron Wiggins vacillated between a disruptive hustle player and a wildly inefficient chucker. When thrust into the starting lineup on 02/25 vs DET, his 20 points felt entirely hollow. A brutal 6-for-16 shooting night masked his high usage, dragging his overall impact down to -2.3 because his forced looks actively derailed the team's half-court rhythm. Conversely, he found ways to salvage ugly offensive nights through sheer grit, like his performance on 03/07 vs GSW. Despite scoring just 9 points on a clunky 3-for-9 from the floor, he posted a +3.2 impact score by shifting his focus to phenomenal hustle plays and connective passing. He struck a much better offensive balance on 03/03 vs CHI, where his 18 points generated a massive +8.2 impact. Even though he missed all five of his three-point attempts that night, relentless rim pressure and brilliant off-ball cutting completely offset his broken perimeter stroke.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Wiggins's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~6 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 46% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Wiggins consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 3 games. Longest cold streak: 10 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 65 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

T. Murphy III 48.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 10
S. Castle 38.6 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.26
PTS 10
L. Kennard 34.9 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 4
J. Smith Jr. 34.2 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 9
J. Champagnie 32.0 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.16
PTS 5
N. Traore 29.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
H. Barnes 28.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Hardaway Jr. 26.1 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
C. Spencer 26.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
G. Santos 24.1 poss
FG% 16.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

T. Murphy III 48.2 poss
FG% 12.5%
3P% 16.7%
PPP 0.06
PTS 3
J. Smith Jr. 37.7 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 13
L. Kennard 33.2 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 6
K. Johnson 32.1 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 6
S. Castle 29.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 8
J. Champagnie 29.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 3
J. Goodwin 28.6 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 83.3%
PPP 0.73
PTS 21
J. Grant 27.5 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 3
J. Tyson 26.7 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 9
H. Barnes 26.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

60
Games
9.7
PPG
3.2
RPG
1.7
APG
0.9
SPG
0.4
BPG
43.4
FG%
35.7
3P%
74.3
FT%
22.2
MPG

GAME LOG

60 games played