OKC

2025-26 Season

AARON WIGGINS

Oklahoma City Thunder | Guard | 6-5
Aaron Wiggins
8.4PPG
2.7RPG
1.5APG
19.7MPG
-2.7 Impact

Wiggins produces at an below average rate for a 20-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-2.7
Scoring +7.0
Points Scored 8.4 PPG = +8.4
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -3.4
Shot Making above expected FG% = +2.0
Creation +0.5
Assists & Self-Creation 1.5 AST/g + self-creation = +0.5
Turnovers -2.6
Turnovers 1.1/g (live + dead blend) = -2.6
Defense +0.9
Steals 0.8/g = +1.8
Blocks 0.4/g = +0.4
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.3
Hustle & Effort +1.7
Rebounds 2.7 RPG (OREB + DREB) = -0.3
Contested Shots 3.4/g = +0.7
Deflections 1.4/g = +0.9
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.5/g = +0.3
Screen Assists 0.2/g = +0.1
Raw Impact +7.5
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.2
Net Impact
-2.7
42th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 48th
9.2 PPG
Efficiency 38th
52.8% TS
Playmaking 28th
1.7 APG
Rebounding 53th
3.0 RPG
Defense 82th
+10.3/g
Hustle 34th
+7.6/g
Creation 46th
+2.63/g
Shot Making 72th
+7.99/g
TO Discipline 50th
0.06/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Aaron Wiggins spent the first quarter of the season riding a chaotic pendulum between explosive spot-starts and invisible bench minutes. When given the green light with the first unit, he could be lethal, erupting for 27 points on 7-of-10 shooting from beyond the arc on 11/06 vs POR. That blistering perimeter efficiency and decisive shot selection drove a massive +18.9 Impact score. Unfortunately, his transition back to a permanent reserve role brought severe inconsistency. He completely lost his rhythm during a brutal outing on 01/01 vs POR, bricking all five of his field goal attempts to generate a dismal -8.7 Impact. Even when his scoring numbers bounced back, hidden costs continued to drag down his overall effectiveness. On 01/03 vs GSW, Wiggins tallied 15 points, yet still posted a -1.5 Impact because empty offensive possessions and poor two-point finishing heavily eroded his value. To stick in the rotation, he desperately needs to find a middle ground between scorching the nets and actively stalling the offense.

This midseason stretch was defined by Aaron Wiggins bouncing erratically between the starting lineup and the bench, producing wild swings in effectiveness that lived and died with his jump shot. When he found his rhythm, he was a massive difference-maker. During the 01/18 vs MIA matchup, he poured in 18 points on highly efficient 7-of-10 shooting to generate a stellar +11.2 Impact score. He reached a similar peak on 02/04 vs SAS, logging a +11.5 Impact score by pairing 20 points with six assists in a heavy 38-minute workload. However, when the three-ball refused to drop, his value plummeted. Look at his performance on 01/26 vs TOR, where a brutal 2-for-9 night from deep resulted in a -8.2 Impact score; the hidden cost of those wasted offensive possessions completely negated his double-digit 11 points. He hit absolute rock bottom on 02/24 vs TOR with an abysmal -15.2 Impact score, punishing his team through forced shots and a glaring lack of rebounding.

Aaron Wiggins spent this late-season stretch riding a brutal pendulum between spot-starting heroics and bench-warming anonymity. Volume did not guarantee value. Look at the 02/25 vs DET matchup, where he racked up 20 points and 6 assists but scraped together a tepid +1.1 Impact score. That lackluster rating stemmed directly from his erratic shot selection, as he clanked 10 of his 16 field goal attempts and forced bad looks from deep. Conversely, he found ways to dominate without an outside jumper during the 03/03 vs CHI game. Despite missing all five of his three-pointers, Wiggins posted a massive +17.3 Impact by relentlessly attacking the glass for 7 rebounds and distributing 4 assists to keep the offense humming. Then came the collapse. Starting the 04/12 vs PHX matchup, a catastrophic 1-for-7 shooting night yielded just 3 points, resulting in a disastrous -17.0 Impact that completely erased the value of his five assists.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Wiggins's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~6 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 47% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Wiggins locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: -0.2, second-half: -5.2. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

In a rough stretch — 10 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 10 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 65 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

T. Murphy III 48.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 10
S. Castle 38.6 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.26
PTS 10
L. Kennard 34.9 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 4
J. Smith Jr. 34.2 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 9
J. Champagnie 32.0 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.16
PTS 5
N. Traore 29.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
H. Barnes 28.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Hardaway Jr. 26.1 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
C. Spencer 26.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
G. Santos 24.1 poss
FG% 16.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

T. Murphy III 48.2 poss
FG% 12.5%
3P% 16.7%
PPP 0.06
PTS 3
J. Smith Jr. 37.7 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 13
L. Kennard 33.2 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 6
K. Johnson 32.1 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 6
S. Castle 29.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 8
J. Champagnie 29.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 3
J. Goodwin 28.6 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 83.3%
PPP 0.73
PTS 21
J. Grant 27.5 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 3
J. Tyson 26.7 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 9
H. Barnes 26.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

74
Games
8.4
PPG
2.7
RPG
1.5
APG
0.8
SPG
0.4
BPG
43.1
FG%
35.0
3P%
73.6
FT%
19.7
MPG

GAME LOG

74 games played