OKC

2025-26 Season

JARED MCCAIN

Oklahoma City Thunder | Guard | 6-3
Jared McCain
8.4 PPG
2.1 RPG
1.4 APG
17.4 MPG
-1.7 Impact

McCain produces at an below average rate for a 17-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-1.7
Scoring +4.9
Points 8.4 PPG × +1.00 = +8.4
Missed 2PT 1.8/g × -0.78 = -1.4
Missed 3PT 2.3/g × -0.87 = -2.0
Missed FT 0.1/g × -1.00 = -0.1
Creation +1.3
Assists 1.4/g × +0.50 = +0.7
Off. Rebounds 0.5/g × +1.26 = +0.6
Turnovers -1.6
Turnovers 0.8/g × -1.95 = -1.6
Defense -0.2
Steals 0.5/g × +2.30 = +1.1
Blocks 0.1/g × +0.90 = +0.1
Def. Rebounds 1.6/g × +0.30 = +0.5
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +1.3
Contested Shots 2.0/g × +0.20 = +0.4
Deflections 0.9/g × +0.65 = +0.6
Loose Balls 0.4/g × +0.60 = +0.2
Screen Assists 0.3/g × +0.30 = +0.1
Raw Impact +5.7
Baseline (game-average expected) −7.4
Net Impact
-1.7
46th pctl vs Guards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 44th
8.6 PPG
Efficiency 27th
51.3% TS
Playmaking 20th
1.4 APG
Rebounding 24th
2.1 RPG
Rim Protection 39th
0.10/min
Hustle 24th
0.08/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 66th
0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

A maddening inconsistency and a penchant for trigger-happy shot selection defined Jared McCain's early-season slump. Despite logging 28 minutes on 11/30 vs ATL, he completely derailed the second unit's momentum with stagnant decision-making, resulting in a staggering -11.7 impact score. Even when his jumper caught fire, hidden costs dragged him down. During his 11/23 vs MIA appearance, a 15-point scoring effort was entirely erased by a porous defensive showing that yielded a -4.4 impact. The lone bright spot arrived on 11/28 vs BKN. He poured in 20 points and generated a massive +14.3 impact score because he finally paired his aggressive perimeter shooting with an absolute two-way masterclass. By the time he earned a rare start on 12/23 vs BKN, his ferocious point-of-attack defense and relentless loose-ball recoveries (+6.8 hustle) nearly salvaged a dreadful 3-for-11 shooting night, keeping his net impact at a manageable -1.1.

This mid-season stretch was defined by extreme volatility, with Jared McCain oscillating between looking completely unplayable and catching fire as a lethal bench sparkplug. Early January was brutal, perfectly captured by a disastrous -8.8 impact score on 01/05 vs DEN where passive offensive positioning and a complete inability to break down his defender crippled the second unit. Even when his jumper started falling, hidden costs persisted. During 01/26 vs CHA, he poured in 16 points but still posted a -2.2 impact score because underlying structural issues dragged down his net rating despite the sizzling perimeter shot-making. He finally put the pieces together late in the stretch. On 02/20 vs BKN, McCain erupted for 21 points and a massive +12.1 impact score. That unexpected offensive explosion completely tilted the game, driven by supreme confidence on catch-and-shoot opportunities rather than forcing bad looks against set defenses.

Jared McCain’s midseason stretch was defined by sheer volatility, swinging wildly between game-breaking perimeter barrages and disastrous cold spells. When his shot fell, he was electric, like during the 03/18 vs BKN matchup where a blistering 5-for-9 shooting display from deep fueled a massive +13.8 impact score. Even when his jumper betrayed him, he occasionally found ways to contribute. During the 02/25 vs DET game, he shot an inefficient 6-for-16 from the field but still managed a +6.4 impact score because relentless off-ball movement and hustle plays salvaged his night. But his aggression often carried a steep price. He dropped a solid 13 points on 03/23 vs PHI, yet severe defensive bleeding during his shifts erased his scoring spike and dragged his net impact down to a -2.2. If he wants to be more than a chaotic bench spark, he has to stop giving back his own points on the other end of the floor.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. McCain's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~6 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 48% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games McCain locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: -3.5, second-half: -0.0. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 2 games. Longest cold streak: 18 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 65 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

E. Dëmin 46.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.19
PTS 9
B. Williams 36.5 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 6
L. Kennard 32.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Green 29.3 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 9
W. Riley 29.1 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.17
PTS 5
V. Krejčí 27.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Jones 27.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
R. Nembhard 26.5 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 7
G. Trent Jr. 25.1 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 7
A. Thompson 25.1 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 5

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

L. Kennard 41.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
T. Mann 40.2 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
G. Harris 39.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Green 35.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 6
W. Riley 32.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
E. Dëmin 32.0 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 14.3%
PPP 0.28
PTS 9
T. Jones 30.6 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 3
B. Brown 30.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
N. Traore 28.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.35
PTS 10
O. Agbaji 23.6 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.3
PTS 7

SEASON STATS

61
Games
8.4
PPG
2.1
RPG
1.4
APG
0.5
SPG
0.1
BPG
42.5
FG%
39.3
3P%
87.3
FT%
17.4
MPG

GAME LOG

61 games played