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DEN

2025-26 Season

JAMAL MURRAY

Denver Nuggets | Guard | 6-4
Jamal Murray
25.3PPG
4.4RPG
7.0APG
35.7MPG
+16.0 Impact

Murray produces at an elite rate for a 36-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+16.0
Scoring +23.9
Points Scored 25.3 PPG = +25.3
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -7.2
Shot Making above expected FG% = +5.8
Creation +2.0
Assists & Self-Creation 7.0 AST/g + self-creation = +2.0
Turnovers -5.3
Turnovers 2.3/g (live + dead blend) = -5.3
Defense +0.5
Steals 0.9/g = +2.1
Blocks 0.4/g = +0.4
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.0
Hustle & Effort +2.6
Rebounds 4.4 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +0.5
Contested Shots 3.5/g = +0.7
Deflections 1.6/g = +1.0
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.1
Loose Balls 0.4/g = +0.2
Screen Assists 0.4/g = +0.1
Raw Impact +23.7
Baseline (game-average expected) −7.7
Net Impact
+16.0
98th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 96th
25.3 PPG
Efficiency 87th
59.6% TS
Playmaking 95th
7.0 APG
Rebounding 83th
4.4 RPG
Defense 73th
+9.5/g
Hustle 61th
+10.2/g
Creation 97th
+5.76/g
Shot Making 100th
+14.55/g
TO Discipline 38th
0.06/min

ON / OFF COURT

DEN performance per 100 possessions with Murray on vs off the floor · 3,952 poss on, 2,166 off

Team net — ON court
+5.2
ORtg 99.8 · DRtg 94.5
Team net — OFF court
+4.1
ORtg 95.2 · DRtg 91.1
On/Off swing
+1.1
Points per 100 possessions the team gains (or loses) when he plays

THE SEASON SO FAR

Jamal Murray opened the 2025-26 campaign on an absolute offensive tear, transforming into a ruthless scoring machine who dictated the pace of every matchup. His peak arrived on 12/04 vs IND, where he torched the nets for 52 points on an absurd 10-for-11 from deep. That masterpiece generated a jaw-dropping +59.3 impact score, driven entirely by flawless shot selection and lethal efficiency. Yet, even when his jumper abandoned him, Murray found gritty ways to influence winning. Despite scoring just 15 points on a brutal 5-for-16 shooting night on 11/13 vs LAC, he managed a +12.6 impact because his relentless defensive effort and active hustle plays suffocated the opposition. Conversely, his occasional lapses into hero ball carried steep costs. On 11/20 vs NOP, forced shots and a complete lack of rebounding resulted in a -2.2 impact despite tallying 16 points and 8 assists. This stretch revealed a guard operating at the absolute peak of his powers, capable of breaking a defense with pure shooting gravity or sheer willpower.

This midseason stretch defined Jamal Murray as an unapologetic, high-usage offensive engine who oscillated between brilliant orchestration and erratic gunning. When his jumper caught fire, the results were absolutely devastating. On 01/18 vs WAS, he erupted for 42 points on a hyper-efficient 15-for-24 from the floor, resulting in a staggering +31.8 Impact. However, his aggressive trigger often carried hidden costs that dragged down his overall effectiveness. During the 12/26 vs MIN matchup, he poured in 35 points, but his modest +8.2 Impact score revealed the damage of poor shot selection, as he required a brutal 32 field goal attempts to reach that total. Conversely, Murray found ways to dominate even when his scoring volume dropped. On 01/08 vs BOS, he managed just 22 points but still drove a robust +18.8 Impact. He generated immense non-scoring value in that contest through elite court vision, racking up 17 assists to spoon-feed his teammates easy baskets.

Jamal Murray spent the final months of the season operating as an absolute offensive supernova, torching nets with a string of nuclear shooting performances. The peak of this binge arrived on 03/25 vs DAL, where he poured in 53 points on a blistering 19-of-28 from the floor. Because he hunted high-quality looks and drained nine triples rather than settling for contested jumpers, his staggering +48.8 Impact score accurately captured his total offensive dominance. He was not entirely immune to cold spells, however, as seen during a brutal outing on 03/14 vs LAL. Murray managed a measly 5 points on a disastrous 1-of-14 shooting night, resulting in a -9.0 Impact score as his errant shot selection actively derailed the offense. Yet, he also found ways to add value when his scoring volume dipped, like on 03/17 vs PHI. Despite finishing with just 12 points, his active work on the glass to grab six rebounds and his unselfish ball movement earned him a +6.9 Impact score. When he marries elite shot-making with that kind of gritty floor game, he remains an absolute nightmare for opposing defenses.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Very consistent. Murray posts positive impact in 93% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~10 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 60% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Murray consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Small downward trend. First-half impact: +17.3, second-half: +14.8. Not alarming yet, but trending the wrong direction.

Hot right now — 8 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 34 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 20 days ago

Based on 75 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

J. McDaniels 215.4 poss
FG% 46.0%
3P% 41.2%
PPP 0.29
PTS 62
A. Thompson 100.2 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 14
L. Dort 100.2 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 10.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 22
T. Camara 90.2 poss
FG% 58.8%
3P% 37.5%
PPP 0.25
PTS 23
J. Wells 79.4 poss
FG% 53.3%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 20
M. Smart 75.2 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 62.5%
PPP 0.23
PTS 17
A. Dosunmu 72.4 poss
FG% 38.1%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.3
PTS 22
N. Marshall 69.4 poss
FG% 78.6%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.39
PTS 27
J. Okogie 66.7 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 16
B. Carrington 64.9 poss
FG% 64.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.35
PTS 23

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. McDaniels 129.8 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 33
A. Dosunmu 84.3 poss
FG% 73.3%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.37
PTS 31
D. DiVincenzo 70.0 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.09
PTS 6
J. Okogie 66.7 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 9
A. Thompson 62.9 poss
FG% 55.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 10
L. Dort 57.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Wells 57.1 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 16
M. Conley 56.5 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.04
PTS 2
D. Schröder 56.3 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 4
T. Camara 53.0 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 9

SEASON STATS

81
Games
25.3
PPG
4.4
RPG
7.0
APG
0.9
SPG
0.4
BPG
47.2
FG%
42.3
3P%
89.5
FT%
35.7
MPG

GAME LOG

81 games played