DEN

2025-26 Season

JAMAL MURRAY

Denver Nuggets | Guard | 6-4
Jamal Murray
25.7 PPG
4.4 RPG
7.1 APG
35.2 MPG
+4.6 Impact

Murray produces at an above average rate for a 35-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+4.6
Scoring +17.2
Points 25.7 PPG × +1.00 = +25.7
Missed 2PT 5.2/g × -0.78 = -4.1
Missed 3PT 4.3/g × -0.87 = -3.8
Missed FT 0.6/g × -1.00 = -0.6
Creation +4.9
Assists 7.1/g × +0.50 = +3.5
Off. Rebounds 1.1/g × +1.26 = +1.4
Turnovers -4.5
Turnovers 2.3/g × -1.95 = -4.5
Defense +1.6
Steals 0.9/g × +2.30 = +2.1
Blocks 0.4/g × +0.90 = +0.4
Def. Rebounds 3.3/g × +0.30 = +1.0
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +3.1
Contested Shots 4.0/g × +0.20 = +0.8
Deflections 1.8/g × +0.65 = +1.2
Loose Balls 0.4/g × +0.60 = +0.2
Screen Assists 0.4/g × +0.30 = +0.1
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.3/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.8
Raw Impact +22.3
Baseline (game-average expected) −17.7
Net Impact
+4.6
97th pctl vs Guards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 96th
25.7 PPG
Efficiency 91th
61.2% TS
Playmaking 95th
7.1 APG
Rebounding 81th
4.4 RPG
Rim Protection 37th
0.10/min
Hustle 29th
0.09/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 34th
0.06/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Jamal Murray’s first twenty games were defined by a chaotic pendulum swing between unstoppable offensive barrages and destructive defensive apathy. When fully engaged, he was a nightmare for opposing defenses. Look at 10/27 vs MIN, where an unstoppable barrage of pull-up jumpers yielded 43 points and a massive +15.3 impact score. Yet, his raw scoring totals often masked severe hidden costs. On 11/17 vs CHI, he poured in 34 points and grabbed 11 rebounds, but his overall impact plummeted to -2.9 because a staggering -11.1 defensive score completely wiped out his offensive production. Conversely, Murray occasionally found ways to drive winning basketball even when his jumper betrayed him. During the 10/29 vs NOP matchup, he managed only 17 points on a rough 5-for-14 from the field, but still posted an excellent +8.1 impact score by ramping up his defensive engagement to cover for his sharp shooting regression. To be a truly elite guard, he must stop letting his baseline effort dictate whether he acts as a ceiling-raiser or an active detriment.

An absolutely torrid but wildly erratic offensive hot streak defined this stretch of the season, masking some deeply flawed two-way basketball. He reached his absolute peak on 12/03 vs IND, pouring in 52 points on an absurd 10-of-11 shooting from deep to drive a staggering +37.9 impact score. Yet, raw scoring totals frequently disguised immense defensive liabilities. During his 42-point explosion on 01/17 vs WAS, his overall impact was limited to +10.3 because he bled points on the other end, posting an abysmal -11.4 defensive score. The hidden costs of his high-usage role were even more destructive on 01/04 vs BKN. Despite racking up 27 points and 16 assists in that contest, a barrage of forced perimeter shots and sloppy passing sank him to a -2.7 impact. He remains a brilliant shot-maker, but defensive apathy and careless turnovers keep his overall value wildly inconsistent.

A maddening pendulum of offensive brilliance and shot-selection stubbornness defined Jamal Murray's mid-season stretch. He frequently sabotaged his own value. This was perfectly captured on 03/01 vs MIN, where he scored 25 points but posted a -5.0 impact score because heavy isolation usage and forced mid-range pull-ups completely bogged down the offense. Yet, when he stopped hunting bad shots, the results were devastating. He punished drop coverages without mercy on 03/02 vs UTA, hanging 45 points on 13-of-19 shooting to generate a massive +17.7 impact score. He even found ways to stay in the green when his scoring rhythm vanished entirely. During an 18-minute stint on 03/06 vs NYK, uncharacteristic half-court passivity limited him to just 12 points, but he salvaged a strong +6.7 impact score by locking in to produce a +5.7 defensive rating.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Volatile for his role. Murray has noticeable ups and downs, with scoring moving ~10 points between games.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 63% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Murray consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 10 games. Longest cold streak: 3 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 72 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

J. McDaniels 110.5 poss
FG% 56.0%
3P% 55.6%
PPP 0.33
PTS 37
A. Thompson 100.2 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 14
L. Dort 100.2 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 10.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 22
J. Wells 79.4 poss
FG% 53.3%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 20
M. Smart 75.2 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 62.5%
PPP 0.23
PTS 17
N. Marshall 69.4 poss
FG% 78.6%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.39
PTS 27
J. Okogie 66.7 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 16
B. Carrington 64.9 poss
FG% 64.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.35
PTS 23
D. Mitchell 63.2 poss
FG% 46.7%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 17
A. Black 63.1 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.21
PTS 13

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. McDaniels 72.5 poss
FG% 64.3%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.28
PTS 20
J. Okogie 66.7 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 9
A. Thompson 62.9 poss
FG% 55.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 10
L. Dort 57.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Wells 57.1 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 16
D. Schröder 56.3 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 4
D. DiVincenzo 54.1 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.11
PTS 6
C. Wallace 52.6 poss
FG% 45.5%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.29
PTS 15
J. Smith Jr. 48.7 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.23
PTS 11
N. Marshall 47.0 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 6

SEASON STATS

71
Games
25.7
PPG
4.4
RPG
7.1
APG
0.9
SPG
0.4
BPG
48.3
FG%
43.4
3P%
88.6
FT%
35.2
MPG

GAME LOG

71 games played