MIN

2025-26 Season

ANTHONY EDWARDS

Minnesota Timberwolves | Guard | 6-4
Anthony Edwards
28.9 PPG
5.0 RPG
3.7 APG
35.2 MPG
+5.0 Impact

Edwards produces at an above average rate for a 35-minute workload. 2.8 turnovers per game cost 5.5 points of value nightly. Elite defensive value (+3.1/game) is a major strength.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+5.0
Scoring +18.7
Points 28.9 PPG × +1.00 = +28.9
Missed 2PT 5.3/g × -0.78 = -4.2
Missed 3PT 5.1/g × -0.87 = -4.5
Missed FT 1.5/g × -1.00 = -1.5
Creation +3.4
Assists 3.7/g × +0.50 = +1.9
Off. Rebounds 1.2/g × +1.26 = +1.5
Turnovers -5.5
Turnovers 2.8/g × -1.95 = -5.5
Defense +3.1
Steals 1.4/g × +2.30 = +3.2
Blocks 0.8/g × +0.90 = +0.7
Def. Rebounds 3.8/g × +0.30 = +1.1
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +2.8
Contested Shots 4.1/g × +0.20 = +0.8
Deflections 2.2/g × +0.65 = +1.4
Loose Balls 0.6/g × +0.60 = +0.4
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.1/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.2
Raw Impact +22.5
Baseline (game-average expected) −17.5
Net Impact
+5.0
97th pctl vs Guards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 99th
29.3 PPG
Efficiency 92th
61.7% TS
Playmaking 69th
3.8 APG
Rebounding 89th
5.1 RPG
Rim Protection 76th
0.15/min
Hustle 20th
0.08/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 20th
0.08/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

This twenty-game stretch was defined by maddening volatility, as Anthony Edwards oscillated wildly between unstoppable offensive eruptions and bizarrely passive slumps. During the 11/15 vs DEN matchup, he bricked all eight of his three-point attempts, yet still managed to grind out a +3.8 impact score by leaning heavily on elite on-ball defensive pressure and relentless transition attacks to salvage his value. When his jumper actually fell, he was utterly terrifying. He completely broke the Kings during the 11/24 vs SAC contest, pouring in 43 points to generate a staggering +21.0 impact score that dictated the entire flow of the offense. However, his box score numbers occasionally masked hidden costs on the floor. Look no further than the 12/02 vs NOP game, where a massive 44-point explosion yielded a shockingly low +1.9 impact score. Despite the incredible isolation scoring volume that night, his true value was heavily dragged down by careless ball security and frustrating defensive apathy. He remains one of the league's most lethal scorers, but his absolute ceiling depends entirely on whether he can eliminate these costly lapses in focus.

Anthony Edwards spent this twenty-game stretch operating as an unrepentant gunslinger, riding a terrifying line between offensive supernova and inefficient ball-stopper. When his jumper was falling, he was completely unguardable. Look no further than his 55-point eruption on 01/17 vs SAS, where a staggering +17.9 impact score was fueled by massive shot-making volume that dictated the entire flow of the game. However, that same supreme confidence frequently dragged down his overall value when the shots stopped dropping. During a 25-point outing on 01/10 vs CLE, his relentless high-volume gunning yielded a negative -3.2 impact score because the sheer number of empty possessions from missed jumpers actively hurt his team. He hit rock bottom on 01/22 vs CHI, forcing contested looks to shoot an abysmal 9-for-25 from the floor. That catastrophic shot selection profile cratered his overall rating, resulting in a brutal -9.8 impact score despite tallying 20 points.

Extreme volatility defined Anthony Edwards during this turbulent stretch, swinging wildly between unstoppable offensive masterclasses and disastrous, shot-chucking duds. The hidden costs of his erratic decision-making were glaringly obvious on 02/24 vs POR. Despite pouring in 34 points, he dragged his impact score down to a dismal -6.2 by forcing up a massive volume of misses on an 11-for-27 shooting night. When he actually dialed in his focus, he was an absolute terror. Look no further than 03/03 vs MEM. An elite blend of shot creation and fierce defensive intensity generated a monstrous +26.9 impact alongside his 41 points. Unfortunately, he often reverted to settling for heavily contested, off-the-dribble jumpers. This frustrating habit completely tanked his value on 04/03 vs PHI, resulting in a brutal -11.8 impact as he clanked his way to just 8 points on an abysmal 3-for-15 shooting display.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Volatile for his role. Edwards has noticeable ups and downs, with scoring moving ~10 points between games.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 67% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Edwards consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +6.5, second-half: +3.4. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 7 games. Longest cold streak: 3 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 60 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

K. Dunn 110.2 poss
FG% 36.8%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 22
L. Dort 104.3 poss
FG% 47.1%
3P% 44.4%
PPP 0.22
PTS 23
T. Camara 103.1 poss
FG% 45.8%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.29
PTS 30
J. Wells 93.5 poss
FG% 42.1%
3P% 14.3%
PPP 0.29
PTS 27
P. Watson 91.1 poss
FG% 55.6%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.43
PTS 39
C. Wallace 89.0 poss
FG% 36.8%
3P% 16.7%
PPP 0.21
PTS 19
B. McGowens 81.2 poss
FG% 61.5%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 20
B. Coulibaly 61.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.39
PTS 24
M. Bridges 61.2 poss
FG% 43.8%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.28
PTS 17
K. George 59.1 poss
FG% 23.5%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 10

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

FG% 55.6%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 17
B. McGowens 64.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 5
P. Watson 58.7 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 6
D. DeRozan 56.5 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 9
L. Dort 56.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Wells 54.7 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 10
T. Camara 52.5 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.04
PTS 2
M. Christie 50.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Holiday 50.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 17
K. Middleton 48.2 poss
FG% 72.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.37
PTS 18

SEASON STATS

60
Games
28.9
PPG
5.0
RPG
3.7
APG
1.4
SPG
0.8
BPG
48.9
FG%
39.8
3P%
79.6
FT%
35.2
MPG

GAME LOG

60 games played