OKC

2025-26 Season

JAYLIN WILLIAMS

Oklahoma City Thunder | Forward | 6-9
Jaylin Williams
7.5 PPG
5.7 RPG
2.4 APG
20.1 MPG
+1.4 Impact

Williams produces at an above average rate for a 20-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+1.4
Scoring +4.5
Points 7.5 PPG × +1.00 = +7.5
Missed 2PT 0.7/g × -0.78 = -0.5
Missed 3PT 2.5/g × -0.87 = -2.2
Missed FT 0.3/g × -1.00 = -0.3
Creation +3.0
Assists 2.4/g × +0.50 = +1.2
Off. Rebounds 1.4/g × +1.26 = +1.8
Turnovers -2.1
Turnovers 1.1/g × -1.95 = -2.1
Defense +1.1
Steals 0.5/g × +2.30 = +1.1
Blocks 0.7/g × +0.90 = +0.6
Def. Rebounds 4.2/g × +0.30 = +1.3
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +3.9
Contested Shots 7.4/g × +0.20 = +1.5
Deflections 1.0/g × +0.65 = +0.7
Charges Drawn 0.3/g × +2.70 = +0.8
Loose Balls 0.3/g × +0.60 = +0.2
Screen Assists 1.5/g × +0.30 = +0.4
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.1/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.3
Raw Impact +10.4
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.0
Net Impact
+1.4
70th pctl vs Forwards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 227 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 39th
7.5 PPG
Efficiency 42th
55.8% TS
Playmaking 71th
2.4 APG
Rebounding 76th
5.7 RPG
Rim Protection 91th
0.21/min
Hustle 97th
0.17/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 34th
0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Jaylin Williams spent the first chunk of the 2025-26 season surviving as a chaotic, charge-drawing anomaly who lived and died in the margins. His true value rarely came from the box score, a reality perfectly captured on 10/28 vs SAC. Despite scoring just three points on brutal 1-for-6 shooting, he salvaged a +4.1 impact score by absorbing multiple charges and executing flawless weak-side defensive rotations. Conversely, hitting shots didn't always translate to winning basketball. During a 14-point outing on 11/28 vs PHX, Williams found a great rhythm from beyond the arc but still posted a -1.1 impact rating because his inability to anchor the interior defense left the paint highly vulnerable. When his hustle and stroke actually aligned, however, the results were staggering. Spot-starting on 11/02 vs NOP, he drained four triples for 12 points and generated a monstrous +11.2 impact score by acting as an absolute menace on relentless loose ball pursuits.

Maddening offensive passivity and extreme volatility defined this 20-game stretch for Jaylin Williams, as he fluctuated between vital defensive linchpin and total offensive liability. His reluctance to shoot reached a disastrous peak on 01/23 vs IND. Despite logging 22 minutes, he attempted just a single field goal, and that extreme passivity cratered his overall value to a brutal -10.7 impact score. Conversely, he flashed his true worth as a dirty-work specialist on 02/01 vs DEN. He managed just 8 points, yet generated a massive +11.5 impact because his exceptional positional awareness and high-motor hustle plays completely disrupted the opposing offense. Even when his outside shot actually fell, hidden costs often dragged his metrics into the red. On 02/09 vs LAL, he scored an efficient 11 points with three triples, but still posted a -2.4 impact because underlying defensive lapses quietly bled points the other way. He remains a highly situational big man whose nightly value hinges entirely on whether his charge-drawing hustle outweighs his frequent vanishing acts.

This stretch of the season was defined by extreme, high-variance swings where Jaylin Williams either broke the opposing defense with his jumper or derailed his own unit with poor execution. When his shot fell, he was an absolute offensive engine. During a spot start on 02/25 vs DET, elite shot selection and blistering perimeter efficiency drove a +8.6 impact alongside a massive 30-point, 11-rebound double-double. Even when his scoring volume dipped, he could completely tilt a game through sheer grit and dirty work. On 03/27 vs CHI, he posted a staggering +17.1 impact despite scoring just 12 points, anchoring the defense through elite rotational awareness and exceptional hustle metrics. However, his value plummeted just as quickly when he strayed from his ideal role. On 03/15 vs MIN, he logged a dismal -4.8 impact because forced shots early in the clock and poor perimeter execution completely disrupted the second unit's rhythm.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Williams's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~6 points per game.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 39% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Defensive difference-maker. Williams consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Slight upward trend. First-half impact: +0.4, second-half: +2.3. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 63 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

N. Jokić 57.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 9
J. Duren 47.5 poss
FG% 62.5%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 16
R. Gobert 42.0 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 11
O. Ighodaro 37.5 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.08
PTS 3
V. Wembanyama 36.5 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.33
PTS 12
J. Hayes 31.2 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.19
PTS 6
Z. Williamson 29.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
N. Richards 28.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.17
PTS 5
D. Queen 28.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
T. Smith 27.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

N. Jokić 90.9 poss
FG% 52.0%
3P% 27.3%
PPP 0.34
PTS 31
J. Randle 48.9 poss
FG% 43.8%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.37
PTS 18
D. Green 47.4 poss
FG% 70.0%
3P% 71.4%
PPP 0.4
PTS 19
O. Ighodaro 46.6 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 8
J. Duren 41.6 poss
FG% 70.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.36
PTS 15
J. Hayes 40.8 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 4
L. Kornet 37.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 4
Y. Missi 36.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 6
N. Richards 35.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 6
A. Davis 33.1 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 6

SEASON STATS

61
Games
7.5
PPG
5.7
RPG
2.4
APG
0.5
SPG
0.7
BPG
42.4
FG%
38.2
3P%
79.3
FT%
20.1
MPG

GAME LOG

61 games played