OKC

2025-26 Season

JAYLIN WILLIAMS

Oklahoma City Thunder | Forward | 6-9
Jaylin Williams
6.7PPG
5.2RPG
2.3APG
18.7MPG
-3.2 Impact

Williams produces at an below average rate for a 19-minute workload.

·
Embed this player card

Copy & paste this HTML into any page:

The widget updates automatically whenever our data does.

IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-3.2
Scoring +5.8
Points Scored 6.7 PPG = +6.7
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -2.5
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.6
Creation +0.5
Assists & Self-Creation 2.3 AST/g + self-creation = +0.5
Turnovers -2.4
Turnovers 1.0/g (live + dead blend) = -2.4
Defense -0.5
Steals 0.5/g = +1.1
Blocks 0.6/g = +0.5
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.1
Hustle & Effort +2.9
Rebounds 5.2 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +0.1
Contested Shots 6.0/g = +1.2
Deflections 0.8/g = +0.5
Charges Drawn 0.2/g = +0.6
Loose Balls 0.2/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 1.2/g = +0.4
Raw Impact +6.3
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.5
Net Impact
-3.2
29th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 30th
6.7 PPG
Efficiency 27th
52.4% TS
Playmaking 70th
2.3 APG
Rebounding 67th
5.2 RPG
Defense 77th
+9.5/g
Hustle 77th
+16.4/g
Creation 77th
+3.38/g
Shot Making 70th
+7.28/g
TO Discipline 39th
0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Jaylin Williams spent the first 22 games of the 2025-26 season masquerading as a stretch big who simply could not stretch the floor. His brutal shooting slumps routinely torpedoed his overall value. Look no further than his nightmare outing on 11/09 vs MEM, where he bricked all five of his three-point attempts to finish with zero points and a dismal -14.2 Impact. Even when he stopped shooting entirely, his inability to threaten defenses crippled the spacing, leading to a catastrophic -20.7 Impact on 11/18 vs NOP despite taking just two shots. Yet, he occasionally found ways to salvage his minutes through sheer grit. During a quiet seven-point night on 10/31 vs WAS, Williams generated a robust +6.2 Impact by crashing the glass for nine rebounds and keeping the offense humming with four assists. If he wants to stay in the rotation, the formula is obvious. He must realize that moving the ball and fighting for boards is his only reliable path to survival when the perimeter shot refuses to fall.

A jarring lack of offensive rhythm defined this erratic mid-season stretch for Jaylin Williams, as he ping-ponged between the starting five and the bench. During a disastrous 01/28 vs NOP start, he grabbed 10 rebounds and dished 5 assists, but a ghastly 1-for-8 shooting night cratered his value to a staggering -14.3 Impact score. He looked much more comfortable operating as a reserve on 01/14 vs SAS. In that contest, he posted 11 points, 10 boards, and 5 assists to earn a +10.0 Impact score by blending active glass-cleaning with smart ball movement. Yet, even when his jumper finally connected in other matchups, hidden costs often ruined his overall effectiveness. Look no further than his outing on 02/09 vs LAL, where he efficiently knocked down three triples for 11 points in just 19 minutes. Despite that scoring punch, a lack of secondary playmaking and minimal rebounding presence resulted in a brutal -9.2 Impact score.

Jaylin Williams spent this stretch oscillating wildly between dominant floor-spacer and absolute offensive black hole. When his perimeter stroke caught fire on 02/25 vs DET, he torched the defense for 30 points and 11 rebounds, generating a massive +19.6 Impact score through elite shot-making. He did not always need high volume to swing a game, however. During the 03/18 vs BKN matchup, Williams scored just 6 points but earned a +5.7 Impact by providing flawless 2-of-2 shooting and grabbing 7 crucial rebounds in only 14 minutes. Conversely, even when he managed double-digit points, hidden costs sometimes tanked his overall value. During the 02/27 vs DEN contest, he tallied 12 points on highly efficient shooting but still posted a -4.3 Impact because of sluggish defensive rotations and untimely turnovers. If Williams wants to be a reliable rotation big, he must find ways to consistently influence winning regardless of his scoring output.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Williams has posted negative impact in 76% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 36% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Defensive difference-maker. Williams consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

In a rough stretch — 9 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 9 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 63 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

N. Jokić 57.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 9
J. Duren 47.5 poss
FG% 62.5%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 16
R. Gobert 42.0 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 11
O. Ighodaro 37.5 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.08
PTS 3
V. Wembanyama 36.5 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.33
PTS 12
J. Hayes 31.2 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.19
PTS 6
Z. Williamson 29.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
N. Richards 28.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.17
PTS 5
D. Queen 28.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
T. Smith 27.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

N. Jokić 90.9 poss
FG% 52.0%
3P% 27.3%
PPP 0.34
PTS 31
J. Randle 48.9 poss
FG% 43.8%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.37
PTS 18
D. Green 47.4 poss
FG% 70.0%
3P% 71.4%
PPP 0.4
PTS 19
O. Ighodaro 46.6 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 8
J. Duren 41.6 poss
FG% 70.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.36
PTS 15
J. Hayes 40.8 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 4
L. Kornet 37.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 4
Y. Missi 36.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 6
N. Richards 35.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 6
A. Davis 33.1 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 6

SEASON STATS

75
Games
6.7
PPG
5.2
RPG
2.3
APG
0.5
SPG
0.6
BPG
41.8
FG%
38.0
3P%
79.6
FT%
18.7
MPG

GAME LOG

75 games played