SAS

2025-26 Season

CARTER BRYANT

San Antonio Spurs | Forward | 6-6
Carter Bryant
4.0PPG
2.4RPG
0.7APG
11.4MPG
-8.1 Impact

Bryant produces at an poor rate for a 11-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-8.1
Scoring +3.2
Points Scored 4.0 PPG = +4.0
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -1.7
Shot Making above expected FG% = +0.9
Creation +0.2
Assists & Self-Creation 0.7 AST/g + self-creation = +0.2
Turnovers -1.2
Turnovers 0.5/g (live + dead blend) = -1.2
Defense -0.6
Steals 0.2/g = +0.5
Blocks 0.3/g = +0.3
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.4
Hustle & Effort +1.7
Rebounds 2.4 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +0.8
Contested Shots 1.9/g = +0.4
Deflections 0.5/g = +0.3
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.2/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 0.2/g = +0.1
Raw Impact +3.3
Baseline (game-average expected) −11.4
Net Impact
-8.1
1st pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 13th
4.7 PPG
Efficiency 16th
49.9% TS
Playmaking 13th
0.8 APG
Rebounding 18th
2.7 RPG
Defense 12th
+4.4/g
Hustle 15th
+7.6/g
Creation 22th
+1.62/g
Shot Making 41th
+5.21/g
TO Discipline 60th
0.04/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Carter Bryant's first 24 games were defined by sheer irrelevance, a brutal stretch of brief bench cameos where he routinely drifted into the background. When he did get a chance to shoot, the results were often disastrous, culminating in a dismal 11/16 vs SAC appearance where he bricked all three of his attempts from deep. That empty outing dragged his overall value down to a staggering -16.8 Impact score, a direct penalty for forcing bad shots while failing to generate any meaningful defensive stops to compensate. His lone bright spot arrived on 11/03 vs PHX. He tallied 10 points on 4-of-8 shooting in just 10 minutes, finally earning a positive +4.2 Impact score because his aggressive shot-making was actually paired with active defensive rotations. Yet, whenever his minutes increased, his production completely vanished, as seen on 12/01 vs MIN. Despite seeing the floor for a season-high 15 minutes that night, he sleepwalked to zero points and a single assist, posting a -14.0 Impact score because his total lack of offensive engagement actively hurt the team's half-court spacing. If Bryant wants to stick in an NBA rotation, he has to find a way to contribute without constantly bleeding value on both ends of the floor.

Carter Bryant's midseason stretch was defined by erratic shooting and a desperate search for consistency at the end of the bench. Look no further than his brutal 02/26 vs BKN outing, where he bricked all six of his field goal attempts to generate a dismal -17.1 Impact score. When your shot selection is this poor and you fail to score a single point in 13 minutes, the underlying metrics will absolutely punish you. He did manage a brief flicker of life during a 02/10 vs LAL matchup, logging a stretch-high 27 minutes. Bryant poured in 16 points and hit three triples in that contest, finally earning a +3.7 Impact score by pairing his scoring aggression with three timely assists. Yet, those bright spots were buried under a mountain of empty shifts. Even when given an extended run during a 01/16 vs MIL game, he clanked all six of his shots to finish with just 2 points and a -6.5 Impact score, entirely unable to leverage his five rebounds into meaningful overall value.

Carter Bryant’s late-season stretch was defined by empty minutes and a frustrating inability to anchor the second unit. Even when his box score looked clean, hidden costs dragged him down. Take his 04/10 vs DAL performance, where he tallied 12 points on flawless 3-for-3 shooting from deep. Despite that offensive efficiency, he registered a -4.5 Impact score, a clear sign that blown defensive assignments and poor rotational awareness were bleeding value on the other end of the floor. The bottom had completely fallen out earlier on 03/23 vs MIA. Although he managed to grab 8 rebounds, Bryant posted an abysmal -15.1 Impact score because he forced bad looks and missed all three of his perimeter shots. He did manage one brilliant flash of genuine value on 04/08 vs POR. Drilling five triples on his way to 17 points and 4 assists, he finally earned a +10.3 Impact score by pairing lethal shot selection with crisp ball movement.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Bryant has posted negative impact in 91% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 41% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Average defender. Bryant doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Slight upward trend. First-half impact: -9.1, second-half: -7.1. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.

In a rough stretch — 13 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 33 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 77 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

C. Spencer 34.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Miller 22.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 2
B. Mathurin 18.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. da Silva 17.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 2
N. Batum 16.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. Flagg 16.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 3
J. Edwards 16.0 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 5
N. Clifford 15.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Jackson Jr. 14.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 2
K. Filipowski 14.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.34
PTS 5

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

B. Mathurin 21.2 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.38
PTS 8
J. Walker 18.4 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.33
PTS 6
J. Miller 16.5 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 2
C. Spencer 16.1 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 3
B. Sensabaugh 14.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 3
K. Thompson 14.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Goodwin 14.2 poss
FG% 16.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 2
T. da Silva 14.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.35
PTS 5
N. Clifford 13.8 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 3
A. Thompson 13.0 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.46
PTS 6

SEASON STATS

82
Games
4.0
PPG
2.4
RPG
0.7
APG
0.2
SPG
0.3
BPG
41.7
FG%
34.9
3P%
68.2
FT%
11.4
MPG

GAME LOG

82 games played