IND

2025-26 Season

JARACE WALKER

Indiana Pacers | Forward | 6-7
Jarace Walker
11.5 PPG
5.1 RPG
2.4 APG
25.6 MPG
-3.3 Impact

Walker produces at an below average rate for a 26-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-3.3
Scoring +6.4
Points 11.5 PPG × +1.00 = +11.5
Missed 2PT 2.6/g × -0.78 = -2.0
Missed 3PT 2.9/g × -0.87 = -2.5
Missed FT 0.6/g × -1.00 = -0.6
Creation +2.8
Assists 2.4/g × +0.50 = +1.2
Off. Rebounds 1.3/g × +1.26 = +1.6
Turnovers -3.5
Turnovers 1.8/g × -1.95 = -3.5
Defense +1.3
Steals 0.8/g × +2.30 = +1.8
Blocks 0.3/g × +0.90 = +0.3
Def. Rebounds 3.8/g × +0.30 = +1.1
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +2.1
Contested Shots 2.8/g × +0.20 = +0.6
Deflections 1.9/g × +0.65 = +1.2
Loose Balls 0.3/g × +0.60 = +0.2
Screen Assists 0.3/g × +0.30 = +0.1
Raw Impact +9.1
Baseline (game-average expected) −12.4
Net Impact
-3.3
8th pctl vs Forwards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 227 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 64th
11.6 PPG
Efficiency 40th
55.6% TS
Playmaking 72th
2.4 APG
Rebounding 66th
5.2 RPG
Rim Protection 43th
0.13/min
Hustle 17th
0.08/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 16th
0.07/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Jarace Walker's first twenty games were defined by a crippling offensive slump and a maddening inability to find a consistent role. Bouncing erratically between the starting lineup and the bench, the young forward routinely sabotaged his own value with atrocious shot selection and empty perimeter possessions. Even when his traditional box score looked respectable, as it did on 11/03 vs MIL with 18 points, eight rebounds, and five assists, hidden costs like ill-timed fouls and poor spacing dragged his impact score down to a frustrating -2.9. The absolute nadir arrived on 11/13 vs PHX. Missing all ten of his field goal attempts in 26 minutes, he generated a disastrous -15.2 impact score as his offensive confidence completely cratered. Yet, glimpses of his two-way ceiling occasionally surfaced to tease frustrated fans. On 11/26 vs TOR, despite scoring just 13 points, Walker anchored a highly positive +6.0 impact mark by utilizing crisp defensive rotations and relentless active closeouts to generate immense non-scoring value.

A deeply frustrating offensive slump and chronic defensive lapses defined this stretch for Jarace Walker. Even when his shot fell, hidden costs dragged down his overall value. Look at 12/08 vs SAC. He scored 12 points on efficient shooting, but a string of missed defensive rotations yielded a -0.2 impact score. His passivity reached a boiling point on 12/27 vs MIA, where a near-invisible offensive showing and a single field goal attempt resulted in a catastrophic -15.8 impact. Yet, he occasionally delivered the exact two-way spark his team desperately needed. Walker erupted on 01/10 vs MIA for 13 points, nine rebounds, and four assists, generating a massive +15.6 impact score through phenomenal defensive instincts and timely perimeter shooting rather than just raw volume. If he wants to escape this erratic cycle, Walker must realize his true worth lies in physical engagement rather than floating aimlessly around the arc.

Erratic shot selection and wildly fluctuating effort defined a frustrating mid-season stretch for Jarace Walker. He occasionally flashed the ideal version of his role, like during the 01/26 vs ATL matchup. Despite scoring just 12 points, he posted a massive +11.0 impact score by acting as an absolute terror on the less glamorous end of the floor. Too often, however, his offensive aggression actively harmed the team. Look no further than the 02/03 vs UTA contest, where a seemingly impressive 24-point outburst was completely hollowed out by defensive breakdowns and abysmal three-point chucking (1-for-7), resulting in a disastrous -13.4 impact. When Walker settles for contested perimeter jumpers instead of leveraging his frame to attack mismatches, his value plummets. Even on nights where the box score looks stuffed, like his 12-point, 12-rebound, 6-assist effort on 02/20 vs WAS, his sheer inability to find efficient shots dragged his overall value down to a brutal -10.8 impact rating.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Inconsistent. Walker has clear good-night/bad-night splits, with scoring swinging ~6 points between games. You're never quite sure which version shows up.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 46% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Walker consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: -5.3, second-half: -1.4. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 4 games. Longest cold streak: 14 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 74 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

J. Johnson 71.7 poss
FG% 45.5%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.17
PTS 12
K. Middleton 50.6 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 11
B. Ingram 49.7 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 7
C. Johnson 44.0 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 7
B. Coulibaly 40.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.02
PTS 1
J. Brunson 35.4 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 5
G. Trent Jr. 35.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
D. Robinson 32.7 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 3
R. Barrett 32.6 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 6
T. Mann 30.5 poss
FG% 14.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

B. Ingram 63.5 poss
FG% 56.2%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.35
PTS 22
K. Middleton 52.6 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 9
C. Johnson 50.9 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 4
B. Coulibaly 48.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 10
J. Johnson 47.8 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 6
G. Trent Jr. 35.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. da Silva 35.6 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
K. Richmond 35.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
D. Hunter 33.6 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 7
D. Barlow 32.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

SEASON STATS

73
Games
11.5
PPG
5.1
RPG
2.4
APG
0.8
SPG
0.3
BPG
42.1
FG%
37.6
3P%
75.3
FT%
25.6
MPG

GAME LOG

73 games played