DEN

2025-26 Season

NIKOLA JOKIĆ

Denver Nuggets | Center | 6-11
Nikola Jokić
27.5PPG
12.9RPG
10.6APG
35.2MPG
+28.0 Impact

Jokić produces at an elite rate for a 35-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+28.0
Scoring +26.6
Points Scored 27.5 PPG = +27.5
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -6.3
Shot Making above expected FG% = +5.4
Creation +1.6
Assists & Self-Creation 10.6 AST/g + self-creation = +1.6
Turnovers -8.8
Turnovers 3.7/g (live + dead blend) = -8.8
Defense +1.3
Steals 1.4/g = +3.2
Blocks 0.8/g = +0.7
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.6
Hustle & Effort +12.5
Rebounds 12.9 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +9.0
Contested Shots 4.7/g = +0.9
Deflections 2.3/g = +1.5
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.5/g = +0.3
Screen Assists 2.8/g = +0.8
Raw Impact +33.2
Baseline (game-average expected) −5.2
Net Impact
+28.0
100th pctl vs Centers

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 93 Centers with 10+ games

Scoring 99th
27.5 PPG
Efficiency 89th
66.9% TS
Playmaking 99th
10.6 APG
Rebounding 99th
12.9 RPG
Defense 98th
+11.7/g
Hustle 93th
+25.7/g
Creation 94th
+5.04/g
Shot Making 98th
+10.72/g
TO Discipline 1th
0.11/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Nikola Jokić opened the 2025-26 season on a terrifying hot streak, bending opposing defenses to his will with unprecedented offensive mastery. The absolute peak of this run arrived on 11/13 vs LAC, where he erupted for 55 points on a blistering 18-of-23 from the floor. He posted a jaw-dropping +73.2 Impact score in that contest, driven entirely by flawless shot selection and an unstoppable scoring rhythm. He did not always need a massive scoring total to dominate. On 10/25 vs PHX, Jokić attempted just eight shots for 14 points but still generated a stellar +27.4 Impact by vacuuming up 14 rebounds and dishing out 15 assists to orchestrate the offense. Conversely, his gaudy triple-doubles occasionally masked sloppy basketball. On 11/20 vs NOP, he tallied 28 points, 11 rebounds, and 12 assists, yet managed a meager +3.8 Impact because hidden costs like defensive lapses and poor execution dragged down his overall effectiveness.

This midseason stretch was defined by an absurd peak of offensive mastery where Nikola Jokić essentially bent the geometry of the court to his will. Look no further than the masterpiece on 12/26 vs MIN. He erupted for 56 points, 16 rebounds, and 15 assists to generate a staggering +62.0 Impact score. That astronomical rating stemmed directly from his hyper-efficient 15-for-21 shooting and relentless passing that completely broke the opposition. Even when his shot volume vanished on 12/23 vs UTA, his floor generalship kept his overall value sky-high. He scored just 14 points on seven field goal attempts, yet posted a robust +23.7 Impact score because his 13 rebounds and 13 assists dictated the entire tempo. Conversely, poor shot selection occasionally dragged down his effectiveness. During the 02/19 vs LAC matchup, he tallied a hefty double-double of 22 points and 17 rebounds but managed merely a +7.9 Impact score, a noticeable dip caused by a rough 9-for-22 shooting night where he missed all six of his three-point attempts.

This late-season stretch was a masterclass in offensive orchestration, defined by a center who could completely hijack a basketball game without even looking at the rim. During the 04/08 vs MEM matchup, Jokić scored a modest 14 points but still generated a massive +28.3 Impact. He dominated the glass with 16 rebounds and picked apart the defense with 10 assists, creating immense value through sheer possession control and elite court vision rather than scoring. However, extreme passivity occasionally backfired, most notably on 03/17 vs PHI. He attempted just seven shots to finish with a meager eight points, and his reluctance to aggressively punish mismatches resulted in a sluggish -8.2 Impact. When he actually flipped the scoring switch alongside his playmaking, the results were terrifying. He obliterated the Spurs on 03/12 vs SAS with 31 points, 20 rebounds, and 12 assists, yielding an astronomical +49.5 Impact because he fought for every loose ball and relentlessly attacked the paint.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Very consistent. Jokić posts positive impact in 99% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~9 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.

Reliable shooter — hits 45%+ from the field in 86% of games. You can count on efficient nights more often than not.

Defensive difference-maker. Jokić consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +31.8, second-half: +24.3. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

Hot right now — 18 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 52 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 59 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

A. Sengun 119.9 poss
FG% 52.4%
3P% 41.7%
PPP 0.42
PTS 50
J. Randle 117.9 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.36
PTS 43
R. Gobert 103.1 poss
FG% 65.0%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.33
PTS 34
J. Williams 90.9 poss
FG% 52.0%
3P% 27.3%
PPP 0.34
PTS 31
W. Carter Jr. 78.2 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 20
O. Ighodaro 75.9 poss
FG% 70.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.26
PTS 20
N. Vučević 71.7 poss
FG% 52.2%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.45
PTS 32
E. Harkless 71.1 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.44
PTS 31
A. Horford 69.0 poss
FG% 35.3%
3P% 22.2%
PPP 0.22
PTS 15
A. Davis 68.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.23
PTS 16

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

R. Gobert 120.9 poss
FG% 46.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 15
O. Ighodaro 92.5 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 8
A. Sengun 92.0 poss
FG% 43.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 28
W. Carter Jr. 85.7 poss
FG% 47.4%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.25
PTS 21
D. Clingan 80.8 poss
FG% 53.3%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.25
PTS 20
J. Randle 72.8 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.49
PTS 36
A. Davis 72.4 poss
FG% 47.4%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.33
PTS 24
D. Sabonis 69.7 poss
FG% 69.2%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 21
I. Hartenstein 69.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 9
L. Kornet 66.9 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 10

SEASON STATS

71
Games
27.5
PPG
12.9
RPG
10.6
APG
1.4
SPG
0.8
BPG
55.7
FG%
36.0
3P%
83.9
FT%
35.2
MPG

GAME LOG

71 games played