MIN

2025-26 Season

JADEN MCDANIELS

Minnesota Timberwolves | Forward | 6-9
Jaden McDaniels
15.1PPG
4.5RPG
2.7APG
32.1MPG
+4.4 Impact

McDaniels produces at an above average rate for a 32-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+4.4
Scoring +13.8
Points Scored 15.1 PPG = +15.1
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -4.4
Shot Making above expected FG% = +3.1
Creation +1.1
Assists & Self-Creation 2.7 AST/g + self-creation = +1.1
Turnovers -4.0
Turnovers 1.8/g (live + dead blend) = -4.0
Defense -0.1
Steals 1.0/g = +2.3
Blocks 1.0/g = +0.9
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -3.3
Hustle & Effort +3.7
Rebounds 4.5 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +1.1
Contested Shots 5.2/g = +1.0
Deflections 1.8/g = +1.2
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.5/g = +0.3
Screen Assists 0.2/g = +0.1
Raw Impact +14.5
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.1
Net Impact
+4.4
73th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 78th
15.1 PPG
Efficiency 65th
58.7% TS
Playmaking 78th
2.7 APG
Rebounding 56th
4.5 RPG
Defense 61th
+7.7/g
Hustle 53th
+12.7/g
Creation 83th
+3.95/g
Shot Making 71th
+7.30/g
TO Discipline 31th
0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Jaden McDaniels opened the 2025-26 season riding a chaotic offensive rollercoaster, oscillating wildly between elite two-way dominance and total vanishing acts. When his jumper was falling, he was an absolute terror. He erupted for 30 points on 11-of-19 shooting during the 10/30 vs LAL matchup, leveraging that hot hand to post a massive +23.8 Impact score. Yet even when his perimeter touch completely evaporated, his relentless motor often salvaged his nightly value. During the 11/22 vs PHX tilt, he bricked all five of his three-point attempts and finished with just 13 points. Despite his shooting woes, his suffocating defensive effort and timely hustle plays over 40 grueling minutes still generated a stellar +12.3 Impact. Conversely, efficient offensive nights sometimes masked deeper flaws. On 11/01 vs CHA, McDaniels shot a crisp 6-for-10 from the floor while dishing six assists, but hidden costs like poor defensive effort and empty-calorie possessions dragged him down to a disappointing -3.0 Impact.

Jaden McDaniels spent the middle chunk of the season riding a chaotic rollercoaster between two-way brilliance and complete offensive invisibility. The frustrating lows were obvious on 01/21 vs UTA. He tallied a respectable 18 points in that contest, but dragged the team down with a -2.3 Impact score due to forced shot selection and five bricked three-pointers. When he let the game come to him, he was lethal. During a blistering performance on 02/02 vs MEM, McDaniels poured in 29 points on 11-of-14 shooting to post a massive +24.8 Impact score. That elite rating stemmed directly from his scorching perimeter touch and flawless offensive decision-making. Sometimes he didn't even need a heavy workload to tilt the floor. On 01/04 vs WAS, he attempted only four shots for 12 points but still generated a +12.8 Impact score by crashing the glass, distributing the basketball, and playing relentless defense.

Jaden McDaniels spent this late-season stretch riding a maddening seesaw between two-way brilliance and complete invisibility. When his jumper was falling, he was downright lethal. He erupted for 29 points on blistering 12-of-16 shooting to post a massive +26.5 Impact on 02/24 vs POR. Yet, his overall production remained wildly unpredictable, often carrying hidden costs even when he managed to find the basket. Take his performance on 03/13 vs GSW, where he tallied 15 points on highly efficient shooting but still registered a -6.6 Impact because a glaring lack of rebounding dragged down the lineup. Other nights, his erratic shot selection actively harmed the offense. On 03/07 vs ORL, McDaniels bricked all nine of his field goal attempts, sinking his Impact to a dismal -12.7 as he wasted critical possessions. He remains a tantalizing talent, but this erratic span reveals a player who desperately needs to establish a reliable baseline.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Volatile for his role. McDaniels has noticeable ups and downs, with scoring moving ~7 points between games.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 65% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. McDaniels consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 8 games. Longest cold streak: 6 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 71 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. DeRozan 99.5 poss
FG% 54.5%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.15
PTS 15
K. Leonard 92.6 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 10
FG% 50.0%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.21
PTS 19
K. Durant 81.0 poss
FG% 54.5%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 15
T. Murphy III 80.7 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 8
D. Avdija 77.1 poss
FG% 30.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 8
J. Murray 72.5 poss
FG% 64.3%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.28
PTS 20
B. Ingram 70.8 poss
FG% 62.5%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 11
R. O'Neale 64.5 poss
FG% 22.2%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 4
T. Jerome 59.4 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.25
PTS 15

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Murray 110.5 poss
FG% 56.0%
3P% 55.6%
PPP 0.33
PTS 37
FG% 57.1%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.32
PTS 32
K. Durant 96.4 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 18
D. Avdija 91.7 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 14.3%
PPP 0.29
PTS 27
T. Murphy III 84.5 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 9
K. Leonard 77.7 poss
FG% 60.9%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.46
PTS 36
S. Curry 75.7 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 35.7%
PPP 0.41
PTS 31
D. Booker 74.2 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 14
D. Fox 73.7 poss
FG% 58.8%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 23
Z. LaVine 70.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 14

SEASON STATS

84
Games
15.1
PPG
4.5
RPG
2.7
APG
1.0
SPG
1.0
BPG
50.5
FG%
38.5
3P%
83.7
FT%
32.1
MPG

GAME LOG

84 games played