MIN

2025-26 Season

JADEN MCDANIELS

Minnesota Timberwolves | Forward | 6-9
Jaden McDaniels
14.8 PPG
4.2 RPG
2.7 APG
31.9 MPG
+0.2 Impact

McDaniels produces at an average rate for a 32-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+0.2
Scoring +10.1
Points 14.8 PPG × +1.00 = +14.8
Missed 2PT 3.3/g × -0.78 = -2.6
Missed 3PT 2.0/g × -0.87 = -1.7
Missed FT 0.4/g × -1.00 = -0.4
Creation +2.8
Assists 2.7/g × +0.50 = +1.4
Off. Rebounds 1.1/g × +1.26 = +1.4
Turnovers -3.5
Turnovers 1.8/g × -1.95 = -3.5
Defense +2.5
Steals 1.1/g × +2.30 = +2.5
Blocks 1.0/g × +0.90 = +0.9
Def. Rebounds 3.2/g × +0.30 = +1.0
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +3.7
Contested Shots 6.1/g × +0.20 = +1.2
Deflections 2.2/g × +0.65 = +1.4
Loose Balls 0.6/g × +0.60 = +0.4
Screen Assists 0.3/g × +0.30 = +0.1
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.2/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.6
Raw Impact +15.6
Baseline (game-average expected) −15.4
Net Impact
+0.2
52th pctl vs Forwards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 227 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 76th
14.8 PPG
Efficiency 77th
60.6% TS
Playmaking 78th
2.7 APG
Rebounding 54th
4.2 RPG
Rim Protection 46th
0.14/min
Hustle 63th
0.11/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 28th
0.06/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Jaden McDaniels opened the 2025-26 season riding a wildly volatile two-way rollercoaster, oscillating between absolute lockdown terror and passive offensive liability. When fully engaged, his ceiling was terrifying, peaking during 11/07 vs UTA where he posted a massive +18.2 impact score alongside 22 points. That outing was a masterclass in two-way dominance, driven entirely by suffocating Utah's primary creators and punishing defensive lapses. He also found ways to salvage his value when his jumper completely abandoned him. During 11/21 vs PHX, a frigid 0-for-5 night from beyond the arc resulted in just 13 points, yet he still managed a +4.7 impact because elite defensive metrics and high-motor hustle plays overshadowed the shooting woes. Conversely, empty offensive calories frequently dragged down his overall value, perfectly illustrated by his 12/25 vs DEN appearance. Despite pouring in 21 points on highly efficient 9-of-12 shooting in that contest, hidden costs on the margins dropped his overall impact to a disappointing -2.4.

A maddening inconsistency defined this stretch for Jaden McDaniels, who oscillated violently between two-way dominance and offensive invisibility. When fully engaged, he looked untouchable. Just look at his masterpiece on 12/06 vs LAC, where searing offensive efficiency and suffocating wing defense generated a massive +14.3 impact score. Yet, that ceiling was constantly threatened by nights where his offensive execution actively harmed the team. During an ugly outing on 01/10 vs CLE, he posted a disastrous -13.6 impact score because his sharp regression left a massive void in the offensive flow. Even when his raw scoring totals looked respectable, clunky shot selection frequently dragged him down. On 01/20 vs UTA, he managed 18 points but still posted a -6.6 impact score, as a barrage of missed perimeter looks completely negated his otherwise solid defensive metrics.

This mid-season stretch was defined by maddening inconsistency, with Jaden McDaniels oscillating violently between two-way brilliance and total offensive irrelevance. Even when his scoring totals looked robust, hidden costs often dragged his overall value into the red. Take 01/31 vs MEM, where he dropped 20 points on efficient shooting but still posted a -4.2 impact score due to poor floor execution. Conversely, he could easily tilt the game without filling up the basket. During a gritty 02/26 vs LAC matchup, he managed just 12 points but generated a +7.0 impact because his elite defensive metrics completely anchored the rotation. When everything aligned, he was an absolute monster. His ceiling arrived on 02/24 vs POR, where flawless perimeter shot selection and suffocating defense fueled 29 points and an astronomical +23.5 impact score.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. McDaniels's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~7 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 65% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. McDaniels consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Hot right now — 5 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 5 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 71 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. DeRozan 99.5 poss
FG% 54.5%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.15
PTS 15
K. Leonard 92.6 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 10
FG% 50.0%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.21
PTS 19
K. Durant 81.0 poss
FG% 54.5%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 15
T. Murphy III 80.7 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 8
D. Avdija 77.1 poss
FG% 30.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 8
J. Murray 72.5 poss
FG% 64.3%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.28
PTS 20
B. Ingram 70.8 poss
FG% 62.5%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 11
R. O'Neale 64.5 poss
FG% 22.2%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 4
T. Jerome 59.4 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.25
PTS 15

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Murray 110.5 poss
FG% 56.0%
3P% 55.6%
PPP 0.33
PTS 37
FG% 57.1%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.32
PTS 32
K. Durant 96.4 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 18
D. Avdija 91.7 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 14.3%
PPP 0.29
PTS 27
T. Murphy III 84.5 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 9
K. Leonard 77.7 poss
FG% 60.9%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.46
PTS 36
S. Curry 75.7 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 35.7%
PPP 0.41
PTS 31
D. Booker 74.2 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 14
D. Fox 73.7 poss
FG% 58.8%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 23
Z. LaVine 70.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 14

SEASON STATS

71
Games
14.8
PPG
4.2
RPG
2.7
APG
1.1
SPG
1.0
BPG
51.8
FG%
42.1
3P%
83.9
FT%
31.9
MPG

GAME LOG

71 games played