POR

2025-26 Season

ROBERT WILLIAMS III

Portland Trail Blazers | Center-Forward | 6-9
Robert Williams III
6.9PPG
7.1RPG
1.1APG
17.4MPG
+3.6 Impact

III produces at an above average rate for a 17-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+3.6
Scoring +6.2
Points Scored 6.9 PPG = +6.9
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -1.5
Shot Making above expected FG% = +0.8
Creation +0.6
Assists & Self-Creation 1.1 AST/g + self-creation = +0.6
Turnovers -1.7
Turnovers 0.8/g (live + dead blend) = -1.7
Defense +0.5
Steals 0.6/g = +1.4
Blocks 1.4/g = +1.3
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.2
Hustle & Effort +7.7
Rebounds 7.1 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +5.8
Contested Shots 4.4/g = +0.9
Deflections 0.9/g = +0.6
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.2/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 1.0/g = +0.3
Raw Impact +13.3
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.7
Net Impact
+3.6
60th pctl vs Centers

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 93 Centers with 10+ games

Scoring 36th
7.0 PPG
Efficiency 92th
68.5% TS
Playmaking 35th
1.2 APG
Rebounding 65th
7.1 RPG
Defense 45th
+6.0/g
Hustle 49th
+16.8/g
Creation 59th
+2.51/g
Shot Making 22th
+2.67/g
TO Discipline 65th
0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

This twenty-game stretch was defined by a steady climb from brief, ineffective cameos into a highly disruptive rebounding force off the bench. Early on, his short stints actively hurt the team. He bottomed out on 11/06 vs OKC with an abysmal -11.7 impact score in just four minutes—a disaster fueled by rushed jumpers and zero offensive production. He eventually found his rhythm by abandoning forced offense and leaning entirely into his physical tools. During the 11/25 vs MIL matchup, Williams generated a stellar +10.6 impact score despite scoring only eight points. That immense non-scoring value came directly from his relentless defensive energy and rim deterrence. His resurgence peaked on 12/15 vs GSW, where he logged a +10.1 impact score by grabbing 11 rebounds and shooting a flawless 4-for-4 from the field in just 19 minutes. When Williams simply cleans the glass and rolls hard to the rim, he remains a lethal weapon.

Robert Williams III spent the middle part of the season operating as the ultimate low-maintenance, high-yield weapon off the bench. Look at his 01/16 vs ATL performance, where he tallied a mere six points but still generated a massive +12.9 impact score. He completely controlled the glass with 11 rebounds in just 20 minutes, tilting the math without demanding a single play call. He pulled a similar trick on 01/01 vs OKC, logging a +12.0 impact score while scoring just eight points because he never missed from the floor and vacuumed up eight boards in only 16 minutes. Occasional duds still happened. When he failed to assert himself physically on 01/10 vs HOU, his zero-point outing resulted in a brutal -8.4 impact score across seven invisible minutes. Yet, by strictly adhering to a diet of flawless shot selection and relentless rebounding, Williams routinely turned brief shifts into game-altering runs.

Robert Williams III spent this stretch operating as a volatile but utterly devastating bench enforcer. When fully engaged, he broke games open through sheer athletic force and elite shot selection. Look at the 03/04 vs MEM matchup, where he poured in 20 points and grabbed 11 rebounds on 9-of-12 shooting to generate a massive +20.1 Impact score. Yet he didn't even need to score to wreck opponents. During the 03/15 vs PHI contest, he managed just six points but still posted a +11.0 Impact because his 12 rebounds and relentless interior hustle created essential second-chance opportunities. However, when his motor idled, the hidden costs of a limited offensive game dragged him down. Take his performance on 04/06 vs DEN, where a quiet six-point, six-rebound outing resulted in a brutal -7.0 Impact. Without his usual dominance on the glass, his total lack of shooting gravity severely clogged the half-court offense and became a glaring liability.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Volatile for his role. III has noticeable ups and downs, with scoring moving ~4 points between games.

Reliable shooter — hits 45%+ from the field in 90% of games. You can count on efficient nights more often than not.

Defensive difference-maker. III consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: +1.9, second-half: +5.2. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.

Hot right now — 5 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 6 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 75 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

N. Jokić 49.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 6
K. Towns 39.4 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 8
N. Richards 36.8 poss
FG% 83.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 10
A. Drummond 34.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 3
D. Cardwell 34.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
S. Adams 32.8 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 5
R. Kalkbrenner 32.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 4
C. Capela 30.9 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
D. Queen 30.2 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 6
J. Duren 29.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 4

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

N. Jokić 39.6 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 11
R. Kalkbrenner 37.5 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 4
A. Drummond 36.6 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
D. Cardwell 35.4 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 9
N. Richards 26.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 4
R. Gobert 24.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 4
Y. Missi 24.4 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 4
A. Thompson 23.7 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 7
C. Capela 23.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Queen 23.4 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 7

SEASON STATS

65
Games
6.9
PPG
7.1
RPG
1.1
APG
0.6
SPG
1.4
BPG
68.7
FG%
36.4
3P%
58.3
FT%
17.4
MPG

GAME LOG

65 games played