SAS

2025-26 Season

KELLY OLYNYK

San Antonio Spurs | Forward-Center | 7-0
Kelly Olynyk
3.1PPG
1.7RPG
1.1APG
8.3MPG
-6.2 Impact

Olynyk produces at an poor rate for a 8-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-6.2
Scoring +2.9
Points Scored 3.1 PPG = +3.1
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -0.9
Shot Making above expected FG% = +0.7
Creation +0.4
Assists & Self-Creation 1.1 AST/g + self-creation = +0.4
Turnovers -1.2
Turnovers 0.6/g (live + dead blend) = -1.2
Defense -0.1
Steals 0.4/g = +0.9
Blocks 0.1/g = +0.1
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.1
Hustle & Effort +1.4
Rebounds 1.7 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +0.1
Contested Shots 1.9/g = +0.4
Deflections 0.7/g = +0.4
Charges Drawn 0.1/g = +0.2
Loose Balls 0.1/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 0.5/g = +0.2
Raw Impact +3.4
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.6
Net Impact
-6.2
7th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 8th
4.2 PPG
Efficiency 59th
57.7% TS
Playmaking 45th
1.5 APG
Rebounding 10th
2.3 RPG
Defense 7th
+3.2/g
Hustle 10th
+6.7/g
Creation 34th
+1.90/g
Shot Making 10th
+2.67/g
TO Discipline 17th
0.07/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Kelly Olynyk’s early season was defined by a harsh reality check. The veteran big man found himself buried on the bench, struggling to positively influence games in brief, erratic bursts. Even when he stuffed the stat sheet on 11/16 vs SAC with 5 points, 6 rebounds, and 8 assists in 18 minutes, his presence yielded a dismal -8.0 Impact score. Those raw playmaking numbers masked a severe lack of scoring gravity and defensive bleeding that allowed Sacramento to easily exploit his minutes. The wheels completely fell off during a brutal stint on 11/24 vs PHX. Missing all three of his field goal attempts to finish with just 4 points, Olynyk suffered a staggering -14.3 Impact score because his inability to stretch the floor turned him into a glaring offensive liability. He finally broke through the malaise on 12/09 vs NOP, tallying 11 points and a season-best +5.2 Impact score. By sinking four of his seven shots and hitting two triples, he forced the defense to respect him and provided the genuine perimeter spacing his team desperately needed.

Kelly Olynyk spent this fourteen-game stretch clinging to the absolute fringes of the rotation, looking like a veteran whose tank is finally running on empty. His lone flash of vintage form arrived on 01/03 vs IND, where he tallied 10 points, five rebounds, and three assists in 20 minutes. Smart passing and efficient 4-for-6 shooting earned him a solid +5.7 Impact score that night. The magic did not last. The very next night on 01/04 vs POR, Olynyk forced terrible looks from the perimeter and bricked all five of his three-point attempts. That disastrous 2-for-9 shooting performance dragged his Impact down to a dismal -7.7. He eventually bottomed out into pure cardio sessions, highlighted by a ghost-like appearance on 01/19 vs UTA. Failing to record a single point, rebound, or assist in six minutes, his complete lack of physical engagement resulted in a brutal -12.9 Impact score.

This stretch was defined by Kelly Olynyk fading into the deep recesses of the bench, struggling to generate any rhythm during sporadic, low-minute appearances. On 03/03 vs PHI, he logged 12 minutes but failed to score a single point, missing both of his field goal attempts. That offensive invisibility left the second unit completely stagnant, resulting in a brutal -11.1 Impact score. He finally found a way to be useful without filling up the scoring column during a 03/17 vs SAC matchup. Despite managing just 4 points on 1-for-4 shooting, Olynyk clawed his way to a +1.1 Impact by grabbing 6 rebounds and dishing 3 assists to keep possessions alive. A few nights later, he managed a brief flash of his old offensive spark on 03/25 vs MEM. Hitting all of his shots for 9 points and 3 assists in just 9 minutes, his flawless execution yielded a +2.0 Impact, providing a rare bright spot in a month mostly filled with empty cardio.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Olynyk has posted negative impact in 89% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 67% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Average defender. Olynyk doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Flat trajectory all season — first-half impact -6.1, second-half -6.4. No major shifts, which fits with the overall steadiness.

In a rough stretch — 6 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 15 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 70 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

J. Landale 23.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 4
K. Love 20.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Potter 15.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 4
J. Sims 14.6 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 2
D. Sabonis 14.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
R. Fleming 11.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Jackson Jr. 11.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
P. Achiuwa 11.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 2
T. Watford 11.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Huff 11.5 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 2

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Landale 20.4 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 2
O. Anunoby 16.0 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 2
R. Fleming 15.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Williams 13.4 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 4
P. Achiuwa 12.5 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 3
T. Watford 12.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 3
M. Potter 11.8 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 3
M. Raynaud 11.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 2
A. Thiero 10.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
Z. Nnaji 10.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

SEASON STATS

45
Games
3.1
PPG
1.7
RPG
1.1
APG
0.4
SPG
0.1
BPG
50.0
FG%
28.0
3P%
67.5
FT%
8.3
MPG

GAME LOG

45 games played