2025-26 Season
AJ GREEN
2025-26 Season
AJ GREEN
Green produces at an below average rate for a 29-minute workload. Defensive impact (-1.3/game) is a concern.
Green produces at an below average rate for a 29-minute workload. Defensive impact (-1.3/game) is a concern.
PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology
TEAM COMPARISON
of 17 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)
Similar Players
Same position, closest production profile this season.
SKILL DNA
Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games
THE SEASON SO FAR
AJ Green’s first 26 games of the 2025-26 campaign were defined by an extreme, live-by-the-three volatility that made him a wildly unpredictable starter. When his perimeter stroke synced with engaged ball movement, he was highly effective, peaking on 11/30 vs BKN with a +11.0 impact score driven by five triples and five assists. However, even highly efficient shooting nights were sometimes ruined by hidden costs. During the 12/02 vs WAS matchup, Green hit a blistering 4-of-6 from deep for 13 points, but severe defensive lapses on the other end of the floor dragged his overall impact down to a -3.1. When the jumper vanished entirely, he became an outright liability. Look no further than the 12/06 vs PHI disaster, where he bricked all four of his attempts and posted a brutal -16.4 impact score due to a complete lack of rebounding or physical resistance. He remains a pure specialist riding a constant rollercoaster, completely dependent on a hot hand to justify his minutes.
AJ Green's midseason stretch was defined by maddening inconsistency, oscillating wildly between lethal perimeter sniper and complete offensive liability. When his jumper was falling, he looked like a vital rotation piece, dropping 20 points on 6-of-11 shooting from deep alongside a +13.4 Impact score on 12/27 vs MEM. Yet, even his hottest shooting nights often masked severe underlying flaws. Take his performance on 01/19 vs ATL, where he poured in 18 points but registered a meager +0.6 Impact score. Despite hitting six triples in 42 minutes, his overall value was nearly erased by brutal hidden costs elsewhere on the floor, including poor defensive positioning and terrible non-scoring box-score metrics. When the outside shot vanished completely, Green became virtually unplayable. On 02/20 vs NOP, he missed all four of his attempts from beyond the arc and posted a catastrophic -20.0 Impact score. Without his gravity as a floor spacer, his lack of playmaking and defensive lapses were brutally exposed, making him an absolute anchor around the starting lineup's neck.
AJ Green spent most of late winter drowning in a miserable shooting slump before suddenly catching fire in April to salvage his season. Even when his jumper fell early on, like his 15-point outing on 02/25 vs CLE, he still posted a -3.4 impact score because he offered virtually zero playmaking and bled points on the defensive end. He bounced between the starting unit and the bench as his confidence waned. The lowest point came during a dismal 1-for-8 shooting night on 03/08 vs ORL that yielded a brutal -17.4 impact. Then the calendar flipped to April, and his rhythm completely shifted. He absolutely erupted on 04/10 vs BKN, draining an absurd 11 three-pointers en route to a season-high 35 points. That massive +36.4 impact score was certainly driven by his lethal perimeter efficiency, but he also finally paired his shooting with active rebounding and engaged defense to become a complete offensive weapon.
IMPACT TIMELINE
Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.
Boom-or-bust player. Green's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~6 points per game.
Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 49% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.
Defensive impact is minimal for a 29-minute player. Not generating enough contests, rim protection, or forced turnovers to move the needle.
Hot right now — 4 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 4 games.
MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago
Based on 72 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.
ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM
His shooting stats against each primary defender this season
ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED
How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.
SEASON STATS
GAME LOG
78 games played
