DAL

2025-26 Season

BRANDON WILLIAMS

Dallas Mavericks | Guard | 6-1
Brandon Williams
13.0 PPG
2.9 RPG
3.9 APG
22.1 MPG
+0.8 Impact

Williams produces at an average rate for a 22-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+0.8
Scoring +8.0
Points 13.0 PPG × +1.00 = +13.0
Missed 2PT 3.2/g × -0.78 = -2.5
Missed 3PT 1.8/g × -0.87 = -1.6
Missed FT 0.9/g × -1.00 = -0.9
Creation +2.8
Assists 3.9/g × +0.50 = +1.9
Off. Rebounds 0.7/g × +1.26 = +0.9
Turnovers -3.7
Turnovers 1.9/g × -1.95 = -3.7
Defense +1.2
Steals 0.9/g × +2.30 = +2.1
Blocks 0.3/g × +0.90 = +0.3
Def. Rebounds 2.2/g × +0.30 = +0.7
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +2.6
Contested Shots 2.9/g × +0.20 = +0.6
Deflections 1.6/g × +0.65 = +1.0
Loose Balls 0.5/g × +0.60 = +0.3
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.2/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.7
Raw Impact +10.9
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.1
Net Impact
+0.8
77th pctl vs Guards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 67th
13.0 PPG
Efficiency 47th
54.5% TS
Playmaking 71th
3.9 APG
Rebounding 52th
2.9 RPG
Rim Protection 70th
0.14/min
Hustle 77th
0.12/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 14th
0.09/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

A volatile rollercoaster of erratic shot selection and relentless hustle defined Brandon Williams's first 20 games of the 2025-26 season. Promoted to the starting lineup in mid-November, his wild offensive impulses frequently sabotaged his own production. Just look at his 11/10 vs MIL start. He poured in 19 points but still registered a negative -1.1 impact score. Those points came at a steep hidden cost, as a brutal 4-for-12 shooting performance stalled the offense and dragged down his overall value. Conversely, he found ways to actively win minutes on 11/14 vs LAC despite managing just 7 points. He earned a +1.8 impact score in that contest strictly through non-scoring value, utilizing relentless loose-ball recoveries and elite transition pacing to salvage his abysmal shooting. This chaotic profile hit rock bottom on 11/21 vs NOP, when a disastrous 1-for-12 shooting night completely nuked his value to a staggering -14.4 impact.

This twenty-game stretch was defined by frustratingly erratic play, where empty-calorie scoring binges frequently masked a total lack of defensive discipline. When he actually locked in, Williams was a transition terror, peaking on 12/29 vs POR where relentless rim-running and elite hustle metrics drove a massive +17.8 impact score. Yet, too often, his gaudy point totals came with heavy hidden costs. Look at his start on 01/15 vs UTA as a prime example. Despite pouring in 18 points on a blistering 7-for-8 shooting clip, brutal defensive lapses and poor rotational awareness dragged his overall impact down to a disappointing -3.9. He repeated this exact flaw on 01/24 vs LAL, dropping 20 points but suffering a -2.4 impact because severe tunnel vision disrupted the entire offensive flow. Williams clearly has the raw burst to fill it up, but until he stops bleeding value through forced shots and lazy rotations, his minutes will remain a chaotic gamble.

An erratic pendulum swing between brilliant offensive orchestration and fatal defensive lapses defined Brandon Williams's midseason stretch. When fully engaged, he looked like a masterful floor general. He carved up the defense flawlessly on 02/24 vs BKN, racking up 19 points and 10 assists to earn a +3.1 impact score. He even found ways to generate value without scoring, utilizing relentless energy and hustle to post a +2.3 impact despite putting up zero points in five minutes on 03/16 vs NOP. However, his maddening habit of forcing the issue frequently punished his team. During a rough outing on 02/10 vs PHX, Williams drove blindly into heavy traffic, dragging his impact down to a brutal -7.7. Even when his shots fell, as seen in his 16-point performance on 02/26 vs SAC, glaring defensive vulnerabilities completely erased his offensive rhythm and saddled him with a -4.4 impact. He clearly possesses the offensive toolkit to thrive, but he must stop bleeding value on the defensive end to become a truly reliable rotation fixture.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Williams's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~6 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 53% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Williams consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 6 games. Longest cold streak: 5 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 69 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

J. Wells 57.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.4
PTS 23
R. Rollins 52.9 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 10
D. Melton 40.1 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 6
G. Vincent 39.6 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 9
D. DiVincenzo 34.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 9
A. Thompson 32.0 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 8
I. Collier 31.9 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 4
T. Maxey 31.6 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 4
J. Fears 31.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Alvarado 30.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Wells 55.5 poss
FG% 12.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.04
PTS 2
G. Vincent 49.8 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 11
J. Fears 45.8 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 6
R. Sheppard 43.9 poss
FG% 71.4%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.27
PTS 12
D. DiVincenzo 43.1 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.26
PTS 11
R. Rollins 41.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
I. Collier 39.6 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 4
D. Schröder 38.4 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 6
B. Podziemski 38.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
K. Ellis 37.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

SEASON STATS

65
Games
13.0
PPG
2.9
RPG
3.9
APG
0.9
SPG
0.3
BPG
47.0
FG%
23.4
3P%
79.5
FT%
22.1
MPG

GAME LOG

65 games played