DAL

2025-26 Season

BRANDON WILLIAMS

Dallas Mavericks | Guard | 6-1
Brandon Williams
13.0PPG
2.9RPG
3.9APG
22.2MPG
0.0 Impact

Williams produces at an average rate for a 22-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+0.0
Scoring +11.1
Points Scored 13.0 PPG = +13.0
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -4.1
Shot Making above expected FG% = +2.2
Creation +1.7
Assists & Self-Creation 3.9 AST/g + self-creation = +1.7
Turnovers -4.4
Turnovers 1.9/g (live + dead blend) = -4.4
Defense +0.7
Steals 0.9/g = +2.1
Blocks 0.3/g = +0.3
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.7
Hustle & Effort +1.9
Rebounds 2.9 RPG (OREB + DREB) = -0.2
Contested Shots 2.9/g = +0.6
Deflections 1.6/g = +1.1
Charges Drawn 0.1/g = +0.1
Loose Balls 0.5/g = +0.3
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +11.0
Baseline (game-average expected) −11.0
Net Impact
+0.0
60th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 68th
13.0 PPG
Efficiency 50th
54.7% TS
Playmaking 73th
3.9 APG
Rebounding 51th
2.9 RPG
Defense 50th
+7.3/g
Hustle 34th
+7.6/g
Creation 97th
+5.91/g
Shot Making 28th
+5.01/g
TO Discipline 16th
0.09/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Brandon Williams's first 22 games were defined by a tantalizing promotion to the starting lineup that quickly collapsed under the weight of erratic shot selection. Coming off the bench early on, he flashed brilliant offensive efficiency, dropping 20 points on 9-of-14 shooting for a +13.1 Impact on 10/30 vs IND. That earned him a starting gig. He peaked in his new role on 11/13 vs PHX, pairing 17 points with nine assists to generate a massive +13.5 Impact. However, the increased offensive burden soon exposed his glaring limitations as a perimeter threat. During a disastrous outing on 11/22 vs NOP, Williams managed to dish out a season-high 12 assists, but his atrocious 1-of-12 shooting from the floor completely tanked the offense and resulted in a brutal -20.3 Impact. By late November, his inability to hit jumpers forced a permanent retreat back to the second unit.

Brandon Williams spent the middle of the 2025-26 season as the ultimate wildcard, oscillating violently between brilliant microwave scoring and outright liability. When fully engaged, he was a lethal offensive weapon, erupting for 26 points on blistering 9-of-12 shooting off the bench during the 12/25 vs GSW matchup to post a massive +15.3 Impact score. Yet his bucket-getting often masked severe defensive apathy and empty-calorie production. Look no further than his 01/16 vs UTA start, where he poured in 18 points on near-perfect 7-of-8 shooting but still registered a dismal -3.3 Impact score because he completely ignored the glass and bled points on the perimeter. He fixed those exact flaws the very next night in a rematch on 01/17 vs UTA. By grabbing four rebounds, dishing five assists, and actually fighting on defense, Williams generated a dominant +18.1 Impact score to match his 22 points. He clearly possesses the raw talent to tilt games, but his refusal to contribute beyond the scoring column on off nights keeps his overall value grounded.

Brandon Williams spent this stretch oscillating wildly between electric sparkplug and frustrating liability, struggling to find a consistent rhythm as he bounced between the starting lineup and the bench. His performance on 02/24 vs BKN perfectly captured this maddening duality. Despite pouring in 19 points and dishing 10 assists on a blistering 9-of-11 from the floor, he somehow finished with a -0.8 Impact score, a glaring indicator that his offensive creation was entirely negated by defensive lapses and hidden costs on the other end. Conversely, he found ways to tilt the floor without dominating the scoring column on 03/12 vs MEM. He managed only 12 points, but his +5.1 Impact score was earned in the trenches through aggressive rebounding—grabbing eight boards—and steadying the second unit with five assists. When he fully locked in, as he did on 04/03 vs ORL, his aggressive downhill attacking yielded 23 points and a massive +11.9 Impact score. He clearly has the raw offensive talent to swing games, but surviving in this league requires eliminating the empty-calorie outings.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Williams's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~6 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 54% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Williams consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Slight upward trend. First-half impact: -1.0, second-half: +1.1. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 7 games. Longest cold streak: 5 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 69 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

J. Wells 57.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.4
PTS 23
R. Rollins 52.9 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 10
D. Melton 40.1 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 6
G. Vincent 39.6 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 9
D. DiVincenzo 34.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 9
A. Thompson 32.0 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 8
I. Collier 31.9 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 4
T. Maxey 31.6 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 4
J. Fears 31.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Alvarado 30.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Wells 55.5 poss
FG% 12.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.04
PTS 2
G. Vincent 49.8 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 11
J. Fears 45.8 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 6
R. Sheppard 43.9 poss
FG% 71.4%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.27
PTS 12
D. DiVincenzo 43.1 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.26
PTS 11
R. Rollins 41.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
I. Collier 39.6 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 4
D. Schröder 38.4 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 6
B. Podziemski 38.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
K. Ellis 37.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

SEASON STATS

66
Games
13.0
PPG
2.9
RPG
3.9
APG
0.9
SPG
0.3
BPG
47.2
FG%
23.2
3P%
79.3
FT%
22.2
MPG

GAME LOG

66 games played