2025-26 Season
JOSE ALVARADO
2025-26 Season
JOSE ALVARADO
Alvarado produces at an below average rate for a 18-minute workload.
Alvarado produces at an below average rate for a 18-minute workload.
PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology
TEAM COMPARISON
of 14 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)
Similar Players
Same position, closest production profile this season.
SKILL DNA
Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games
ON / OFF COURT
NOP performance per 100 possessions with Alvarado on vs off the floor · 1,728 poss on, 4,608 off
THE SEASON SO FAR
Jose Alvarado’s start to the 2025-26 campaign was defined by maddening inconsistency, oscillating wildly between a game-changing sparkplug and an outright offensive liability. When his jumper fell, he looked like a premier backup, erupting on 11/05 vs CHA for 18 points and six assists to post a massive +15.3 Impact score. Yet, raw point totals often masked his erratic decision-making when he hunted shots too aggressively. During the 11/17 vs GSW matchup, he tallied 18 points but still dragged the second unit down with a -0.5 Impact score, as his scoring output was completely hollowed out by a severe lack of rebounding and a failure to facilitate for his teammates. Fortunately, Alvarado eventually remembered he doesn't need to dominate the scoring column to tilt the floor. In the 12/06 vs BKN game, he managed just nine points but generated a +1.8 Impact score by leaning into his true strengths: distributing the basketball for six assists, taking highly efficient shots, and wreaking havoc as a defensive pest.
This midseason stretch was defined by a brutal, prolonged offensive freeze that routinely tanked his on-court value. Alvarado's usual energetic spark sputtered into a net-negative slog, perfectly captured on 01/03 vs POR when he went scoreless on 0-of-3 shooting to post a catastrophic -20.0 Impact score. His sheer offensive invisibility and refusal to pressure the rim simply starved his teammates of spacing. Yet, he suddenly erupted out of nowhere on 02/11 vs PHI. He poured in 26 points on 8-of-13 shooting from deep, generating a massive +27.5 Impact because his unexpected perimeter gravity completely broke the opposing defensive scheme. He even found ways to salvage his value when his jumper abandoned him again. Take his +6.7 Impact on 02/21 vs HOU; despite scoring just eight points, his relentless defensive hustle and timely passing tilted the math back in his team's favor.
This stretch of the season was defined by erratic offensive irrelevance punctuated by brief flashes of starting-lineup brilliance. As a reserve, Alvarado routinely cratered his team's momentum with empty minutes and brutal shot selection. He completely bottomed out on 03/09 vs LAC, posting a dismal -15.3 impact score after missing all four of his attempts and failing to score in just eight minutes of floor time. Yet, when thrust into the starting five, he suddenly transformed into a dynamic floor general. On 03/17 vs IND, Alvarado erupted for 16 points and 10 assists, generating a stellar +8.3 impact score by pairing hot perimeter shooting with elite distribution. However, his return to the bench brought back his worst habits. During the 03/29 vs OKC matchup, he managed eight points but logged a brutal -13.4 impact score because his inefficient 3-for-10 shooting completely derailed the second unit's offensive flow. He remains a chaotic pendulum, swinging violently between a spark-plug playmaker and a total offensive black hole.
Jose Alvarado’s final 20 games were a masterclass in chaotic inconsistency, swinging from a liability to a game-changing force from one night to the next. This stretch was defined by a brutal late-March slump, where his high-volume, inefficient shooting vs OKC on Mar 29 contributed to a dismal -13.0 impact score. Yet, his value as a spark plug remained undeniable, as he immediately responded with a +9.1 impact outburst vs HOU on Mar 31, injecting life with hyper-efficient scoring on 5-of-6 shooting. His peak came in a rare start vs CHA on Apr 12, where 34 minutes of action allowed him to unleash his defensive menace for a massive +9.3 defensive impact. Even when his offense disappeared, his value was clear; his two-point night vs CHI on Apr 03 still produced a positive impact because his +4.4 defensive rating came from wreaking his signature backcourt havoc. Alvarado wasn't a steady hand, but a jolt of pure energy whose contributions were measured in frantic possessions and forced turnovers.
IMPACT TIMELINE
Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.
Struggling. Alvarado has posted negative impact in 79% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.
Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 36% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.
Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Alvarado locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.
In a rough stretch — 14 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 17 games.
MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 20 days ago
Based on 78 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.
ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM
His shooting stats against each primary defender this season
ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED
How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.
SEASON STATS
GAME LOG
87 games played
