NYK

2025-26 Season

JOSE ALVARADO

New York Knicks | Guard | 6-0
Jose Alvarado
7.1PPG
2.3RPG
3.1APG
18.6MPG
-3.6 Impact

Alvarado produces at an below average rate for a 19-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-3.6
Scoring +6.3
Points Scored 7.1 PPG = +7.1
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -2.7
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.9
Creation +0.8
Assists & Self-Creation 3.1 AST/g + self-creation = +0.8
Turnovers -2.5
Turnovers 1.1/g (live + dead blend) = -2.5
Defense +0.9
Steals 0.9/g = +2.1
Blocks 0.1/g = +0.1
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.3
Hustle & Effort +1.4
Rebounds 2.3 RPG (OREB + DREB) = -0.2
Contested Shots 0.9/g = +0.2
Deflections 1.8/g = +1.2
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.3/g = +0.2
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +6.9
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.5
Net Impact
-3.6
36th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 31th
7.2 PPG
Efficiency 34th
52.3% TS
Playmaking 60th
3.2 APG
Rebounding 32th
2.4 RPG
Defense 89th
+11.6/g
Hustle 53th
+9.2/g
Creation 56th
+3.01/g
Shot Making 64th
+7.54/g
TO Discipline 49th
0.06/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Jose Alvarado’s start to the 2025-26 campaign was defined by maddening inconsistency, oscillating wildly between a game-changing sparkplug and an outright offensive liability. When his jumper fell, he looked like a premier backup, erupting on 11/05 vs CHA for 18 points and six assists to post a massive +15.3 Impact score. Yet, raw point totals often masked his erratic decision-making when he hunted shots too aggressively. During the 11/17 vs GSW matchup, he tallied 18 points but still dragged the second unit down with a -0.5 Impact score, as his scoring output was completely hollowed out by a severe lack of rebounding and a failure to facilitate for his teammates. Fortunately, Alvarado eventually remembered he doesn't need to dominate the scoring column to tilt the floor. In the 12/06 vs BKN game, he managed just nine points but generated a +1.8 Impact score by leaning into his true strengths: distributing the basketball for six assists, taking highly efficient shots, and wreaking havoc as a defensive pest.

This midseason stretch was defined by a brutal, prolonged offensive freeze that routinely tanked his on-court value. Alvarado's usual energetic spark sputtered into a net-negative slog, perfectly captured on 01/03 vs POR when he went scoreless on 0-of-3 shooting to post a catastrophic -20.0 Impact score. His sheer offensive invisibility and refusal to pressure the rim simply starved his teammates of spacing. Yet, he suddenly erupted out of nowhere on 02/11 vs PHI. He poured in 26 points on 8-of-13 shooting from deep, generating a massive +27.5 Impact because his unexpected perimeter gravity completely broke the opposing defensive scheme. He even found ways to salvage his value when his jumper abandoned him again. Take his +6.7 Impact on 02/21 vs HOU; despite scoring just eight points, his relentless defensive hustle and timely passing tilted the math back in his team's favor.

This stretch of the season was defined by erratic offensive irrelevance punctuated by brief flashes of starting-lineup brilliance. As a reserve, Alvarado routinely cratered his team's momentum with empty minutes and brutal shot selection. He completely bottomed out on 03/09 vs LAC, posting a dismal -15.3 impact score after missing all four of his attempts and failing to score in just eight minutes of floor time. Yet, when thrust into the starting five, he suddenly transformed into a dynamic floor general. On 03/17 vs IND, Alvarado erupted for 16 points and 10 assists, generating a stellar +8.3 impact score by pairing hot perimeter shooting with elite distribution. However, his return to the bench brought back his worst habits. During the 03/29 vs OKC matchup, he managed eight points but logged a brutal -13.4 impact score because his inefficient 3-for-10 shooting completely derailed the second unit's offensive flow. He remains a chaotic pendulum, swinging violently between a spark-plug playmaker and a total offensive black hole.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Alvarado has posted negative impact in 77% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 37% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Alvarado locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

In a rough stretch — 5 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 17 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 68 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

T. McConnell 53.8 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.19
PTS 10
D. Fox 43.8 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
I. Joe 38.1 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 5
C. Sexton 36.8 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 3
R. Sheppard 35.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.23
PTS 8
R. Dillingham 35.1 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 7
B. Williams 32.3 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
R. Rupert 30.0 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 4
D. Harper 27.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 8
J. LaRavia 26.7 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.26
PTS 7

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

T. McConnell 53.9 poss
FG% 77.8%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 15
D. Fox 49.4 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 15
R. Sheppard 45.4 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 11
A. Reaves 38.4 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.52
PTS 20
C. Sexton 34.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 6
P. Pritchard 33.5 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
D. Booker 33.5 poss
FG% 55.6%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.36
PTS 12
A. Edwards 31.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 7
B. Williams 30.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Jones 30.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 8

SEASON STATS

78
Games
7.1
PPG
2.3
RPG
3.1
APG
0.9
SPG
0.1
BPG
42.1
FG%
36.2
3P%
77.6
FT%
18.6
MPG

GAME LOG

78 games played