TOR

2025-26 Season

SCOTTIE BARNES

Toronto Raptors | Forward-Guard | 6-8
Scottie Barnes
18.6PPG
7.4RPG
6.1APG
33.9MPG
+12.0 Impact

Barnes produces at an elite rate for a 34-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+12.0
Scoring +16.2
Points Scored 18.6 PPG = +18.6
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -5.8
Shot Making above expected FG% = +3.4
Creation +2.0
Assists & Self-Creation 6.1 AST/g + self-creation = +2.0
Turnovers -6.2
Turnovers 2.7/g (live + dead blend) = -6.2
Defense +1.7
Steals 1.4/g = +3.2
Blocks 1.5/g = +1.4
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.9
Hustle & Effort +6.3
Rebounds 7.4 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +2.9
Contested Shots 5.1/g = +1.0
Deflections 2.8/g = +1.8
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.5/g = +0.3
Screen Assists 0.9/g = +0.3
Raw Impact +20.0
Baseline (game-average expected) −8.0
Net Impact
+12.0
91st pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 87th
18.6 PPG
Efficiency 62th
58.1% TS
Playmaking 97th
6.1 APG
Rebounding 92th
7.4 RPG
Defense 81th
+9.9/g
Hustle 96th
+24.0/g
Creation 99th
+6.33/g
Shot Making 71th
+7.29/g
TO Discipline 10th
0.08/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

This early-season stretch marked a clear role change for Scottie Barnes, elevating him from a versatile puzzle piece into an undisputed offensive engine. He peaked on 11/14 vs CLE with a massive 28-point, 10-rebound, 8-assist night that generated a staggering +29.6 impact score. That elite rating stemmed directly from his aggressive rim pressure and relentless hustle, forcing defenses to collapse while creating wide-open looks for his teammates. Even when his scoring volume dropped, Barnes found ways to dictate the game's flow. Take the game on 11/12 vs BKN, where he managed just 15 points on nine shot attempts but still posted a robust +14.3 impact by dominating the boards with 11 rebounds and acting as a vital connective playmaker. However, his passive tendencies occasionally surfaced to drag down the lineup, notably during a lethargic dud on 10/27 vs SAS. Attempting a mere seven shots for 8 points and grabbing just three rebounds, his sheer lack of offensive aggression and poor defensive rotation resulted in a dismal -6.8 impact score.

This middle stretch of the season marked Scottie Barnes’s absolute arrival as a terrifying, do-it-all offensive hub. Look no further than his monstrous performance on 12/28 vs GSW, where he racked up 23 points, 10 assists, and a staggering 25 rebounds to generate a +34.3 Impact score. That sky-high rating reflected his sheer physical dominance on the glass and his refusal to settle for bad perimeter shots. Even when his scoring touch abandoned him, Barnes found ways to tilt the floor. During his 01/26 vs OKC matchup, he shot a meager 3-for-8 for 10 points, yet still posted a +8.5 Impact score by bullying his way to 11 rebounds and dishing out eight assists. He wasn't entirely immune to lethargic nights, though, like his 12/21 vs BKN outing where passive shot selection resulted in just six points and a -4.9 Impact score. Still, those quiet outings were rare anomalies for a player whose relentless motor consistently overwhelmed opposing defenses.

This late-season stretch was defined by Scottie Barnes fully embracing his destiny as a towering, offensive-engine point forward. He hit his absolute peak as a floor general on 03/29 vs ORL, dishing out 15 assists to go with 23 points on efficient 9-for-14 shooting, driving a massive +25.9 Impact score. Even when his shot abandoned him, he found ways to dominate the flow of the game. Look at his performance on 03/25 vs LAC. Despite scoring just 9 points on 4-for-11 shooting, Barnes generated a +10.7 Impact score by ripping down 8 rebounds and handing out 12 assists, creating immense non-scoring value through his elite court vision and relentless hustle. However, his pass-first mentality occasionally backfired into damaging passivity. On 03/31 vs DET, he tallied 12 assists but attempted only 8 shots for a mere 5 points, resulting in a dismal -11.2 Impact score because his refusal to attack the rim allowed defenders to completely sag off and suffocate the offense.

This late-season stretch was defined by Scottie Barnes fully embracing the role of primary offensive hub, yielding wildly volatile results. When fully engaged, he was an absolute maestro. Look no further than Mar 29 vs ORL, where he racked up 23 points and 15 assists to post a staggering +26.7 impact score by picking apart the defense with surgical precision. Even when his jumper abandoned him, as it did on Mar 11 vs NOP, he still salvaged a +3.1 impact despite scoring just 9 points because his relentless effort provided massive non-scoring value, generating a +22.7 defensive score. Yet, that two-way focus frequently vanished. During Mar 08 vs DAL, he tallied 17 points, but hidden costs dragged him down to a dismal -6.3 overall impact when a porous -6.1 defensive rating completely erased his offensive contributions. Barnes clearly has the vision to run a modern offense, but his tendency to oscillate between dominant orchestration and passive execution remains maddening.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Very consistent. Barnes posts positive impact in 86% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~6 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 63% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Barnes consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +13.6, second-half: +10.4. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

Hot right now — 11 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 21 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 73 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

P. Siakam 126.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 30
J. Johnson 108.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 8
M. Bridges 104.9 poss
FG% 69.2%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 20
J. Hart 96.1 poss
FG% 48.1%
3P% 41.7%
PPP 0.32
PTS 31
E. Mobley 75.1 poss
FG% 43.8%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 15
J. Randle 72.4 poss
FG% 62.5%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 13
O. Okongwu 71.5 poss
FG% 55.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 24
P. Banchero 65.8 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 8
G. Antetokounmpo 62.5 poss
FG% 55.6%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.19
PTS 12
D. Barlow 61.2 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 12

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

P. Siakam 132.4 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 35.7%
PPP 0.25
PTS 33
J. Johnson 123.8 poss
FG% 71.4%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 26
E. Mobley 112.9 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.12
PTS 14
K. Towns 82.4 poss
FG% 38.9%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 17
L. James 71.7 poss
FG% 52.9%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 20
P. Banchero 69.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 14
G. Antetokounmpo 69.8 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 9
M. Bridges 66.3 poss
FG% 46.2%
3P% 14.3%
PPP 0.23
PTS 15
Z. Williamson 64.4 poss
FG% 36.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 11
J. Brunson 56.6 poss
FG% 42.1%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 17

SEASON STATS

87
Games
18.6
PPG
7.4
RPG
6.1
APG
1.4
SPG
1.5
BPG
50.7
FG%
31.0
3P%
81.2
FT%
33.9
MPG

GAME LOG

87 games played