TOR

2025-26 Season

SCOTTIE BARNES

Toronto Raptors | Forward-Guard | 6-8
Scottie Barnes
18.2 PPG
7.6 RPG
5.8 APG
33.8 MPG
+5.2 Impact

Barnes produces at an elite rate for a 34-minute workload. 2.7 turnovers per game cost 5.3 points of value nightly. Elite defensive value (+4.4/game) is a major strength.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+5.2
Scoring +11.8
Points 18.2 PPG × +1.00 = +18.2
Missed 2PT 5.0/g × -0.78 = -3.9
Missed 3PT 2.1/g × -0.87 = -1.8
Missed FT 0.7/g × -1.00 = -0.7
Creation +5.3
Assists 5.8/g × +0.50 = +2.9
Off. Rebounds 1.9/g × +1.26 = +2.4
Turnovers -5.3
Turnovers 2.7/g × -1.95 = -5.3
Defense +4.4
Steals 1.4/g × +2.30 = +3.2
Blocks 1.5/g × +0.90 = +1.4
Def. Rebounds 5.7/g × +0.30 = +1.7
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +4.6
Contested Shots 6.0/g × +0.20 = +1.2
Deflections 3.2/g × +0.65 = +2.1
Loose Balls 0.6/g × +0.60 = +0.4
Screen Assists 1.0/g × +0.30 = +0.3
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.2/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.6
Raw Impact +20.8
Baseline (game-average expected) −15.6
Net Impact
+5.2
91st pctl vs Forwards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 227 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 85th
18.2 PPG
Efficiency 56th
57.4% TS
Playmaking 97th
5.8 APG
Rebounding 92th
7.6 RPG
Rim Protection 86th
0.20/min
Hustle 80th
0.13/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 9th
0.08/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Scottie Barnes opened his 2025-26 campaign riding a wildly unpredictable wave of two-way dominance and frustrating offensive lapses. Even when he filled the bucket, hidden costs often dragged down his overall effectiveness. During the 10/26 vs DAL matchup, he poured in a massive 33 points, but forced shots and careless decisions muted his impact to just +7.4. Conversely, he salvaged a brutal 5-for-16 shooting night on 11/07 vs ATL. Despite scoring a quiet 14 points, Barnes stayed above water with a +2.2 impact score by anchoring the interior defense and relentlessly generating second-chance opportunities. When his basketball IQ matched his physical brawn, he was an absolute terror.

This stretch was defined by absolute physical bullying, as Barnes routinely leveraged his massive frame to dictate terms in the paint and on the glass. Nowhere was this sheer force more apparent than on 12/28 vs GSW, where he posted a monstrous 23-point, 25-rebound, 10-assist triple-double. That historic night yielded an absurd +26.6 impact score, driven entirely by relentless glass-cleaning and elite defensive anchoring. He brought a similar level of two-way terror on 12/04 vs LAL, racking up 23 points and 11 rebounds while generating a +13.4 impact through elite defensive anticipation and bruising drives to the rim. But when he drifted from the paint, his effectiveness vanished. On 12/20 vs BOS, he settled for clanking forced jumpers and failed to finish through contact, dragging his impact down to a dismal -8.2. As long as he refused to settle and operated as a downhill battering ram, his overall value remained sky-high.

This twenty-game stretch was defined by sheer, overwhelming physicality that turned Barnes into an absolute wrecking ball on both ends of the floor. Look no further than the 02/08 vs IND matchup. Barnes bullied his way to 25 points and 14 rebounds, posting an absurd +23.9 impact score by generating extra possessions and punishing mismatches in the paint. He didn't even need a massive scoring total to dictate the terms of engagement. On 02/11 vs DET, he logged a modest 17 points but registered a towering +16.5 impact because his elite playmaking from the high post and defensive dominance suffocated the opposition. Sometimes, the bottom just fell out. During a 02/19 vs CHI tilt, a clunky offensive performance dragged his overall impact down to -6.1, completely negating his otherwise stellar defensive rotations.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Very consistent. Barnes posts positive impact in 76% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~6 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 62% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Barnes consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Small downward trend. First-half impact: +6.1, second-half: +4.2. Not alarming yet, but trending the wrong direction.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 11 games. Longest cold streak: 3 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 73 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

P. Siakam 126.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 30
J. Johnson 108.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 8
M. Bridges 104.9 poss
FG% 69.2%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 20
J. Hart 96.1 poss
FG% 48.1%
3P% 41.7%
PPP 0.32
PTS 31
E. Mobley 75.1 poss
FG% 43.8%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 15
J. Randle 72.4 poss
FG% 62.5%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 13
O. Okongwu 71.5 poss
FG% 55.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 24
P. Banchero 65.8 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 8
G. Antetokounmpo 62.5 poss
FG% 55.6%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.19
PTS 12
D. Barlow 61.2 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 12

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

P. Siakam 132.4 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 35.7%
PPP 0.25
PTS 33
J. Johnson 123.8 poss
FG% 71.4%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 26
E. Mobley 112.9 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.12
PTS 14
K. Towns 82.4 poss
FG% 38.9%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 17
L. James 71.7 poss
FG% 52.9%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 20
P. Banchero 69.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 14
G. Antetokounmpo 69.8 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 9
M. Bridges 66.3 poss
FG% 46.2%
3P% 14.3%
PPP 0.23
PTS 15
Z. Williamson 64.4 poss
FG% 36.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 11
J. Brunson 56.6 poss
FG% 42.1%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 17

SEASON STATS

74
Games
18.2
PPG
7.6
RPG
5.8
APG
1.4
SPG
1.5
BPG
50.2
FG%
29.0
3P%
81.7
FT%
33.8
MPG

GAME LOG

74 games played