TOR

2025-26 Season

JAMAL SHEAD

Toronto Raptors | Guard | 6-1
Jamal Shead
6.8PPG
1.8RPG
5.4APG
23.3MPG
-4.8 Impact

Shead produces at an below average rate for a 23-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-4.8
Scoring +5.3
Points Scored 6.8 PPG = +6.8
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -3.1
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.6
Creation +1.2
Assists & Self-Creation 5.4 AST/g + self-creation = +1.2
Turnovers -3.3
Turnovers 1.4/g (live + dead blend) = -3.3
Defense +0.8
Steals 1.0/g = +2.3
Blocks 0.2/g = +0.2
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.7
Hustle & Effort +1.1
Rebounds 1.8 RPG (OREB + DREB) = -0.9
Contested Shots 1.9/g = +0.4
Deflections 1.8/g = +1.2
Charges Drawn 0.1/g = +0.2
Loose Balls 0.2/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 0.2/g = +0.1
Raw Impact +5.1
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.9
Net Impact
-4.8
26th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 26th
6.8 PPG
Efficiency 14th
46.7% TS
Playmaking 86th
5.4 APG
Rebounding 12th
1.8 RPG
Defense 93th
+11.8/g
Hustle 34th
+7.6/g
Creation 94th
+5.27/g
Shot Making 34th
+5.33/g
TO Discipline 43th
0.06/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Jamal Shead spent his first 28 games of the 2025-26 season trapped in a brutal offensive slump, struggling to translate his raw playmaking into winning basketball. The growing pains were glaring during a disastrous 11/20 vs PHI matchup. A completely scoreless outing dragged his overall Impact down to a staggering -14.5. Even when he managed to rack up double-digit assists, hidden costs routinely tanked his value. Take his 12/19 vs MIL performance, where an 11-assist night was completely negated by poor shot selection and a 3-for-9 shooting clip, resulting in a harsh -11.7 Impact score. Yet, there were brief flashes where his pure point guard instincts salvaged his minutes. During the 11/22 vs WAS game, Shead tallied just seven points but dished out 10 assists, generating a +3.0 Impact because he effectively orchestrated the second unit without forcing a single bad shot. He clearly possesses the court vision to stick in an NBA rotation, but until he stops throwing up bricks from the perimeter, his overall influence will remain a net negative.

This midseason stretch was defined by an ugly shooting slump and a volatile, fleeting promotion to the starting lineup. Shead briefly found a rhythm on 01/11 vs PHI, pouring in 22 points on 7-for-15 shooting as a starter to generate a +10.1 Impact score. Yet his raw production frequently masked deeper inefficiencies. On 01/17 vs LAC, he racked up 15 points and a massive 13 assists but still dragged the team down with a -1.8 Impact. That negative mark stemmed directly from his erratic 4-for-11 shooting and empty possessions that stalled the broader offense. Once relegated back to the bench, his confidence completely cratered. The absolute bottom fell out on 02/11 vs DET, where a scoreless 0-for-5 shooting night resulted in a catastrophic -19.0 Impact. You simply cannot survive in an NBA rotation when your scoring threat is this hollow.

This late-season stretch was defined by a brutal offensive slump where Jamal Shead's playmaking ambitions frequently sabotaged his actual on-court value. Look at his start on 03/23 vs UTA. He racked up a massive 14 assists in 29 minutes, yet posted a disastrous -14.9 Impact score. Those lofty assist totals masked a sloppy floor game and poor overall shot selection, as his 2-for-6 shooting dragged the entire unit down. He finally found the right balance on 03/29 vs ORL. Generating 12 points and 10 assists, Shead earned a stellar +16.4 Impact by hitting 4 of his 5 shots and completely cutting out forced perimeter looks to run a highly efficient offense. Even when his jumper caught fire late in the year, hidden costs limited his effectiveness. During his 17-point outburst on 04/18 vs CLE, he sank five three-pointers but managed just a +2.9 Impact because he largely abandoned his playmaking duties and grabbed a single rebound.

This stretch of the season was an offensive wasteland defined by severe passivity and erratic finishing, dragging down Shead's overall value despite occasional flashes of elite playmaking. His struggles peaked on Mar 05 vs MIN, where he posted a disastrous -17.2 impact score due to errant finishing at the rim and a brutal string of live-ball turnovers. Even when he piled up raw counting stats, his absolute refusal to look at the basket carried heavy hidden costs. During a start on Mar 23 vs UTA, Shead dished out 14 assists but still registered a -13.1 impact score because his severe lack of scoring gravity allowed defenders to sag off and clog passing lanes. He finally flipped the script on Mar 29 vs ORL. Earning another start, he generated a massive +21.6 impact score by pairing 12 points and 10 assists with suffocating point-of-attack defense that completely rattled the opposition. Unfortunately, that brilliant two-way performance was the exception rather than the rule, as his overall inability to space the floor routinely handicapped the second unit.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Shead has posted negative impact in 78% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 23% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Shead locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 3 games. Longest cold streak: 14 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 75 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

T. Maxey 90.6 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 12
J. Brunson 59.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.12
PTS 7
C. Sexton 57.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 5
D. Jenkins 43.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 5
R. Rollins 38.3 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 8
D. Garland 36.5 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 5
T. McConnell 35.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 6
Q. Grimes 35.0 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 3
B. Sheppard 34.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Nembhard 33.5 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

T. Maxey 111.0 poss
FG% 61.1%
3P% 62.5%
PPP 0.24
PTS 27
J. Brunson 65.4 poss
FG% 46.7%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.31
PTS 20
D. Mitchell 56.9 poss
FG% 53.8%
3P% 44.4%
PPP 0.37
PTS 21
S. Curry 50.4 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 14
A. Nembhard 48.3 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 13
K. Knueppel 47.5 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 8
P. Pritchard 43.4 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
C. Sexton 40.3 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 8
B. Carrington 38.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 3
T. McConnell 36.8 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 6

SEASON STATS

89
Games
6.8
PPG
1.8
RPG
5.4
APG
1.0
SPG
0.2
BPG
36.6
FG%
32.2
3P%
77.0
FT%
23.3
MPG

GAME LOG

89 games played