CLE

2025-26 Season

SAM MERRILL

Cleveland Cavaliers | Guard | 6-4
Sam Merrill
12.7 PPG
2.6 RPG
2.4 APG
26.4 MPG
-2.0 Impact

Merrill produces at an below average rate for a 26-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-2.0
Scoring +8.2
Points 12.7 PPG × +1.00 = +12.7
Missed 2PT 0.8/g × -0.78 = -0.6
Missed 3PT 4.2/g × -0.87 = -3.7
Missed FT 0.2/g × -1.00 = -0.2
Creation +2.1
Assists 2.4/g × +0.50 = +1.2
Off. Rebounds 0.7/g × +1.26 = +0.9
Turnovers -1.6
Turnovers 0.8/g × -1.95 = -1.6
Defense +0.2
Steals 0.6/g × +2.30 = +1.4
Blocks 0.1/g × +0.90 = +0.1
Def. Rebounds 2.0/g × +0.30 = +0.6
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +3.1
Contested Shots 3.0/g × +0.20 = +0.6
Deflections 1.5/g × +0.65 = +1.0
Charges Drawn 0.1/g × +2.70 = +0.3
Loose Balls 0.3/g × +0.60 = +0.2
Screen Assists 0.6/g × +0.30 = +0.2
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.3/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.8
Raw Impact +12.0
Baseline (game-average expected) −14.0
Net Impact
-2.0
37th pctl vs Guards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 65th
12.7 PPG
Efficiency 97th
62.9% TS
Playmaking 42th
2.4 APG
Rebounding 43th
2.6 RPG
Rim Protection 3th
0.05/min
Hustle 49th
0.10/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 85th
0.03/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Sam Merrill’s opening stretch was defined by extreme volatility, oscillating wildly between lethal off-ball gravity and disastrous defensive vulnerability. Even when his outside stroke caught fire, hidden costs often dragged down his overall value. During 01/04 vs DET, he poured in 15 points on blazing 5-for-7 perimeter shooting, yet posted a -3.4 impact score because opposing guards completely abused his lack of resistance at the point of attack. Conversely, when he actively punished drop coverage without bleeding points on the other end, his floor-spacing transformed the entire offense. He caught absolute fire during 12/23 vs NOP, hitting six triples for 22 points and generating a massive +11.1 impact score. But his value completely evaporated when his quick trigger betrayed him. He essentially shot his team out of the building during 11/10 vs MIA, jacking up contested, early-clock looks to finish 4-for-16 from deep with an abysmal -14.0 impact score. Ultimately, Merrill remains a high-risk specialist whose offensive explosions constantly fight a war against his own defensive limitations.

Sam Merrill’s midseason stretch was defined by whiplash-inducing volatility, oscillating wildly between historic shooting clinics and catastrophic floor minutes. When his jumper was dialed in, he was a lethal offensive weapon. This peak was obvious on 02/11 vs WAS; he erupted for 32 points on 9-of-10 shooting from deep, posting a staggering +21.2 impact score. Yet, when the perimeter magic faded, his value completely cratered. During a disastrous outing on 02/07 vs SAC, brutal shot selection and an 0-for-5 mark from beyond the arc tanked his overall impact to a devastating -19.4. Even when he managed to score, hidden costs frequently dragged his value into the red. He put up 14 points on 02/25 vs MIL, but severe defensive struggles and poor efficiency from deep resulted in an abysmal -16.1 impact score. As a pure movement shooter, Merrill remains a high-variance gamble who either shoots his team to victory or bleeds points on the other end of the floor.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Merrill's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~7 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 60% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Average defender. Merrill doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Small downward trend. First-half impact: -0.5, second-half: -3.4. Not alarming yet, but trending the wrong direction.

In a rough stretch — 4 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 4 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 51 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. Robinson 113.1 poss
FG% 38.5%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 14
A. Green 78.1 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.26
PTS 20
J. Brunson 56.4 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.11
PTS 6
R. Rollins 44.9 poss
FG% 11.1%
3P% 11.1%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
T. Herro 43.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 10
D. Bane 40.0 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 5
D. DiVincenzo 39.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 9
N. Powell 39.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Jones 38.7 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 8
T. Murphy III 33.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.21
PTS 7

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

A. Green 100.3 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.15
PTS 15
D. Robinson 98.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.14
PTS 14
J. Brunson 43.4 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 12
T. Herro 42.9 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 4
T. Jones 39.0 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 12
D. DiVincenzo 38.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
M. Bridges 38.7 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 12
R. Rollins 38.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 8
D. Bane 37.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 10
T. Murphy III 37.3 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 5

SEASON STATS

50
Games
12.7
PPG
2.6
RPG
2.4
APG
0.6
SPG
0.1
BPG
46.0
FG%
42.1
3P%
86.2
FT%
26.4
MPG

GAME LOG

50 games played