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TOR

2025-26 Season

JA'KOBE WALTER

Toronto Raptors | Guard | 6-4
Ja'Kobe Walter
7.8PPG
2.6RPG
1.2APG
21.5MPG
-1.5 Impact

Walter produces at an below average rate for a 22-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-1.5
Scoring +6.9
Points Scored 7.8 PPG = +7.8
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -2.7
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.8
Creation +0.5
Assists & Self-Creation 1.2 AST/g + self-creation = +0.5
Turnovers -1.2
Turnovers 0.5/g (live + dead blend) = -1.2
Defense +0.5
Steals 1.1/g = +2.5
Blocks 0.2/g = +0.2
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.2
Hustle & Effort +2.1
Rebounds 2.6 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +0.0
Contested Shots 2.2/g = +0.4
Deflections 2.0/g = +1.3
Charges Drawn 0.1/g = +0.2
Loose Balls 0.3/g = +0.2
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +8.8
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.3
Net Impact
-1.5
52th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 38th
8.0 PPG
Efficiency 63th
55.9% TS
Playmaking 15th
1.2 APG
Rebounding 45th
2.7 RPG
Defense 41th
+6.8/g
Hustle 61th
+10.2/g
Creation 40th
+2.49/g
Shot Making 42th
+5.97/g
TO Discipline 95th
0.02/min

ON / OFF COURT

TOR performance per 100 possessions with Walter on vs off the floor · 2,198 poss on, 3,696 off

Team net — ON court
+0.3
ORtg 87.8 · DRtg 87.6
Team net — OFF court
+4.1
ORtg 93.6 · DRtg 89.5
On/Off swing
-3.9
Points per 100 possessions the team gains (or loses) when he plays

THE SEASON SO FAR

Ja'Kobe Walter's first 25 games were defined by wild shooting variance and a brief, chaotic promotion to the starting lineup. During a sudden late-November hot streak, he torched the nets on 11/23 vs BKN. He poured in 16 points on near-perfect 6-for-7 shooting, generating a +9.8 Impact score purely through elite shot-making. Even when his jumper went quiet, he occasionally found ways to contribute. Take his +1.7 Impact on 11/22 vs WAS, where he scored just 3 points but stayed engaged with smart passing and timely rebounding. However, his move to the starting unit exposed glaring flaws in his offensive approach. Look no further than 12/06 vs CHA, where he bricked all seven of his field goal attempts to post a dismal -6.8 Impact score. When his outside shot isn't falling, his empty possessions severely drag down his overall value on the floor.

Ja'Kobe Walter’s midseason stretch was defined by maddening inconsistency, swinging wildly between vital rotational cog and outright liability. He occasionally found ways to influence winning without a reliable jumper, notably on 12/30 vs ORL where he posted a stellar +10.9 Impact despite scoring just 10 points on 2-of-6 shooting. That high mark stemmed from crashing the glass for seven rebounds and executing the gritty, unglamorous hustle plays that keep second units afloat. However, when his shot selection soured, the bottom completely fell out. During the 01/28 vs NYK matchup, Walter put up a total goose egg with zero points on 0-of-6 from the field, resulting in a disastrous -14.7 Impact. Forcing bad perimeter looks while failing to contribute as a playmaker severely punished his team on those cold nights. He clearly has the offensive ceiling to thrive, hitting five threes for 19 points and a +11.5 Impact during a start on 01/10 vs BOS, but he desperately needs to flatten out these wild swings.

Ja'Kobe Walter's late-season run was defined by a drastic role elevation, transforming from a lost bench piece into a lethal spot-starter. Early on, he looked completely unplayable, posting a brutal -10.5 Impact score on 03/03 vs NYK while failing to score a single point. Everything clicked when he earned a starting nod on 03/23 vs UTA, erupting for 21 points on blistering 6-of-8 shooting from deep to generate a massive +13.6 Impact score. His sudden ability to stretch the floor with decisive, high-efficiency shot selection completely opened up the offense. Even when his jumper abandoned him, he learned how to win his minutes, logging a +7.3 Impact score on 04/03 vs MEM despite scoring just seven points on 2-of-9 shooting. He salvaged that rough offensive night by crashing the glass for eight rebounds and making the gritty hustle plays that keep a rotation afloat. Walter finally stopped forcing the action and simply started playing winning basketball.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Walter's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~6 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 44% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Walter locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: -4.4, second-half: +1.3. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.

Hot right now — 4 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 4 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 20 days ago

Based on 75 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. Mitchell 118.2 poss
FG% 18.2%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 8
J. Brunson 69.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.22
PTS 15
J. Harden 68.8 poss
FG% 30.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.13
PTS 9
D. Bane 41.9 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
S. Merrill 41.8 poss
FG% 22.2%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 8
A. Simons 41.5 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.22
PTS 9
M. Strus 40.0 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.42
PTS 17
K. Knueppel 40.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Nembhard 39.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
N. Powell 36.7 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

D. Mitchell 132.6 poss
FG% 47.4%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.33
PTS 44
J. Brunson 58.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.39
PTS 23
D. Bane 57.8 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 5
K. Knueppel 48.0 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 6
M. Strus 47.2 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.17
PTS 8
S. Merrill 43.7 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 11
J. Harden 42.3 poss
FG% 71.4%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.38
PTS 16
A. Nembhard 39.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
N. Powell 38.4 poss
FG% 27.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.23
PTS 9
J. Tyson 37.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 5

SEASON STATS

79
Games
7.8
PPG
2.6
RPG
1.2
APG
1.1
SPG
0.2
BPG
43.5
FG%
39.6
3P%
80.4
FT%
21.5
MPG

GAME LOG

79 games played