2025-26 Season
KEON ELLIS
2025-26 Season
KEON ELLIS
Ellis produces at an below average rate for a 19-minute workload.
Ellis produces at an below average rate for a 19-minute workload.
PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology
TEAM COMPARISON
of 18 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)
Similar Players
Same position, closest production profile this season.
SKILL DNA
Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games
THE SEASON SO FAR
Keon Ellis spent the first quarter of the season trapped in a maddeningly inconsistent slump, struggling to carve out a reliable role off the bench. He flashed his ceiling on 11/13 vs ATL, pouring in 20 points on six made three-pointers to generate a stellar +10.7 impact score. Unfortunately, those perimeter barrages were rare exceptions in a sea of empty shifts. Look no further than 12/04 vs HOU, where he logged 20 minutes of pure cardio, missing all four of his shots to post a dreadful -17.7 impact. When his jumper abandoned him, his failure to grab rebounds or get to the free-throw line severely punished his team's momentum. He did manage to salvage his value later on 12/12 vs DEN despite shooting a miserable 1-for-7 from deep. By shifting his focus to moving the ball for four assists and grinding out defensive stops, he scraped together a +1.4 impact score, finding a way to survive on a night his shot was completely broken.
This midseason stretch was defined by maddening inconsistency, as Keon Ellis fluctuated wildly between looking like a dynamic sparkplug and a complete offensive ghost. When he actually hunted his shot with confidence, the results were undeniable. During a spot start on 12/27 vs DAL, he poured in 21 points on 5-for-10 shooting from deep, earning a massive +14.9 Impact score by aggressively punishing closeouts. Yet, even when his raw point totals looked respectable, poor decisions often dragged down his actual value on the floor. Look at the 01/03 vs PHX matchup, where Ellis scored 14 points in 34 minutes but still posted a -4.3 Impact score due to erratic shot selection and a complete lack of playmaking. Conversely, he occasionally found ways to contribute without filling the cup, like on 01/07 vs DAL. In that contest, he tallied a measly five points but secured a +1.3 Impact score by relying on relentless defensive energy and crucial hustle plays to tilt the margins.
This stretch of the season was a chaotic rollercoaster for Keon Ellis, defined by a fluctuating role and wild swings between lethal perimeter marksmanship and total offensive invisibility. When he found his rhythm, he was an absolute game-changer. Look at his performance on 03/09 vs PHI, where he poured in 19 points on 4-for-7 shooting from deep to earn a massive +14.9 Impact score by ruthlessly punishing defensive gaps. Remarkably, he could also tilt the floor positively without scoring, as seen on 03/01 vs BKN. Despite managing a meager 4 points in 32 minutes, he still posted a +3.4 Impact because his relentless defensive ball pressure and gritty hustle kept the second unit afloat. The downside was his tendency to stall out completely when his jumper abandoned him. During a spot start on 03/15 vs DAL, he registered a grim -9.6 Impact, dragged into the red by a brutal 1-for-5 night from beyond the arc and a total inability to create meaningful offense.
IMPACT TIMELINE
Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.
Inconsistent. Ellis has clear good-night/bad-night splits, with scoring swinging ~6 points between games. You're never quite sure which version shows up.
Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 45% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.
Defensive difference-maker. Ellis consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.
Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: -6.1, second-half: -2.4. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.
In a rough stretch — 4 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 6 games.
MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago
Based on 74 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.
ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM
His shooting stats against each primary defender this season
ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED
How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.
SEASON STATS
GAME LOG
80 games played
