CLE

2025-26 Season

LARRY NANCE JR.

Cleveland Cavaliers | Forward-Center | 6-6
Larry Nance Jr.
3.3 PPG
2.6 RPG
0.9 APG
11.9 MPG
-1.2 Impact

Jr. produces at an below average rate for a 12-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-1.2
Scoring +1.5
Points 3.3 PPG × +1.00 = +3.3
Missed 2PT 0.9/g × -0.78 = -0.7
Missed 3PT 1.2/g × -0.87 = -1.0
Missed FT 0.1/g × -1.00 = -0.1
Creation +1.3
Assists 0.9/g × +0.50 = +0.5
Off. Rebounds 0.6/g × +1.26 = +0.8
Turnovers -1.0
Turnovers 0.5/g × -1.95 = -1.0
Defense -0.1
Steals 0.5/g × +2.30 = +1.1
Blocks 0.1/g × +0.90 = +0.1
Def. Rebounds 1.9/g × +0.30 = +0.6
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +1.7
Contested Shots 1.4/g × +0.20 = +0.3
Deflections 1.3/g × +0.65 = +0.8
Charges Drawn 0.1/g × +2.70 = +0.3
Loose Balls 0.3/g × +0.60 = +0.2
Screen Assists 0.5/g × +0.30 = +0.1
Raw Impact +3.4
Baseline (game-average expected) −4.6
Net Impact
-1.2
34th pctl vs Forwards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 227 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 5th
3.5 PPG
Efficiency 7th
45.0% TS
Playmaking 25th
1.0 APG
Rebounding 23th
2.9 RPG
Rim Protection 50th
0.14/min
Hustle 86th
0.13/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 85th
0.03/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Larry Nance Jr.'s first twenty games were defined by a crippling offensive slump that frequently turned his minutes into a black hole for the second unit. His complete inability to convert around the basket or stretch the floor was glaring on 10/31 vs TOR, where a scoreless 20-minute shift yielded a catastrophic -14.2 impact score. Even when he managed to find the basket, hidden defensive costs dragged his rating into the red. On 11/05 vs PHI, he scored 7 points—a relative scoring outburst for him—but still posted a -1.2 impact because he consistently arrived late on weak-side rotations and failed to anchor the bench defense. Yet, Nance occasionally salvaged his value through sheer veteran discipline. During a 13-minute stint on 01/21 vs CHA, he tallied just 5 points but generated a stellar +4.1 impact by making quick decisions and providing a masterclass in low-usage efficiency. To survive in this rotation, he must rely entirely on connective passing and defensive positioning rather than forcing a broken offensive game.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Jr.'s impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~3 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 67% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Jr. locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: -3.4, second-half: +0.9. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 3 games. Longest cold streak: 9 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 56 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

S. Mamukelashvili 26.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Watford 20.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.29
PTS 6
J. Poeltl 17.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 3
K. Porziņģis 16.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 1
B. Portis 15.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
B. Ingram 15.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Huff 14.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
O. Okongwu 14.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Gueye 13.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
N. Clowney 12.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 2

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

S. Mamukelashvili 19.6 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.36
PTS 7
J. Huff 18.3 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 2
K. Porziņģis 16.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 3
B. Ingram 16.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.5
PTS 8
J. Poeltl 16.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Watford 14.5 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.48
PTS 7
O. Okongwu 14.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
B. Portis 13.9 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 2
M. Gueye 13.6 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 2
A. Drummond 12.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

31
Games
3.3
PPG
2.6
RPG
0.9
APG
0.5
SPG
0.1
BPG
38.2
FG%
34.5
3P%
57.1
FT%
11.9
MPG

GAME LOG

31 games played