CLE

2025-26 Season

LARRY NANCE JR.

Cleveland Cavaliers | Forward-Center | 6-6
Larry Nance Jr.
3.5PPG
2.5RPG
0.9APG
12.2MPG
-6.0 Impact

Jr. produces at an poor rate for a 12-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-6.0
Scoring +2.7
Points Scored 3.5 PPG = +3.5
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -1.6
Shot Making above expected FG% = +0.8
Creation +0.3
Assists & Self-Creation 0.9 AST/g + self-creation = +0.3
Turnovers -1.3
Turnovers 0.6/g (live + dead blend) = -1.3
Hustle & Effort +2.1
Rebounds 2.5 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +0.8
Contested Shots 1.2/g = +0.2
Deflections 1.1/g = +0.7
Charges Drawn 0.1/g = +0.2
Loose Balls 0.2/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 0.4/g = +0.1
Raw Impact +3.8
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.8
Net Impact
-6.0
9th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 6th
4.0 PPG
Efficiency 8th
48.0% TS
Playmaking 23th
1.1 APG
Rebounding 22th
2.9 RPG
Defense 32th
+6.0/g
Hustle 7th
+6.3/g
Creation 32th
+1.87/g
Shot Making 7th
+2.43/g
TO Discipline 70th
0.04/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Larry Nance Jr.’s first dozen games of the 2025-26 campaign were defined by a crippling offensive slump that steadily erased his spot in the rotation. The veteran big man hit rock bottom during a disastrous stint on 10/31 vs TOR. He bricked all six of his field goal attempts in 20 minutes, yielding a brutal -16.6 Impact score. Despite earning a spot in the starting lineup two days later on 11/02 vs ATL, his shooting woes only worsened. He clanked eight of his nine shots, generating a dismal -12.1 Impact score because his four assists and four rebounds simply could not offset the offensive void he created on the floor. By the time he suited up on 11/15 vs MEM, Nance was barely an afterthought. He saw just four minutes of action, registering empty zeroes across his stat line and a -16.1 Impact score to cap off a truly miserable stretch of basketball.

Larry Nance Jr. spent this twelve-game stretch fighting a losing battle against irrelevance. Relegated to brief cameos at the end of the rotation, his limitations were glaringly obvious on 11/29 vs ATL, where a scoreless ten minutes yielded an abysmal -13.4 Impact score. When a frontcourt player completely vanishes from the offensive flow and fails to crash the glass, those empty cardio minutes severely bleed team value. He briefly flipped the script on 01/30 vs PHX. In just ten minutes, Nance poured in nine points to generate a stellar +10.4 Impact score, driven by decisive shot selection and a rare made three-pointer. Yet, even when he found the bottom of the net, his overall floor game remained suspect, as seen on 02/04 vs LAC. Despite scoring eight points in just eight minutes, he barely broke even with a +0.1 Impact score because his defensive rotations and rebounding presence were virtually nonexistent.

Larry Nance Jr. spent this stretch of the season battling irrelevance at the very end of the rotation, struggling to find any consistent rhythm during sporadic, low-leverage minutes. His brutal outing on 02/25 vs MIL perfectly captured this deep-bench slump. He logged zero points and grabbed just two rebounds in eight minutes, resulting in a dismal -12.1 Impact score as he floated through possessions without altering the game on either end of the floor. Even when Nance finally found the bottom of the net on 04/06 vs MEM with 10 points, his overall value remained notably underwater with a -5.1 Impact. That negative grade stemmed from hidden costs on the floor, as his inability to stretch the defense from beyond the arc and lack of playmaking stalled the second unit's momentum. He did manage one brief flash of his veteran utility when thrust into the starting lineup on 04/12 vs WAS. Given a longer leash, Nance tallied 10 points, six boards, and three assists, earning a +2.0 Impact by finally blending efficient inside scoring with the connective passing and rebounding effort that usually defines his true value.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Jr. has posted negative impact in 81% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 67% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Average defender. Jr. doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 1 games. Longest cold streak: 13 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 56 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

S. Mamukelashvili 26.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Watford 20.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.29
PTS 6
J. Poeltl 17.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 3
K. Porziņģis 16.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 1
B. Portis 15.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
B. Ingram 15.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Huff 14.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
O. Okongwu 14.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Gueye 13.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
N. Clowney 12.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 2

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

S. Mamukelashvili 19.6 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.36
PTS 7
J. Huff 18.3 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 2
K. Porziņģis 16.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 3
B. Ingram 16.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.5
PTS 8
J. Poeltl 16.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Watford 14.5 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.48
PTS 7
O. Okongwu 14.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
B. Portis 13.9 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 2
M. Gueye 13.6 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 2
A. Drummond 12.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

37
Games
3.5
PPG
2.5
RPG
0.9
APG
0.6
SPG
0.2
BPG
41.9
FG%
33.3
3P%
46.2
FT%
12.2
MPG

GAME LOG

37 games played