ORL

2025-26 Season

DESMOND BANE

Orlando Magic | Guard | 6-6
Desmond Bane
20.0PPG
4.2RPG
3.9APG
33.9MPG
+10.7 Impact

Bane produces at an elite rate for a 34-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+10.7
Scoring +18.5
Points Scored 20.0 PPG = +20.0
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -5.9
Shot Making above expected FG% = +4.4
Creation +1.4
Assists & Self-Creation 3.9 AST/g + self-creation = +1.4
Turnovers -4.6
Turnovers 2.0/g (live + dead blend) = -4.6
Defense +0.1
Steals 1.1/g = +2.5
Blocks 0.4/g = +0.4
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.8
Hustle & Effort +3.5
Rebounds 4.2 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +1.2
Contested Shots 4.0/g = +0.8
Deflections 1.5/g = +1.0
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.6/g = +0.4
Screen Assists 0.3/g = +0.1
Raw Impact +18.9
Baseline (game-average expected) −8.2
Net Impact
+10.7
93th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 91th
20.0 PPG
Efficiency 82th
58.6% TS
Playmaking 73th
3.9 APG
Rebounding 80th
4.2 RPG
Defense 74th
+9.5/g
Hustle 57th
+9.8/g
Creation 84th
+4.21/g
Shot Making 90th
+9.79/g
TO Discipline 45th
0.06/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Desmond Bane spent the first 28 games of the season toggling between unstoppable offensive force and ice-cold liability. When his jumper was falling, he was an absolute wrecking ball, peaking on 12/02 vs CHI where a hyper-efficient 37-point barrage generated a staggering +37.3 Impact. But his shot selection occasionally cratered his overall value. This was glaringly obvious during his 12/06 vs MIA disaster. He forced ugly looks to the tune of 2-for-16 shooting in that contest, yielding a dismal -16.1 Impact because his offensive stubbornness actively killed possessions. Yet, Bane still found ways to keep his head above water on quieter nights. Take his 11/01 vs WAS performance; he scored just 5 points, but squeezed out a +0.4 Impact by dialing back his shot volume to focus on gritty hustle plays and the five assists that kept the offense moving. He is a lethal scorer, but surviving his erratic shooting nights requires him to lean heavily on those secondary playmaking instincts.

This mid-season stretch was defined by absolute offensive combustion, with Desmond Bane evolving from a reliable perimeter threat into an unstoppable scoring engine. He occasionally fell into brief chucking spells where poor shot selection cratered his overall value. Look no further than his dismal 01/08 vs BKN performance, where a forced 4-for-14 shooting night yielded just 9 points and dragged him down to a -5.3 Impact. Yet even when his jumper betrayed him, he found ways to stay on the floor through sheer grit. During the 01/18 vs MEM matchup, Bane managed a meager 11 points, but his relentless defensive effort and timely hustle plays still generated a positive +2.4 Impact. By late February, he abandoned the bad habits entirely and caught fire. He torched defenses with ruthless efficiency, culminating in a spectacular 02/22 vs LAC outing where he poured in 36 points on 13-of-19 shooting to post a staggering +35.7 Impact.

Desmond Bane evolved into a ruthless, multi-dimensional engine during the final third of the season, blending scorching perimeter shooting with gritty peripheral contributions. He reached his absolute ceiling in the 03/11 vs CLE matchup, erupting for 35 points, six rebounds, and six assists on blistering 12-for-19 shooting to post a staggering +31.0 Impact score. That massive number stemmed directly from his pristine shot selection and relentless playmaking, which completely dismantled Cleveland's defensive coverages. Even when his jumper abandoned him, he still found ways to tilt the floor. During the 04/17 vs CHA game, he clanked his way to 4-for-14 from the field for just 13 points, yet still managed a +8.0 Impact score because he crashed the glass for seven critical rebounds and generated extra possessions through sheer hustle. He wasn't entirely immune to flat performances, though. On 04/10 vs CHI, a total lack of aggression and rhythm rendered him virtually invisible, resulting in just two points on four shots and a dismal -7.0 Impact score.

Desmond Bane's late-season stretch was defined by maddening inconsistency, oscillating wildly between two-way brilliance and catastrophic shot selection. His actual value rarely matched the raw box score. On Mar 08 vs MIL, he posted a modest 18 points but generated a staggering +15.1 impact score through relentless defensive ball pressure and elite navigation around off-ball screens. He peaked offensively a few nights later on Mar 11 vs CLE, racking up 35 points and a +15.3 impact rating by punishing drop coverages with pristine shot selection. Then came the inevitable regression. On Mar 14 vs MIA, Bane managed a respectable 21 points but dragged his overall impact down to a dismal -8.7. A barrage of forced, missed perimeter looks heavily weighed down his effectiveness, revealing the hidden costs of his erratic offensive diet.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Very consistent. Bane posts positive impact in 86% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~8 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 54% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Bane consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: +8.6, second-half: +12.8. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.

Hot right now — 10 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 20 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 75 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

M. Bridges 114.0 poss
FG% 35.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 14
A. Nembhard 101.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.19
PTS 19
D. Mitchell 93.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.31
PTS 29
FG% 50.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.17
PTS 15
P. Larsson 71.2 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.1
PTS 7
D. White 69.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.14
PTS 10
T. Johnson 67.3 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 11
K. Knueppel 65.0 poss
FG% 53.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.29
PTS 19
D. Wade 59.8 poss
FG% 41.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 13
A. Dosunmu 56.8 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 15

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

M. Bridges 84.6 poss
FG% 56.2%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 22
D. White 81.8 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 37.5%
PPP 0.18
PTS 15
P. Larsson 81.5 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 11
N. Powell 72.7 poss
FG% 43.8%
3P% 12.5%
PPP 0.22
PTS 16
A. Nesmith 69.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 9
T. Johnson 68.2 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 4
FG% 38.5%
3P% 22.2%
PPP 0.23
PTS 13
D. Wade 54.5 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 7
M. Christie 53.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
V. Edgecombe 52.7 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 11

SEASON STATS

91
Games
20.0
PPG
4.2
RPG
3.9
APG
1.1
SPG
0.4
BPG
47.6
FG%
39.7
3P%
90.3
FT%
33.9
MPG

GAME LOG

91 games played