MEM

2025-26 Season

JAYLEN WELLS

Memphis Grizzlies | Forward | 6-7
Jaylen Wells
12.5 PPG
3.2 RPG
1.6 APG
26.4 MPG
-1.6 Impact

Wells produces at an below average rate for a 26-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-1.6
Scoring +7.2
Points 12.5 PPG × +1.00 = +12.5
Missed 2PT 2.3/g × -0.78 = -1.8
Missed 3PT 3.4/g × -0.87 = -3.0
Missed FT 0.5/g × -1.00 = -0.5
Creation +1.8
Assists 1.6/g × +0.50 = +0.8
Off. Rebounds 0.8/g × +1.26 = +1.0
Turnovers -2.1
Turnovers 1.1/g × -1.95 = -2.1
Defense +1.0
Steals 0.9/g × +2.30 = +2.1
Blocks 0.1/g × +0.90 = +0.1
Def. Rebounds 2.4/g × +0.30 = +0.7
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +3.5
Contested Shots 3.5/g × +0.20 = +0.7
Deflections 1.6/g × +0.65 = +1.0
Loose Balls 0.5/g × +0.60 = +0.3
Screen Assists 0.2/g × +0.30 = +0.1
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.5/g uncredited × +2.70 = +1.4
Raw Impact +11.4
Baseline (game-average expected) −13.0
Net Impact
-1.6
27th pctl vs Forwards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 227 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 67th
12.5 PPG
Efficiency 48th
56.6% TS
Playmaking 51th
1.6 APG
Rebounding 28th
3.2 RPG
Rim Protection 17th
0.09/min
Hustle 83th
0.13/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 66th
0.04/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

A wildly erratic opening twenty games defined Jaylen Wells's season, marked by extreme shooting volatility and a constant struggle to generate value when his jumper abandoned him. During his 11/28 vs LAC matchup, Wells managed a +3.6 impact score despite shooting a miserable 2-for-7 from the floor, salvaging his night through relentless off-ball activity and crisp defensive rotations. Conversely, a highly efficient 12-point scoring night on 11/09 vs OKC yielded a -3.1 impact score because his poor rotational awareness and defensive liabilities bled points on the other end. He finally put the entire package together on 11/26 vs NOP. Punishing defensive rotations with lethal accuracy, he poured in 25 points on 9-of-11 shooting to post a massive +8.2 impact score driven by elite shot selection. When his decision-making tightens up, he looks like a terrifying wing weapon. But until he stops forcing contested looks on his cold nights, his overall value will remain trapped on a frustrating rollercoaster.

A sharp regression into reckless shot selection and offensive futility defined this brutal mid-season stretch for Jaylen Wells. He initially looked like a brilliant two-way connector. During the 12/07 vs POR matchup, he posted a stellar +11.4 impact score by capitalizing on defensive miscommunications and finding soft spots in the zone for easy looks. Yet, warning signs were flashing earlier during the 11/30 vs SAC contest. Despite pouring in 15 points on flawless perimeter execution, he still posted a -1.8 impact because severe lapses in his off-ball engagement dragged down his overall value. Those underlying issues eventually boiled over into a catastrophic mid-winter slump. The wheels completely fell off on 12/20 vs WAS, where a 4-point, 2-for-10 shooting disaster generated a staggering -20.0 impact score. Rather than playing within the flow of the offense, he repeatedly forced contested perimeter looks early in the shot clock, yielding long rebounds and easy transition points for opponents that entirely erased his defensive hustle.

This twenty-game stretch was defined by empty-calorie scoring binges that repeatedly masked underlying structural flaws in Jaylen Wells's game. Look no further than the 02/11 vs DEN matchup. He poured in 17 points on hyper-efficient 7/9 shooting, yet posted a baffling -5.0 impact score. That negative mark stemmed entirely from a disastrous defensive showing (def:-9.5), as his aggressive offensive approach completely overwhelmed his focus on the other end of the floor. He eventually aligned his volume with actual winning basketball on 02/21 vs MIA. An unexpected offensive explosion yielded 25 points, driving a robust +8.8 impact score as he simply outgunned the opposition. The illusion did not last. By the 03/07 vs LAC game, Wells bricked his way to a dismal 2/8 mark from deep, combining terrible perimeter shot selection with porous point-of-attack defense to crater his overall value with a disastrous -13.2 impact score.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Wells's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~6 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 46% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Wells locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 4 games. Longest cold streak: 6 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 72 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. DeRozan 77.8 poss
FG% 76.9%
3P% 83.3%
PPP 0.36
PTS 28
T. Murphy III 75.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.09
PTS 7
L. Dončić 74.7 poss
FG% 35.7%
3P% 27.3%
PPP 0.17
PTS 13
J. Harden 73.6 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 19
J. Murray 57.1 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 16
K. George 55.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 12
B. Williams 55.5 poss
FG% 12.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.04
PTS 2
A. Edwards 54.7 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 10
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 4
L. Ball 48.3 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 16.7%
PPP 0.14
PTS 7

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Harden 116.9 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 45.5%
PPP 0.18
PTS 21
L. Dončić 101.1 poss
FG% 55.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.32
PTS 32
A. Edwards 93.5 poss
FG% 42.1%
3P% 14.3%
PPP 0.29
PTS 27
K. George 85.2 poss
FG% 45.5%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 18
J. Murray 79.4 poss
FG% 53.3%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 20
T. Murphy III 70.2 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.2
PTS 14
Z. LaVine 67.2 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 80.0%
PPP 0.33
PTS 22
C. McCollum 62.0 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.13
PTS 8
D. Booker 60.5 poss
FG% 38.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 12
FG% 64.3%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.4
PTS 24

SEASON STATS

69
Games
12.5
PPG
3.2
RPG
1.6
APG
0.9
SPG
0.1
BPG
43.1
FG%
35.3
3P%
78.4
FT%
26.4
MPG

GAME LOG

69 games played