NOP

2025-26 Season

KARLO MATKOVIĆ

New Orleans Pelicans | Forward-Center | 6-10
Karlo Matković
5.7PPG
3.7RPG
0.8APG
14.7MPG
-4.4 Impact

Matković produces at an below average rate for a 15-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-4.4
Scoring +5.3
Points Scored 5.7 PPG = +5.7
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -1.4
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.0
Creation +0.2
Assists & Self-Creation 0.8 AST/g + self-creation = +0.2
Turnovers -1.4
Turnovers 0.5/g (live + dead blend) = -1.4
Defense -0.5
Steals 0.4/g = +0.9
Blocks 0.9/g = +0.8
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.2
Hustle & Effort +3.2
Rebounds 3.7 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +1.1
Contested Shots 4.7/g = +0.9
Deflections 1.0/g = +0.7
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.1
Loose Balls 0.3/g = +0.2
Screen Assists 0.8/g = +0.2
Raw Impact +6.8
Baseline (game-average expected) −11.2
Net Impact
-4.4
23th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 24th
6.0 PPG
Efficiency 100th
74.3% TS
Playmaking 15th
0.9 APG
Rebounding 46th
3.9 RPG
Defense 10th
+4.2/g
Hustle 42th
+11.4/g
Creation 54th
+2.50/g
Shot Making 12th
+2.79/g
TO Discipline 74th
0.04/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Karlo Matković spent the first quarter of the season fighting for scraps at the end of the bench, flashing occasional offensive efficiency but largely struggling to keep his head above water. When given a real runway on 11/05 vs CHA, he capitalized brilliantly, pouring in 13 points and grabbing six boards in just 15 minutes. That crisp execution around the rim—hitting 6 of his 7 shots—earned him a +4.0 Impact score, revealing his value as an energy big when he simply finishes plays. He even stretched the floor effectively on 11/18 vs OKC, hitting a pair of threes during a 22-minute shift to generate a +2.5 Impact. However, those bright spots were heavily outnumbered by brief, disastrous stints where the game moved entirely too fast for him. Look no further than his outing on 12/24 vs CLE, where he forced the issue offensively to shoot a dismal 1-for-6 from the floor. That erratic shot selection dragged him down to a brutal -14.0 Impact score in only 10 minutes, a stark reminder of why he remains a fringe rotation piece.

Karlo Matković spent this midseason stretch battling severe inconsistency, bouncing between brief flashes of offensive rhythm and long stretches of glaring negative impact. When thrust into the starting lineup on 01/08 vs ATL, he managed just two points and coughed up a disastrous -10.0 Impact score as his hesitant shot selection stalled the offense. Even when he scored the ball well, hidden costs often ruined his overall value. During the 01/11 vs ORL matchup, he poured in an efficient 11 points on perfect shooting but still registered a -0.1 Impact score because he completely abandoned the glass, failing to grab a single rebound in 18 minutes. His spotty defensive awareness frequently bled points for the second unit. Yet, just when his rotation spot seemed completely lost, he bounced back brilliantly on 02/09 vs SAC. He bullied his way to 12 points and nine boards in that contest, generating a massive +11.8 Impact score by finally combining his soft touch around the rim with relentless rebounding effort.

Karlo Matković spent this twenty-game stretch as a wildly unpredictable backup big, swinging violently between highly efficient two-way play and disastrous stretches of perimeter chucking. When he embraced his physical tools, he was a massive asset. He peaked on 03/16 vs DAL with 13 points and 10 rebounds in just 20 minutes. His stellar +12.7 Impact that night stemmed from relentless glass-cleaning and knocking down both of his three-point attempts. Yet, his focus frequently drifted. During the 02/26 vs UTA matchup, he scored a highly efficient 8 points on 3-of-4 shooting but still posted a dismal -5.5 Impact. That negative mark reflected the hidden costs of his floor time, as he grabbed a meager four rebounds in 25 minutes and failed to anchor the second unit's defense. The bottom completely fell out on 03/19 vs LAC, where he registered a brutal -11.3 Impact by abandoning his interior game and forcing terrible perimeter shots to finish 0-for-6 from the floor.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Inconsistent. Matković has clear good-night/bad-night splits, with scoring swinging ~4 points between games. You're never quite sure which version shows up.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 65% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Matković consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: -6.1, second-half: -2.8. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 3 games. Longest cold streak: 6 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 65 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

O. Ighodaro 28.8 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.35
PTS 10
K. Durant 25.3 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 3
J. Collins 23.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 3
Q. Post 22.4 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 7
J. Konchar 21.4 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 4
I. Jackson 21.3 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 2
G. Jackson 21.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 3
B. Lopez 20.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Eubanks 20.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 3
P. Banchero 19.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

B. Lopez 29.6 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 4
K. Filipowski 26.9 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 6
O. Ighodaro 25.1 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 6
M. Raynaud 21.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 4
D. Eubanks 21.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Collins 21.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.42
PTS 9
J. Hayes 19.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Bona 19.8 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 6
N. Reid 19.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.46
PTS 9
J. Konchar 19.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

SEASON STATS

62
Games
5.7
PPG
3.7
RPG
0.8
APG
0.4
SPG
0.9
BPG
60.4
FG%
42.2
3P%
73.2
FT%
14.7
MPG

GAME LOG

62 games played