LAL

2025-26 Season

JAXSON HAYES

Los Angeles Lakers | Center-Forward | 7-0
Jaxson Hayes
7.3PPG
4.0RPG
0.9APG
18.0MPG
-0.8 Impact

Hayes produces at an average rate for a 18-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-0.8
Scoring +6.7
Points Scored 7.3 PPG = +7.3
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -1.3
Shot Making above expected FG% = +0.7
Creation +1.0
Assists & Self-Creation 0.9 AST/g + self-creation = +1.0
Turnovers -1.4
Turnovers 0.5/g (live + dead blend) = -1.4
Defense -0.8
Steals 0.4/g = +0.9
Blocks 0.8/g = +0.7
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.4
Hustle & Effort +4.0
Rebounds 4.0 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +1.8
Contested Shots 4.8/g = +1.0
Deflections 0.9/g = +0.6
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.2/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 1.8/g = +0.5
Raw Impact +9.5
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.3
Net Impact
-0.8
37th pctl vs Centers

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 93 Centers with 10+ games

Scoring 37th
7.4 PPG
Efficiency 95th
72.3% TS
Playmaking 25th
0.9 APG
Rebounding 19th
4.0 RPG
Defense 25th
+4.7/g
Hustle 15th
+11.4/g
Creation 72th
+3.08/g
Shot Making 18th
+2.52/g
TO Discipline 96th
0.03/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Jaxson Hayes spent the first quarter of the season riding a chaotic pendulum between highly efficient spot starts and disastrously leaky bench shifts. When thrust into the starting lineup on 11/03 vs MIA, he poured in 15 points on a flawless 7-for-7 from the floor, earning a stellar +9.4 Impact through ruthless shot selection and mistake-free finishing at the rim. Yet, his brief appearances as a reserve often bled value at an alarming rate. Take his 11/29 vs DAL performance, where he hit 3 of his 4 shots in just 12 minutes but still posted a brutal -10.0 Impact. Such a steep negative rating despite efficient scoring reveals the hidden costs of his game, pointing to blown defensive rotations and a lack of physical presence during quick rotation shifts. He eventually struck the perfect balance off the bench during the 12/15 vs PHX contest. By grabbing 9 rebounds and hitting all four of his field goal attempts, he generated a massive +9.7 Impact, anchoring the second unit through sheer hustle and disciplined interior play rather than forcing bad looks.

Jaxson Hayes spent this midseason stretch as an erratic but hyper-efficient bench spark plug before finally seizing a starting role. His flawless finishing around the rim anchored his best nights off the pine. During the 12/31 vs DET game, Hayes sank all five of his shots for 13 points in just 18 minutes. That perfect shot selection drove a massive +10.8 Impact score. However, his overall effectiveness cratered when he failed to control the glass against heavier frontcourts. Look no further than the 01/10 vs MIL matchup, where he logged 24 minutes but grabbed only two rebounds and posted a dismal -11.0 Impact score. Fortunately, he ended this run with an absolute masterclass as a starter on 02/12 vs DAL. Playing 34 minutes, Hayes racked up 16 points, seven boards, and four assists on 8-of-10 shooting, generating a staggering +15.7 Impact score through relentless interior finishing and surprising playmaking.

Jaxson Hayes spent this late-season stretch oscillating wildly between unstoppable rim-runner and complete non-factor. When he lacked aggression, his value plummeted. He bottomed out completely on 03/18 vs HOU, attempting zero field goals in 14 minutes to post a dismal -14.3 Impact score as a passive bystander. Yet, when fully engaged and fed around the basket, Hayes transformed into a highly efficient wrecking ball. He stepped into the starting lineup on 03/25 vs IND and dominated the paint, converting 9 of 11 shots for 21 points and 10 boards to generate a massive +22.9 Impact score. Still, his overall effectiveness hinged entirely on his activity level on the glass rather than just putting the ball in the hoop. Look at 04/02 vs OKC; despite scoring 12 points on perfect 3-for-3 shooting, he grabbed just a single rebound, resulting in a -1.9 Impact score because his lack of physical resistance completely negated his offensive efficiency.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Hayes's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~5 points per game.

Reliable shooter — hits 45%+ from the field in 91% of games. You can count on efficient nights more often than not.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Hayes locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Slight upward trend. First-half impact: -2.0, second-half: +0.4. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 6 games. Longest cold streak: 6 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 69 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

J. Huff 82.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 6
O. Ighodaro 63.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Nurkić 62.9 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 12
V. Wembanyama 59.0 poss
FG% 83.3%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 13
D. Gafford 58.9 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 8
I. Zubac 57.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 6
N. Jokić 48.9 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 12
J. Landale 42.6 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 4
J. Williams 40.8 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 4
B. Lopez 39.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 4

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Huff 70.0 poss
FG% 70.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 17
J. Nurkić 66.6 poss
FG% 71.4%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 12
O. Ighodaro 62.2 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 4
I. Zubac 58.0 poss
FG% 61.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 16
D. Gafford 56.8 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 4
N. Jokić 46.1 poss
FG% 70.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.35
PTS 16
B. Adebayo 38.4 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
D. Green 36.3 poss
FG% 16.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
J. Landale 36.1 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.17
PTS 6
B. Lopez 33.9 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.15
PTS 5

SEASON STATS

76
Games
7.3
PPG
4.0
RPG
0.9
APG
0.4
SPG
0.8
BPG
74.8
FG%
75.0
3P%
66.1
FT%
18.0
MPG

GAME LOG

76 games played