2025-26 Season
JOHN COLLINS
2025-26 Season
JOHN COLLINS
Collins produces at an above average rate for a 27-minute workload.
Collins produces at an above average rate for a 27-minute workload.
PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology
TEAM COMPARISON
of 18 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)
Similar Players
Same position, closest production profile this season.
SKILL DNA
Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games
THE SEASON SO FAR
John Collins's first 24 games were defined by a jarring role change, shifting from a highly efficient bench weapon to an utterly erratic starter. Early on, he found ways to contribute even when his shot abandoned him. During a quiet five-point outing on 10/29 vs GSW, he still managed a +2.3 Impact score by crashing the glass for seven rebounds and providing relentless hustle. His promotion to the first unit triggered an immediate slump. The transition completely bottomed out on 11/13 vs DEN. He managed a meager two points in that contest, posting a disastrous -13.6 Impact score as forced shots and a complete lack of playmaking stalled the lineup. Even when he finally rediscovered his scoring touch as a starter, hidden costs often negated his production. Despite pouring in 16 points on 12/06 vs MEM, Collins registered a -0.6 Impact score because his reckless 2-of-8 perimeter shooting and a glaring lack of rebounding killed the team's momentum.
John Collins caught absolute fire during this midseason stretch, thriving as a hyper-efficient scorer and opportunistic glass-cleaner. His absolute peak arrived on 01/11 vs DET. He poured in 25 points and drained five triples to generate a staggering +24.6 impact score, driven by flawless shot selection and suffocating defensive effort. Even when his shot volume vanished, he found ways to dictate the game. Take the 01/02 vs UTA matchup as a prime example. Collins attempted just three shots for 8 points, yet posted a +9.5 impact by tearing down 11 rebounds and battling relentlessly in the paint. However, when he failed to engage on the margins, his overall value plummeted. Despite scoring a respectable 11 points on 01/28 vs UTA, he registered a brutal -9.8 impact because he secured merely two rebounds and bled points on the defensive end.
John Collins spent this late-season stretch oscillating wildly between dominant offensive force and complete rotational ghost, eventually losing his full-time starting job. He looked like a foundational piece during a blistering 02/06 vs SAC matchup, pouring in 22 points on highly efficient 8-for-12 shooting to generate a massive +16.4 Impact score. Even when his shot deserted him, he occasionally salvaged his minutes through sheer grit. During his 02/19 vs DEN performance, a modest 11 points still yielded a +4.4 Impact score because he relentlessly crashed the glass for 12 rebounds and kept the ball moving with four assists. Unfortunately, those well-rounded nights were often erased by stretches of total apathy. In a disastrous 03/21 vs DAL outing, Collins managed a meager eight points on 3-for-7 shooting, sleepwalking defensively to post a brutal -14.1 Impact score. When he failed to finish plays at the rim or stretch the floor, his poor defensive effort and lack of hustle completely torpedoed his value on the court.
IMPACT TIMELINE
Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.
Volatile for his role. Collins has noticeable ups and downs, with scoring moving ~6 points between games.
Reliable shooter — hits 45%+ from the field in 75% of games. You can count on efficient nights more often than not.
Defensive difference-maker. Collins consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.
Slight upward trend. First-half impact: +3.2, second-half: +5.8. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.
Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 9 games. Longest cold streak: 4 games.
MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago
Based on 66 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.
ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM
His shooting stats against each primary defender this season
ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED
How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.
SEASON STATS
GAME LOG
70 games played
