GSW

2025-26 Season

AL HORFORD

Golden State Warriors | Center-Forward | 6-8
Al Horford
8.3 PPG
5.0 RPG
2.6 APG
21.7 MPG
+1.4 Impact

Horford produces at an above average rate for a 22-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+1.4
Scoring +4.8
Points 8.3 PPG × +1.00 = +8.3
Missed 2PT 1.2/g × -0.78 = -0.9
Missed 3PT 2.9/g × -0.87 = -2.5
Missed FT 0.1/g × -1.00 = -0.1
Creation +2.8
Assists 2.6/g × +0.50 = +1.3
Off. Rebounds 1.2/g × +1.26 = +1.5
Turnovers -1.9
Turnovers 1.0/g × -1.95 = -1.9
Defense +1.9
Steals 0.7/g × +2.30 = +1.6
Blocks 1.2/g × +0.90 = +1.1
Def. Rebounds 3.8/g × +0.30 = +1.1
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +2.6
Contested Shots 6.7/g × +0.20 = +1.3
Deflections 1.2/g × +0.65 = +0.8
Loose Balls 0.4/g × +0.60 = +0.2
Screen Assists 1.0/g × +0.30 = +0.3
Raw Impact +10.2
Baseline (game-average expected) −8.8
Net Impact
+1.4
29th pctl vs Centers

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 92 Centers with 10+ games

Scoring 45th
8.4 PPG
Efficiency 26th
55.6% TS
Playmaking 80th
2.7 APG
Rebounding 34th
5.1 RPG
Rim Protection 86th
0.24/min
Hustle 36th
0.11/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 73th
0.04/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Al Horford's early 2025-26 campaign was defined by extreme offensive volatility. Operating mostly off the bench, the veteran big man oscillated wildly between pristine floor-spacing and brutal shooting slumps. Look at his disastrous night on 11/05 vs SAC, where he missed all eight of his field goal attempts to post a brutal -8.3 impact score. Clanking every single perimeter look severely punished his overall value, allowing defenders to completely ignore him on the perimeter. Yet, when his jumper actually connected, his veteran savvy completely tilted games. On 12/25 vs DAL, he drilled four triples in a mere 11 minutes to yield an astronomical +14.5 impact score by punishing late defensive rotations. Even when his scoring volume vanished, he could salvage shifts through elite awareness, like on 11/21 vs POR. Despite scoring just seven points, he generated a robust +5.4 impact because his masterful positional defense (+12.2 def) consistently blew up opposing pick-and-roll actions.

This twenty-game stretch was defined by wild volatility, with Al Horford oscillating between a spacing liability and a two-way master depending entirely on his perimeter stroke. When his shot betrayed him, the offensive costs were disastrous. During the 02/19 vs BOS matchup, he managed just 5 points and a dismal -12.8 impact score because his 1-of-6 shooting from deep severely cramped the half-court spacing. Even when his shot fell, hidden defensive flaws occasionally dragged him into the red; in the 02/05 vs PHX game, his 13 points were negated by a -0.2 impact because he struggled to contain quicker forwards. Yet, Horford remained entirely capable of dominating games without filling up the scoring column. Look at the 01/28 vs UTA contest, where he scored a modest 9 points but generated a massive +8.3 impact by neutralizing opposing drives with textbook verticality and dishing out 8 assists. When everything clicked simultaneously, he was devastating. He delivered an absolute masterclass during the 02/22 vs DEN game, draining six triples for 22 points and anchoring the defense with elite positioning to post a staggering +22.2 impact score.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Horford's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~5 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 42% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Horford consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 46 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

N. Jokić 52.0 poss
FG% 70.0%
3P% 83.3%
PPP 0.37
PTS 19
B. Portis 36.8 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
K. Johnson 33.7 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 3
H. Barnes 28.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
L. Kornet 26.7 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 4
T. Bradley 26.1 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 3
M. Raynaud 25.7 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
T. Harris 25.7 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 4
J. Brown 24.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
P. Washington 23.3 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 3

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

N. Jokić 69.0 poss
FG% 35.3%
3P% 22.2%
PPP 0.22
PTS 15
L. Kornet 56.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 14
J. Randle 34.4 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 6
A. Sengun 33.9 poss
FG% 41.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.29
PTS 10
J. Hayes 29.5 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
T. Bradley 29.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 4
B. Lopez 27.6 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 4
D. Ayton 27.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 6
B. Portis 26.6 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 3
M. Raynaud 26.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 4

SEASON STATS

43
Games
8.3
PPG
5.0
RPG
2.6
APG
0.7
SPG
1.2
BPG
42.4
FG%
36.0
3P%
84.6
FT%
21.7
MPG

GAME LOG

43 games played