2025-26 Season
KELLY OUBRE JR.
2025-26 Season
KELLY OUBRE JR.
Jr. produces at an above average rate for a 32-minute workload.
Jr. produces at an above average rate for a 32-minute workload.
PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology
TEAM COMPARISON
of 14 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)
Similar Players
Same position, closest production profile this season.
SKILL DNA
Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games
THE SEASON SO FAR
Kelly Oubre Jr.'s first 17 games were defined by a stark mid-season collapse that derailed his season and marginalized his role. Early on, he looked like a legitimate two-way force. He peaked on 10/27 vs ORL with a massive +27.2 Impact score, driven by a relentless 25-point, 10-rebound performance. But after a lengthy mid-season absence, Oubre returned looking completely lost. Relegated to a reserve role, he hit rock bottom on 01/10 vs ORL, earning a dreadful -8.9 Impact because his 0-of-5 shooting and total lack of playmaking actively hurt the team despite grabbing six rebounds. He managed a brief spot-start redemption the very next night on 01/11 vs TOR. Despite scoring a modest 13 points in that contest, he posted a solid +7.6 Impact because his intense defensive effort and timely hustle plays anchored the lineup. Ultimately, when his erratic jumper vanishes, his overall value simply evaporates.
This midseason stretch was entirely defined by Kelly Oubre Jr.'s sudden elevation to the starting lineup, transforming him into a volatile but highly effective two-way sparkplug. He immediately rewarded the promotion during a scorching performance on 01/23 vs HOU, pouring in 26 points on hyper-efficient 10-of-14 shooting to earn a stellar +12.8 Impact score. When his shot selection is that disciplined, Oubre becomes a legitimate weapon who punishes defensive rotations rather than bailing them out with forced looks. Even when his offense completely vanished, he often found ways to stay relevant. During the 02/05 vs LAL matchup, he scored just 8 points on an ugly 2-of-8 from the field but still managed a +2.4 Impact score by grinding out extra possessions, grabbing loose rebounds, and playing tenacious perimeter defense. However, his aggressive trigger can still sink the offense when the shots refuse to fall. On 02/11 vs NYK, Oubre posted a brutal -11.2 Impact score after missing all six of his field goal attempts, actively dragging down the team with empty, momentum-killing possessions.
Kelly Oubre Jr.'s mid-season stretch was defined by wild stylistic whiplash, oscillating between an erratic volume shooter and a gritty role player who briefly lost his starting job. You could see this extreme volatility perfectly during his 03/10 vs MEM performance. He poured in 30 points and grabbed 12 rebounds to generate a massive +22.4 Impact score, using relentless hustle and physical rebounding to create value despite an ugly 1-for-9 shooting night from deep. When that energy vanished, the results were disastrous. During his 03/01 vs BOS outing, Oubre forced terrible looks to finish with just four points on 2-for-10 shooting, posting a brutal -14.4 Impact score as his poor shot selection actively harmed the offense. After a brief demotion to the bench, he finally found a sustainable rhythm without needing to dominate the ball. In his 04/10 vs IND matchup, he scored a modest 15 points but still logged a stellar +17.0 Impact score by locking in on disruptive defensive rotations and generating crucial extra possessions.
IMPACT TIMELINE
Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.
Volatile for his role. Jr. has noticeable ups and downs, with scoring moving ~7 points between games.
Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 56% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.
Defensive difference-maker. Jr. consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.
Hot right now — 4 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 8 games.
MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago
Based on 44 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.
ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM
His shooting stats against each primary defender this season
ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED
How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.
SEASON STATS
GAME LOG
62 games played
