POR

2025-26 Season

SCOOT HENDERSON

Portland Trail Blazers | Guard | 6-3
Scoot Henderson
14.2PPG
2.5RPG
3.3APG
25.3MPG
+0.1 Impact

Henderson produces at an average rate for a 25-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+0.1
Scoring +12.4
Points Scored 14.2 PPG = +14.2
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -5.0
Shot Making above expected FG% = +3.2
Creation +1.1
Assists & Self-Creation 3.3 AST/g + self-creation = +1.1
Turnovers -5.4
Turnovers 2.3/g (live + dead blend) = -5.4
Defense +0.1
Steals 0.9/g = +2.1
Blocks 0.3/g = +0.3
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.3
Hustle & Effort +1.9
Rebounds 2.5 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +0.4
Contested Shots 1.4/g = +0.3
Deflections 1.7/g = +1.1
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.2/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 0.0/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +10.1
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.0
Net Impact
+0.1
62th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 74th
14.2 PPG
Efficiency 41th
53.4% TS
Playmaking 63th
3.3 APG
Rebounding 40th
2.5 RPG
Defense 69th
+9.2/g
Hustle 34th
+7.6/g
Creation 80th
+4.01/g
Shot Making 69th
+7.85/g
TO Discipline 12th
0.09/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Scoot Henderson’s early 2025-26 campaign was defined by brutal shooting slumps and an inability to translate raw usage into winning basketball. Even when his playmaking numbers looked respectable, poor shot selection routinely dragged his overall effectiveness into the gutter. Look at 02/06 vs MEM. He tallied 11 points and 9 assists in just 21 minutes, but a clunky 2-for-7 night from deep fueled a miserable -13.6 Impact score. He occasionally found a rhythm when his jumper actually fell, earning a rare +2.0 Impact score on 02/11 vs MIN by hitting 3 of his 5 three-point attempts for 18 highly efficient points. Yet those fleeting moments of competence were quickly swallowed by catastrophic brick-laying. Promoted to the starting lineup on 03/04 vs MEM, he rewarded the coaching staff with a dismal 3-for-11 shooting performance and a stretch-worst -16.2 Impact score. Until he stops settling for awful perimeter looks, his overall value will remain severely compromised.

A sudden demotion to the second unit redefined Scoot Henderson's role during this stretch, transforming him from a struggling starter into a highly volatile bench sparkplug. He immediately embraced this new reality on 03/08 vs IND, unleashing 28 points and six assists to drive a massive +24.9 impact through aggressive downhill attacks and sharp playmaking. Yet, his overall effectiveness remained stubbornly inconsistent. Take his outing on 03/10 vs CHA, where he poured in 17 points on a blistering 6-for-10 from the floor. Despite that scoring efficiency, he posted a -2.3 impact because he offered virtually zero resistance on defense and suffered from severe tunnel vision, finishing with a single assist. He managed to flip that script by the end of the window on 03/23 vs BKN. Though he scored just 13 points on nine shots, Henderson generated a +9.9 impact by locking in defensively, making the extra pass, and doing the gritty rotational work that actually wins basketball games.

This ten-game stretch defined Scoot Henderson's chaotic transition from an explosive bench sparkplug into a full-time starter. He essentially forced his way into the opening lineup after a brilliant reserve performance on 03/25 vs MIL, pouring in 23 points on just 13 shots to generate a massive +19.5 impact score. Once promoted to the first unit, however, his shot selection quickly became a glaring liability against stouter defenses. During the 03/31 vs LAC matchup, Henderson forced 14 shots to scrape together 15 points, dragging his impact down to a brutal -7.1 as his erratic chucking stalled the offense. The young guard is learning to compensate for those rough shooting nights, though. On 04/08 vs SAS, he needed a grueling 20 field goal attempts just to reach 20 points, yet he still managed a stellar +11.0 impact by grinding out extra possessions through relentless defensive intensity and pure hustle. He remains a wildly unpredictable offensive engine, but his willingness to affect winning without a reliable jumper is a major leap forward.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Henderson's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~7 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 44% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Average defender. Henderson doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: -3.2, second-half: +3.3. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 51 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

A. Dosunmu 41.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
V. Edgecombe 31.4 poss
FG% 16.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
J. Small 28.9 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 6
B. Hyland 28.3 poss
FG% 30.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.42
PTS 12
T. Etienne 24.9 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
J. Murray 24.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.12
PTS 3
B. Sheppard 24.0 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.38
PTS 9
Q. Jackson 23.9 poss
FG% 71.4%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.5
PTS 12
B. Brown 23.6 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
D. DiVincenzo 21.3 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 4

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

A. Dosunmu 44.5 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 9
V. Edgecombe 38.0 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 4
B. Hyland 32.0 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 11
J. Small 27.6 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 4
C. Braun 26.4 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 7
B. Brown 23.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
T. Murphy III 21.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 5
Q. Jackson 20.5 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 2
T. Etienne 20.4 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.44
PTS 9
I. Collier 19.9 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 6

SEASON STATS

36
Games
14.2
PPG
2.5
RPG
3.3
APG
0.9
SPG
0.3
BPG
42.8
FG%
36.8
3P%
83.6
FT%
25.3
MPG

GAME LOG

36 games played