DEN

2025-26 Season

AARON GORDON

Denver Nuggets | Forward | 6-8
Aaron Gordon
15.8PPG
5.8RPG
2.6APG
28.1MPG
+6.4 Impact

Gordon produces at an elite rate for a 28-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+6.4
Scoring +14.0
Points Scored 15.8 PPG = +15.8
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -4.7
Shot Making above expected FG% = +2.9
Creation +1.6
Assists & Self-Creation 2.6 AST/g + self-creation = +1.6
Turnovers -2.3
Turnovers 1.0/g (live + dead blend) = -2.3
Defense -0.4
Steals 0.5/g = +1.1
Blocks 0.3/g = +0.3
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.8
Hustle & Effort +4.7
Rebounds 5.8 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +3.5
Contested Shots 2.2/g = +0.4
Deflections 0.6/g = +0.4
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.4/g = +0.2
Screen Assists 0.8/g = +0.2
Raw Impact +17.6
Baseline (game-average expected) −11.2
Net Impact
+6.4
78th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 80th
16.2 PPG
Efficiency 54th
56.8% TS
Playmaking 79th
2.7 APG
Rebounding 81th
5.9 RPG
Defense 49th
+7.1/g
Hustle 53th
+12.7/g
Creation 87th
+4.16/g
Shot Making 98th
+12.37/g
TO Discipline 81th
0.03/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Aaron Gordon opened the 2025-26 campaign operating less like a complementary lob threat and more like a primary offensive supernova. He set the tone immediately on 10/23 vs GSW. Erupting for an absurd 50 points on 10-of-11 shooting from deep, his flawless shot selection generated a staggering +45.2 Impact score. That perimeter touch vanished quickly during a 10/27 vs MIN matchup, where forced jumpers and a 3-for-10 shooting night dragged his Impact down to a dismal -12.5. Gordon eventually recalibrated his approach to focus on relentless rebounding and efficient interior finishing. Unfortunately, this steady rhythm hit a literal wall on 11/22 vs HOU. Managing just one point in a mere three minutes of action, his -13.1 Impact score reflected the massive void his sudden early exit created on the floor.

Aaron Gordon’s midseason stretch was defined by a seamless promotion from bench sparkplug to full-time starter. When he finally cracked the starting five on 01/12 vs MIL, he immediately rewarded the coaching staff with 23 points and a massive +17.2 impact score. He earned that high mark through aggressive shot creation, firing 16 attempts to keep the offense humming. But raw counting stats can be deceiving. Look at his performance on 01/18 vs WAS. Despite flirting with a triple-double by tallying 10 rebounds and 11 assists, his passive 3-for-8 shooting stalled the offense and dragged his impact down to a -4.0. He eventually buried that hesitation, peaking on 03/09 vs OKC with a bruising 23-point, 10-rebound double-double. That relentless interior effort generated a staggering +19.8 impact score, leaving no doubt that his physical presence belongs in the starting unit.

Extreme volatility defined this late-season stretch for Aaron Gordon, as he swung wildly between unguardable offensive force and passive liability. He looked like a superstar on 03/14 vs LAL, torching the defense for 27 points on 5-of-10 shooting from deep. That explosive outing earned a massive +14.7 Impact score because he paired elite perimeter shot-making with relentless physical energy. Yet, even when his box score looked respectable later in the month, his actual on-court value sometimes cratered. During a grueling 41-minute shift on 04/04 vs SAS, Gordon tallied 15 points on efficient 7-of-12 shooting but still dragged the team down with a -0.6 Impact score due to hidden costs like late defensive rotations and sloppy execution. He quickly woke up on 04/06 vs POR, stuffing the stat sheet with 23 points, nine rebounds, and five assists. That all-around dominance yielded a peak +15.1 Impact score, reflecting exactly the kind of downhill bully-ball and glass-cleaning hustle his team desperately needs.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Volatile for his role. Gordon has noticeable ups and downs, with scoring moving ~9 points between games.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 62% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Gordon consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +10.1, second-half: +2.9. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 8 games. Longest cold streak: 2 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 36 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

A. Sarr 58.9 poss
FG% 30.0%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 7
R. Westbrook 50.7 poss
FG% 62.5%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.24
PTS 12
L. James 46.2 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 3
J. Randle 43.5 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 9
R. O'Neale 43.1 poss
FG% 62.5%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.32
PTS 14
Z. Williamson 41.1 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 5
N. Reid 40.0 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 4
J. Butler III 40.0 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 7
G. Antetokounmpo 38.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 9
A. Wiggins 33.9 poss
FG% 62.5%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.41
PTS 14

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

A. Sarr 62.7 poss
FG% 41.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 12
G. Antetokounmpo 59.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.36
PTS 21
J. Randle 54.9 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 11
Z. Williamson 51.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 4
J. Butler III 44.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 4
L. James 42.4 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 6
D. DeRozan 42.3 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
R. O'Neale 36.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 9
J. Collins 32.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Kuminga 31.1 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

39
Games
15.8
PPG
5.8
RPG
2.6
APG
0.5
SPG
0.3
BPG
49.1
FG%
37.4
3P%
76.3
FT%
28.1
MPG

GAME LOG

39 games played