DEN

2025-26 Season

SPENCER JONES

Denver Nuggets | Forward | 6-7
Spencer Jones
5.6 PPG
3.3 RPG
0.8 APG
22.4 MPG
-2.6 Impact

Jones produces at an below average rate for a 22-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-2.6
Scoring +3.6
Points 5.6 PPG × +1.00 = +5.6
Missed 2PT 0.7/g × -0.78 = -0.5
Missed 3PT 1.4/g × -0.87 = -1.2
Missed FT 0.3/g × -1.00 = -0.3
Creation +1.4
Assists 0.8/g × +0.50 = +0.4
Off. Rebounds 0.8/g × +1.26 = +1.0
Turnovers -1.0
Turnovers 0.5/g × -1.95 = -1.0
Defense +1.0
Steals 0.8/g × +2.30 = +1.8
Blocks 0.4/g × +0.90 = +0.4
Def. Rebounds 2.5/g × +0.30 = +0.7
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +3.3
Contested Shots 4.4/g × +0.20 = +0.9
Deflections 2.0/g × +0.65 = +1.3
Charges Drawn 0.1/g × +2.70 = +0.3
Loose Balls 0.5/g × +0.60 = +0.3
Screen Assists 0.9/g × +0.30 = +0.3
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.1/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.2
Raw Impact +8.3
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.9
Net Impact
-2.6
14th pctl vs Forwards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 227 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 24th
5.9 PPG
Efficiency 54th
57.0% TS
Playmaking 15th
0.8 APG
Rebounding 36th
3.5 RPG
Rim Protection 16th
0.09/min
Hustle 79th
0.13/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 96th
0.02/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Spencer Jones's first twenty games were defined by a drastic role change that transformed him from an invisible bench warmer into a wildly volatile starter. He initially scraped by on the fringes of the rotation, managing a +4.7 impact score on 11/19 vs NOP despite scoring exactly zero points. That surprising positive rating stemmed entirely from sheer effort and brilliant defensive positioning, allowing him to create tangible value without even attempting a field goal. His sudden promotion to the starting unit, however, exposed glaring defensive liabilities against quicker guards. This was painfully obvious on 11/22 vs SAC, where an inability to stay in front of his assignment at the point of attack dragged him to a catastrophic -16.2 impact mark. Fortunately, he eventually found his rhythm as an offensive focal point a few weeks later. Catching fire from the perimeter on 12/01 vs DAL, Jones poured in 28 points and completely altered the defense's geometry to earn a dominant +12.1 impact score.

Spencer Jones spent this stretch trapped in a maddening Jekyll-and-Hyde routine, oscillating wildly between lethal perimeter sniping and catastrophic decision-making. His box score frequently lied. Look no further than the 01/20 vs LAL matchup, where a 16-point outburst was completely ruined by late-game defensive miscommunications that dragged his impact down to a dismal -3.1. Even when he finished efficiently inside on 01/14 vs DAL, a brutal string of live-ball turnovers erased his 10 points and resulted in a terrible -9.3 impact score. Yet, he could occasionally flip the script and win minutes without scoring. During the 01/04 vs BKN game, Jones managed a meager three points but still posted a +3.4 impact because his suffocating effort yielded a +9.1 defensive rating. Ultimately, these brilliant flashes of situational value were too often buried under awful shot selection and passive stretches.

A suffocating offensive slump and a subsequent demotion to the bench defined Spencer Jones's midseason stretch. He began this period as a starter but immediately cratered on 01/29 vs BKN, posting a catastrophic -12.3 impact score driven by a complete failure to connect on any field goal attempts. Opposing defenses quickly realized they could simply abandon him in the halfcourt. This glaring passivity was painfully obvious on 03/20 vs TOR, where operating as an absolute ghost offensively dragged his impact down to -5.3 despite a four-assist effort. He did offer one fleeting glimpse of two-way dominance during a spot start on 03/12 vs SAS. An unexpected 19-point offensive explosion paired with relentless point-of-attack defense fueled a massive +12.2 impact score. Unfortunately, that aggressive mindset vanished just as quickly as it arrived.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Below-average consistency. Jones is negative impact in 71% of games, with scoring moving ~6 points game-to-game.

Reliable shooter — hits 45%+ from the field in 72% of games. You can count on efficient nights more often than not.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Jones locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Small downward trend. First-half impact: -1.7, second-half: -3.5. Not alarming yet, but trending the wrong direction.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 2 games. Longest cold streak: 12 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 68 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

K. Durant 73.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 8
C. Flagg 55.6 poss
FG% 85.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 13
P. Banchero 51.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 8
J. Smith Jr. 48.4 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 4
K. Middleton 44.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
R. Nembhard 44.7 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 7
M. Bridges 39.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
M. Porter Jr. 37.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
N. Reid 36.0 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
J. Harden 35.4 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 7

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

K. Durant 75.1 poss
FG% 70.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.28
PTS 21
C. Flagg 63.4 poss
FG% 58.8%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.35
PTS 22
K. Leonard 46.6 poss
FG% 61.5%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.41
PTS 19
P. Banchero 41.8 poss
FG% 55.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.38
PTS 16
J. Randle 41.3 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 7
A. Sengun 39.4 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 8
R. Sheppard 34.3 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 8
J. Embiid 33.2 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 5
R. Nembhard 31.3 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 4
N. Marshall 29.4 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 8

SEASON STATS

63
Games
5.6
PPG
3.3
RPG
0.8
APG
0.8
SPG
0.4
BPG
50.4
FG%
39.6
3P%
60.8
FT%
22.4
MPG

GAME LOG

63 games played