DEN

2025-26 Season

JULIAN STRAWTHER

Denver Nuggets | Guard | 6-6
Julian Strawther
7.1PPG
2.0RPG
1.0APG
14.9MPG
-4.7 Impact

Strawther produces at an below average rate for a 15-minute workload.

·
Embed this player card

Copy & paste this HTML into any page:

The widget updates automatically whenever our data does.

IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-4.7
Scoring +6.6
Points Scored 7.1 PPG = +7.1
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -2.2
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.7
Creation +0.5
Assists & Self-Creation 1.0 AST/g + self-creation = +0.5
Turnovers -1.7
Turnovers 0.6/g (live + dead blend) = -1.7
Defense -0.2
Steals 0.4/g = +0.9
Blocks 0.1/g = +0.1
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.2
Hustle & Effort +1.1
Rebounds 2.0 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +0.3
Contested Shots 1.2/g = +0.2
Deflections 0.8/g = +0.5
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.2/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +6.3
Baseline (game-average expected) −11.0
Net Impact
-4.7
28th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 37th
8.0 PPG
Efficiency 32th
52.1% TS
Playmaking 13th
1.2 APG
Rebounding 23th
2.2 RPG
Defense 20th
+4.9/g
Hustle 61th
+10.2/g
Creation 39th
+2.45/g
Shot Making 36th
+5.68/g
TO Discipline 71th
0.04/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Julian Strawther spent the first stretch of the 2025-26 season drowning in empty minutes and brutal shooting slumps. The absolute nadir arrived on 12/23 vs UTA. He clanked all six of his field goal attempts to generate an abysmal -20.7 impact score. When a wing player offers zero points and zero rebounds in 12 minutes of action, the team simply bleeds value on both ends of the floor. Even when his shot finally fell on 12/28 vs ORL, where he scored 13 points on 5-of-6 shooting, his overall impact remained stubbornly negative at -2.3. That minus rating stems directly from hidden costs. Registering zero rebounds and offering zero resistance on defense completely erased his offensive spark. Aside from a gritty 12-point, six-rebound effort on 11/09 vs IND that yielded a rare +2.3 impact score, Strawther looks completely out of his depth.

Julian Strawther’s midseason stretch was defined by a volatile transition from end-of-bench afterthought to full-time starter. He occasionally found ways to contribute without filling it up, like on 02/01 vs OKC where a modest nine points translated to a +5.5 Impact score because he actively crashed the glass and kept the ball moving. Conversely, his scoring bursts sometimes came with hidden costs. During the 02/04 vs NYK matchup, he dropped an efficient 11 points on just five shots but still posted a -3.1 Impact score, dragged into the red by a failure to generate assists and poor defensive rotations. After earning a permanent starting nod in early February, Strawther hit a brief peak as a high-volume offensive weapon. He stuffed the stat sheet on 02/20 vs POR with 19 points, six rebounds, and four assists, generating a stellar +13.6 Impact score through aggressive shot creation and secondary passing. The honeymoon ended abruptly. His jump shot completely vanished by late February, culminating in a disastrous 02/27 vs OKC start where he went scoreless on three attempts and posted a brutal -16.2 Impact score.

Julian Strawther’s late-season stretch was defined by extreme rotational whiplash, bouncing from a starting role to the deep bench before roaring back to life in April. Relegated to spot minutes for weeks, his absolute nadir arrived on 04/01 vs UTA. He logged a brutal -17.0 impact score in just nine minutes of pure cardio, failing to record a single point, rebound, or assist while completely hemorrhaging value on the floor. Even when his shot started falling again, like his 11-point outing on 04/06 vs POR, his -1.2 impact revealed the hidden costs of a one-dimensional performance completely devoid of rebounds or assists. Yet, thrust back into the starting five on 04/10 vs OKC, Strawther finally flipped the script. He poured in 22 points and earned a massive +12.5 impact score. By pairing his lethal perimeter shooting with active hustle and genuine defensive engagement, he transformed from a bench liability back into a dangerous offensive weapon.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Strawther has posted negative impact in 78% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 65% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Slight upward trend. First-half impact: -5.8, second-half: -3.6. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 2 games. Longest cold streak: 15 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 63 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

A. Simons 23.2 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.47
PTS 11
G. Harris 23.0 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.39
PTS 9
A. Reaves 20.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. Wallace 19.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Wells 18.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 4
D. Mitchell 18.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 1
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 3
K. Dunn 16.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Miller 16.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. DiVincenzo 15.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 2

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

T. Camara 29.1 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.17
PTS 5
K. Ellis 26.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 5
A. Reaves 21.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 2
C. Wallace 20.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
G. Harris 20.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 3
J. Wells 18.9 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.58
PTS 11
S. Mykhailiuk 18.6 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 5
J. Ivey 17.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
L. Shamet 17.1 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.47
PTS 8
D. Jones Jr. 17.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

59
Games
7.1
PPG
2.0
RPG
1.0
APG
0.4
SPG
0.1
BPG
46.3
FG%
38.6
3P%
80.6
FT%
14.9
MPG

GAME LOG

59 games played