DEN

2025-26 Season

JULIAN STRAWTHER

Denver Nuggets | Guard | 6-6
Julian Strawther
6.5 PPG
1.9 RPG
1.0 APG
14.3 MPG
-1.8 Impact

Strawther produces at an below average rate for a 14-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-1.8
Scoring +4.1
Points 6.5 PPG × +1.00 = +6.5
Missed 2PT 1.2/g × -0.78 = -0.9
Missed 3PT 1.5/g × -0.87 = -1.3
Missed FT 0.2/g × -1.00 = -0.2
Creation +1.1
Assists 1.0/g × +0.50 = +0.5
Off. Rebounds 0.5/g × +1.26 = +0.6
Turnovers -1.2
Turnovers 0.6/g × -1.95 = -1.2
Defense -0.5
Steals 0.4/g × +2.30 = +0.9
Blocks 0.1/g × +0.90 = +0.1
Def. Rebounds 1.5/g × +0.30 = +0.4
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +1.1
Contested Shots 1.4/g × +0.20 = +0.3
Deflections 0.9/g × +0.65 = +0.6
Loose Balls 0.2/g × +0.60 = +0.1
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.0/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.1
Raw Impact +4.6
Baseline (game-average expected) −6.4
Net Impact
-1.8
41st pctl vs Guards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 33th
7.3 PPG
Efficiency 26th
50.3% TS
Playmaking 13th
1.1 APG
Rebounding 24th
2.1 RPG
Rim Protection 19th
0.09/min
Hustle 19th
0.08/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 73th
0.04/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

A brutal, extended shooting slump and defensive apathy defined Julian Strawther's early season as he struggled to justify his rotation spot. Even when his offensive game clicked during a 12-point outing on 11/08 vs IND, his overall value plummeted to a -7.6 impact score because the hidden costs of poor defense and blown assignments entirely erased his scoring. The wheels completely fell off weeks later on 12/22 vs UTA. During that dismal stint, a broken jumper resulted in a 0-for-6 shooting night and a disastrous -10.1 impact mark that severely tanked his on-court value. He simply cannot stay on the floor playing like this. A rare bright spot finally arrived on 12/23 vs DAL, where he tallied eight points and generated a +3.8 impact score by combining confident perimeter strokes with active hustle plays. Unless he commits to stopping the ball and making better decisions early in the shot clock, these empty rotational stints will continue to bleed points.

Julian Strawther’s midseason stretch was defined by a jarring split personality, oscillating wildly between gritty defensive contributions and empty-calorie scoring binges. During the 01/30 vs LAC matchup, Strawther managed just 3 points but still posted a stellar +7.8 impact because he shifted his focus entirely toward defensive execution. Yet, when the jumper started falling, his intensity on the other end frequently vanished. Look no further than the 02/03 vs DET game. Despite an efficient 15-point outing, he dragged the second unit down with a disastrous -9.1 impact score driven by a staggering -14.5 defensive rating. He repeated this frustrating pattern during the 02/09 vs CLE contest, dropping 20 points but suffering a -6.8 impact as his scoring surge masked underlying defensive lapses. If Strawther wants to remain a reliable fixture in the starting lineup, he must stop treating defensive effort as an optional tax on his offensive touches.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Below-average consistency. Strawther is negative impact in 75% of games, with scoring moving ~6 points game-to-game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 67% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Average defender. Strawther doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Flat trajectory all season — first-half impact -2.5, second-half -1.1. No major shifts, which fits with the overall steadiness.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 5 games. Longest cold streak: 11 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 63 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

A. Simons 23.2 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.47
PTS 11
G. Harris 23.0 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.39
PTS 9
A. Reaves 20.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. Wallace 19.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Wells 18.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 4
D. Mitchell 18.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 1
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 3
K. Dunn 16.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Miller 16.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. DiVincenzo 15.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 2

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

T. Camara 29.1 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.17
PTS 5
K. Ellis 26.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 5
A. Reaves 21.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 2
C. Wallace 20.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
G. Harris 20.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 3
J. Wells 18.9 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.58
PTS 11
S. Mykhailiuk 18.6 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 5
J. Ivey 17.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
L. Shamet 17.1 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.47
PTS 8
D. Jones Jr. 17.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

51
Games
6.5
PPG
1.9
RPG
1.0
APG
0.4
SPG
0.1
BPG
45.8
FG%
35.8
3P%
80.6
FT%
14.3
MPG

GAME LOG

51 games played