ORL

2025-26 Season

WENDELL CARTER JR.

Orlando Magic | Center-Forward | 6-10
Wendell Carter Jr.
12.2 PPG
7.6 RPG
2.0 APG
29.7 MPG
+1.8 Impact

Jr. produces at an above average rate for a 30-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+1.8
Scoring +8.3
Points 12.2 PPG × +1.00 = +12.2
Missed 2PT 2.1/g × -0.78 = -1.6
Missed 3PT 2.0/g × -0.87 = -1.7
Missed FT 0.6/g × -1.00 = -0.6
Creation +3.4
Assists 2.0/g × +0.50 = +1.0
Off. Rebounds 1.9/g × +1.26 = +2.4
Turnovers -2.5
Turnovers 1.3/g × -1.95 = -2.5
Defense +2.1
Steals 0.8/g × +2.30 = +1.8
Blocks 0.6/g × +0.90 = +0.5
Def. Rebounds 5.7/g × +0.30 = +1.7
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +3.8
Contested Shots 7.8/g × +0.20 = +1.6
Deflections 1.6/g × +0.65 = +1.0
Loose Balls 0.6/g × +0.60 = +0.4
Screen Assists 2.8/g × +0.30 = +0.8
Raw Impact +15.1
Baseline (game-average expected) −13.3
Net Impact
+1.8
32th pctl vs Centers

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 92 Centers with 10+ games

Scoring 70th
12.2 PPG
Efficiency 69th
62.3% TS
Playmaking 70th
2.0 APG
Rebounding 68th
7.6 RPG
Rim Protection 18th
0.15/min
Hustle 24th
0.10/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 69th
0.04/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Wendell Carter Jr.'s first twenty games were defined by a jarring tug-of-war between gritty, blue-collar value and baffling defensive lapses. He frequently manufactured positive value without demanding the basketball. This dynamic was perfectly illustrated on 10/22 vs MIA, where he scored just 9 points but posted a +4.8 impact score by focusing entirely on bruising screen-setting and elite defensive positioning. Yet, that defensive reliability was maddeningly inconsistent. On 11/12 vs NYK, he shot a highly efficient 6-for-8 to score 13 points, but atrocious pick-and-roll coverage surrendered easy looks at the rim, dragging his impact down to a dismal -4.8. When he actually married his physical interior presence with offensive aggression, he was an absolute force. He relentlessly bullied defenders on 11/10 vs POR, pairing 19 points with hard screens and efficient finishing through contact to generate a towering +11.3 impact score.

A maddening inconsistency defined Wendell Carter Jr.'s midseason stretch, marked by wild swings between elite floor-spacing and self-sabotaging shot selection. He looked utterly unstoppable on 12/18 vs DEN, posting a massive +10.8 impact score by executing deadly pick-and-pop action to finish with 26 points. The contrast in his approach from night to night was jarring. Even when he posted respectable box score totals, hidden costs frequently dragged his net value into the red. During a double-double effort on 01/02 vs CHI, he tallied 13 points and 10 rebounds but suffered a brutal -7.8 impact score because a sudden loss of touch around the basket completely ruined his offensive efficiency. He is at his absolute best when anchoring the paint rather than drifting away from it. This was blatantly obvious on 01/04 vs IND, where his elite rim protection and defensive switchability generated a stellar +10.6 impact score to go with 12 rebounds.

Wendell Carter Jr.'s midseason stretch was defined by a maddening tug-of-war between passive offensive invisibility and sudden bursts of physical dominance. He routinely posted empty numbers when his aggression waned, perfectly illustrated on 02/22 vs LAC. Despite grabbing 14 rebounds and scoring 15 points, a surprising dip in interior finishing cratered his actual value, dragging him down to a bleak -7.3 impact score. Conversely, Carter could completely control a game without ever looking at the basket. During a quiet seven-point outing on 02/05 vs BKN, he anchored the paint with elite rim deterrence and textbook screen-setting to post a stellar +6.7 impact. When he actually combined those physical tools with offensive decisiveness, he was virtually unstoppable. He ruthlessly punished smaller defenders with dominant interior positioning on 01/30 vs TOR, pouring in 23 points to drive a massive +13.6 impact score. His ceiling remains tantalizingly high, but only when he stops settling for being a passive spectator in his own offense.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Jr.'s impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~5 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 63% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Jr. consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 5 games. Longest cold streak: 6 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 72 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

B. Adebayo 167.4 poss
FG% 63.2%
3P% 37.5%
PPP 0.17
PTS 29
N. Vučević 117.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 19
K. Towns 97.2 poss
FG% 70.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.19
PTS 18
J. Duren 93.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.11
PTS 10
N. Jokić 85.7 poss
FG% 47.4%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.25
PTS 21
E. Mobley 83.0 poss
FG% 58.3%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 19
M. Raynaud 76.7 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 8
O. Okongwu 76.5 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.22
PTS 17
A. Sarr 75.6 poss
FG% 72.7%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 19
N. Claxton 72.3 poss
FG% 62.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 11

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

B. Adebayo 236.7 poss
FG% 44.7%
3P% 9.1%
PPP 0.19
PTS 46
N. Vučević 121.7 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 20
K. Towns 97.4 poss
FG% 54.5%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 33
E. Mobley 89.9 poss
FG% 47.1%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 21
J. Duren 89.8 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 9
N. Claxton 83.2 poss
FG% 41.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 12
M. Raynaud 78.6 poss
FG% 83.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 13
N. Jokić 78.2 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 20
A. Sarr 71.2 poss
FG% 45.5%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 12
D. Clingan 69.1 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.03
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

72
Games
12.2
PPG
7.6
RPG
2.0
APG
0.8
SPG
0.6
BPG
51.2
FG%
32.6
3P%
80.5
FT%
29.7
MPG

GAME LOG

72 games played