TOR

2025-26 Season

COLLIN MURRAY-BOYLES

Toronto Raptors | Forward | 6-7
Collin Murray-Boyles
9.1PPG
5.2RPG
1.9APG
22.4MPG
+2.0 Impact

Murray-Boyles produces at an above average rate for a 22-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+2.0
Scoring +7.8
Points Scored 9.1 PPG = +9.1
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -2.6
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.3
Creation +0.7
Assists & Self-Creation 1.9 AST/g + self-creation = +0.7
Turnovers -2.6
Turnovers 1.1/g (live + dead blend) = -2.6
Defense +0.1
Steals 1.0/g = +2.3
Blocks 1.0/g = +0.9
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -3.1
Hustle & Effort +5.6
Rebounds 5.2 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +2.5
Contested Shots 4.4/g = +0.9
Deflections 2.3/g = +1.5
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.1
Loose Balls 0.3/g = +0.2
Screen Assists 1.3/g = +0.4
Raw Impact +11.6
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.6
Net Impact
+2.0
63th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 50th
9.1 PPG
Efficiency 90th
63.3% TS
Playmaking 61th
1.9 APG
Rebounding 66th
5.2 RPG
Defense 56th
+7.6/g
Hustle 91th
+19.1/g
Creation 64th
+2.82/g
Shot Making 24th
+3.99/g
TO Discipline 44th
0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Collin Murray-Boyles spent the first quarter of the 2025-26 season caught in a frustrating tug-of-war between tantalizing offensive flashes and glaring defensive liabilities. When given the starting nod on 11/02 vs MEM, he rewarded the coaching staff with a massive +17.1 impact score, racking up 15 points, nine rebounds, and five assists by aggressively attacking the glass and distributing the ball. Yet, scoring efficiently rarely told the whole story. During the 10/29 vs HOU matchup, he poured in 13 points on a crisp 5-of-8 from the field, but still suffered a -2.1 impact mark because his defensive rotations were repeatedly exploited. A nearly identical script played out on 12/05 vs LAL. Despite hitting both of his three-point attempts and tallying 12 points, hidden defensive costs dragged him down to a -3.5 impact score. He clearly possesses the raw offensive tools to stick in a rotation, but until he stops bleeding points on the other end of the floor, his minutes will remain wildly unpredictable.

This midseason stretch marked a dramatic role change for Collin Murray-Boyles, as he climbed out of a low-impact bench spot to become a vital, rebounding-obsessed starter. You do not need to score to break a game wide open, a reality he made perfectly clear on 01/08 vs CHA. Despite managing just four points on three shot attempts, his relentless work on the glass yielded a massive +13.1 Impact score, driven entirely by second-chance opportunities and sheer defensive hustle. He paired that grit with offensive volume on 01/11 vs PHI, logging a grueling 42 minutes to post 17 points and 15 boards for a staggering +24.4 Impact score. Yet, his promotion to the starting five wasn't entirely flawless. During the 01/17 vs LAC matchup, he scored a respectable 11 points but posted a dismal -6.8 Impact score, as a sudden drop in rebounding and hidden defensive lapses dragged down his overall value.

A mid-season demotion to the second unit defined this stretch for Collin Murray-Boyles, paradoxically unlocking his most efficient basketball. Take his gritty performance on 04/07 vs MIA. He scored a meager 6 points, but his relentless work on the glass yielded 8 rebounds and drove an Impact: +5.9 score by simply keeping possessions alive. Two days later on 04/09 vs MIA, he erupted as a bench sparkplug, dropping 17 points on flawless 7-for-7 shooting to generate a staggering Impact: +20.7. Contrast that peak with his final days as a starter, like the disastrous outing on 02/08 vs IND. He was a total ghost during his eight minutes on the floor, failing to record a single rebound or assist to earn a dismal Impact: -10.3. When he stops forcing the issue and embraces the dirty work, he transforms into a terrifyingly effective rotation big.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Murray-Boyles's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~6 points per game.

Reliable shooter — hits 45%+ from the field in 82% of games. You can count on efficient nights more often than not.

Defensive difference-maker. Murray-Boyles consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: -1.2, second-half: +5.2. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 7 games. Longest cold streak: 6 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 53 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

J. Johnson 66.2 poss
FG% 71.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 10
K. Towns 58.0 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 3
J. Embiid 50.8 poss
FG% 62.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 10
G. Yabusele 48.0 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 6
W. Carter Jr. 47.8 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 5
V. Wembanyama 44.0 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 10
A. Drummond 41.3 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 7
I. Zubac 39.6 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 3
A. Bona 39.5 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 4
J. Huff 37.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 6

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Johnson 46.7 poss
FG% 41.7%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 13
A. Drummond 46.5 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.04
PTS 2
G. Yabusele 45.6 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.11
PTS 5
J. Embiid 44.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.33
PTS 15
O. Okongwu 44.3 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.32
PTS 14
V. Wembanyama 44.3 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 10
W. Carter Jr. 42.4 poss
FG% 71.4%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 11
K. Towns 42.4 poss
FG% 22.2%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.17
PTS 7
I. Zubac 42.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 4
A. Bona 41.9 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 4

SEASON STATS

64
Games
9.1
PPG
5.2
RPG
1.9
APG
1.0
SPG
1.0
BPG
59.1
FG%
32.1
3P%
67.7
FT%
22.4
MPG

GAME LOG

64 games played