2025-26 Season
OCHAI AGBAJI
2025-26 Season
OCHAI AGBAJI
Agbaji produces at an poor rate for a 16-minute workload.
Agbaji produces at an poor rate for a 16-minute workload.
PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology
TEAM COMPARISON
of 20 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)
Similar Players
Same position, closest production profile this season.
SKILL DNA
Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games
THE SEASON SO FAR
Ochai Agbaji’s opening stretch of the 2025-26 season was defined by offensive invisibility and a desperate search for a stable rotation role. His struggles to stretch the floor were glaring on 11/09 vs PHI, where a spot start yielded zero points and an abysmal -15.3 Impact score as defenders completely ignored him on the perimeter. He occasionally found ways to contribute without filling the basket, like on 12/16 vs MIA when he managed a +1.5 Impact score despite scoring just five points. His value there came entirely from timely rebounding and active defensive rotations that kept the opponent out of rhythm. Yet, even when his shot finally fell on 12/19 vs MIL during a 10-point outing, he still recorded a -1.4 Impact score. That negative mark stemmed from his inability to generate offense for others and a tendency to bleed value through passive off-ball stretches. Agbaji simply must find ways to consistently matter when his jumper refuses to drop.
Ochai Agbaji’s midseason stretch was defined by a brutal demotion, as his erratic shooting ultimately banished him from the starting lineup to the deep bench. He briefly flashed his theoretical value on 01/17 vs LAC. In that start, he dropped 15 points and earned a +3.8 Impact score because his outside stroke finally connected to properly space the floor. That perimeter touch immediately vanished on 01/19 vs LAL, resulting in a dismal -11.8 Impact. Despite playing 25 minutes, Agbaji bricked all five of his shot attempts and offered zero secondary playmaking, turning his minutes into completely empty possessions that dragged the starting unit down. The bottom fell out completely on 01/21 vs GSW. A miserable -20.1 Impact score directly reflected his poor shot selection and total failure to secure a single rebound or assist in 12 minutes of action. By February, his lack of offensive gravity made him a sheer liability, reducing him to mere two-minute cameos.
Ochai Agbaji’s mid-season stretch was defined by maddeningly erratic bench production, operating as a wildly volatile swingman whose value lived and died by his jumper. When his shot was actually falling, he looked like an elite rotation piece. He poured in 18 points on a blistering 8-for-9 shooting performance on 03/09 vs MEM, earning a stellar +10.4 Impact score through sheer offensive efficiency. Yet, that same aggression frequently burned his own team when his touch vanished. Look at 03/18 vs OKC, where he managed 10 points but required nine field goal attempts and six three-point heaves to get there. His inefficient shot selection stalled the second-unit offense, resulting in a damaging -6.0 Impact score despite the double-digit scoring total. Even when he crashed the glass to compensate for a cold night, his lack of scoring gravity severely cramped the floor. On 02/11 vs IND, Agbaji grabbed 6 rebounds and dished 2 assists, but his scoreless outing on 0-for-3 shooting dragged his Impact score down to a dismal -8.6 because defenders completely ignored him on the perimeter.
IMPACT TIMELINE
Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.
Struggling. Agbaji has posted negative impact in 82% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.
Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 47% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.
Average defender. Agbaji doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.
Slight upward trend. First-half impact: -7.4, second-half: -5.6. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.
Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 1 games. Longest cold streak: 16 games.
MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago
Based on 72 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.
ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM
His shooting stats against each primary defender this season
ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED
How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.
SEASON STATS
GAME LOG
62 games played
