2025-26 Season
RYAN ROLLINS
2025-26 Season
RYAN ROLLINS
Rollins produces at an average rate for a 32-minute workload. 2.7 turnovers per game cost 5.3 points of value nightly.
About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works
TEAM COMPARISON
of 17 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)
SKILL DNA
Percentile rank vs 235 Guards with 10+ games
THE SEASON SO FAR
Ryan Rollins spent the first twenty games of the season locked in a chaotic tug-of-war between brilliant offensive orchestration and deeply damaging shot selection. Early on, he found ways to win on the margins even when his jumper betrayed him. During the 10/24 vs TOR matchup, he managed a +6.0 impact score despite scoring just 13 points, shifting his value entirely to the defensive end to generate critical stops. However, as his usage spiked, a dangerous habit of high-volume gunning began to actively hurt the team. Look no further than his 11/17 vs CLE performance, where he dropped 24 points but registered a -2.5 impact because forced attempts in traffic severely depressed his overall effectiveness. A similar story unfolded on 11/26 vs MIA; his 26 points were a mirage that masked a brutally inefficient 11-for-24 shooting night, dragging him to a -1.4 impact. When he devolves into an isolation chucker, Rollins becomes his own team's worst enemy.
A maddening pendulum of offensive brilliance and self-destructive shot selection defined this turbulent stretch for Ryan Rollins. When he let the game come to him, he looked like a legitimate star. Look no further than his January 2 masterpiece (01/02 vs CHA), where he punished drop coverage with lethal precision to hang 29 points on 11-of-13 shooting, generating a massive +24.0 impact score. Yet, his worst habits routinely sabotaged his overall value. During the 12/31 vs WAS matchup, he managed a respectable 16 points, but his -8.0 impact score exposed the hidden costs of his performance, as forced, contested jumpers completely stalled the offensive engine. He hit absolute rock bottom shortly after in a 01/09 vs LAL tilt. A disastrous pattern of forced perimeter jumpers resulted in a 2-for-13 shooting night and a brutal -13.3 impact score. If Rollins wants to be a reliable floor general, he must learn that sheer volume cannot mask the steep price of poor offensive decision-making.
This stretch was a dizzying rollercoaster where elite offensive orchestration violently clashed with self-destructive shot selection. When Rollins lost his discipline, the hidden costs of his high-volume scoring actively harmed the team. Look no further than 02/03 vs CHI, where he tallied 21 points and 10 assists but posted a dismal -8.4 impact because his tunnel vision on drives led to forced layups that ignited opponent transition runs. Yet, he could suddenly flip the script into pure brilliance, like on 02/20 vs NOP when his catch-and-shoot mastery yielded an ultra-efficient 27 points and a massive +20.0 impact score. Even when his jumper completely abandoned him, Rollins occasionally found ways to stay above water through sheer grit. During the 03/04 vs ATL matchup, he shot a miserable 4-for-11 for just 13 points, but still salvaged a +2.7 impact by dictating the pace with exceptional playmaking and relentless hustle. He clearly possesses the tools to dominate, but his erratic decision-making makes him an agonizingly unpredictable asset.
IMPACT TIMELINE
Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.
Boom-or-bust player. Rollins's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~7 points per game.
Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 56% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.
Defensive difference-maker. Rollins consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.
Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +2.1, second-half: -1.0. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.
Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 5 games. Longest cold streak: 6 games.
MATCHUP HISTORY
Based on 73 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.
ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM
His shooting stats against each primary defender this season
ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED
How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.
SEASON STATS
GAME LOG
72 games played