MIL

2025-26 Season

RYAN ROLLINS

Milwaukee Bucks | Guard | 6-3
Ryan Rollins
17.3PPG
4.6RPG
5.6APG
32.1MPG
+6.5 Impact

Rollins produces at an elite rate for a 32-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+6.5
Scoring +16.0
Points Scored 17.3 PPG = +17.3
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -5.6
Shot Making above expected FG% = +4.3
Creation +1.3
Assists & Self-Creation 5.6 AST/g + self-creation = +1.3
Turnovers -6.3
Turnovers 2.7/g (live + dead blend) = -6.3
Defense +1.4
Steals 1.5/g = +3.4
Blocks 0.4/g = +0.4
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.4
Hustle & Effort +3.2
Rebounds 4.6 RPG (OREB + DREB) = -0.7
Contested Shots 3.8/g = +0.8
Deflections 4.0/g = +2.6
Charges Drawn 0.1/g = +0.1
Loose Balls 0.6/g = +0.4
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +15.6
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.1
Net Impact
+6.5
84th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 84th
17.3 PPG
Efficiency 78th
58.0% TS
Playmaking 88th
5.6 APG
Rebounding 83th
4.6 RPG
Defense 74th
+9.5/g
Hustle 72th
+11.1/g
Creation 71th
+3.44/g
Shot Making 85th
+9.08/g
TO Discipline 16th
0.08/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Ryan Rollins seized a starting job after opening night and never looked back, turning his first 25 games into a thrilling offensive breakout. He completely took over on 10/31 vs GSW. Pouring in 32 points on blistering 13-for-21 shooting, he posted a staggering +26.2 impact score through pure offensive dominance. Yet his overall value wasn't strictly tied to his shooting touch. During a quiet 10-point outing on 11/30 vs BKN, Rollins still managed a +6.9 impact score because his suffocating perimeter defense and timely hustle plays set a gritty tone. His youthful aggressiveness did occasionally backfire. On 12/02 vs WAS, sloppy turnovers and forced offensive possessions dragged him to a dismal -8.3 impact score despite a passable 14 points. When he balances his lethal scoring punch with smart decision-making, Rollins looks like a legitimate backcourt weapon.

A turbulent transition from struggling starter to explosive bench spark and back again defined Ryan Rollins’s mid-season campaign. After regaining his starting job, he caught absolute fire on 01/03 vs CHA. Rollins poured in 29 points on 11-of-13 shooting that night, generating a massive +35.2 impact score through lethal shot selection and sharp playmaking. The magic eventually faded, hitting a miserable wall on 01/12 vs DEN. His brutal 1-for-9 shooting in that matchup yielded a dismal -12.6 impact score, as his forced attempts actively killed offensive momentum. However, Rollins learned to salvage his shifts when the jumper abandoned him. On 01/14 vs MIN, he managed just 11 points on a clunky 14 field goal attempts, yet posted a +3.1 impact score because his aggressive rebounding and hustle kept possessions alive. He clearly possesses the offensive firepower to tilt games, but his erratic efficiency dictates whether he operates as a genuine weapon or a volume-heavy liability.

This late-season stretch was a volatile but highly productive breakout for Ryan Rollins, defined by explosive scoring bursts and relentless playmaking. He completely torched the perimeter on 02/20 vs NOP, draining 7-of-10 from deep for 27 points to generate a massive +26.9 impact score through sheer offensive efficiency. Yet his real growth appeared on nights when his jumper abandoned him, like his 03/04 vs ATL matchup. Rollins shot a miserable 4-of-11 from the floor in that contest but still posted a +10.1 impact by manufacturing crucial non-scoring value, crashing the glass for eight rebounds and orchestrating the offense with 12 assists. Conversely, raw production did not always guarantee winning basketball. On 02/25 vs CLE, he tallied a highly efficient 18 points and nine assists, but hidden costs like defensive lapses and sloppy turnovers dragged him down to a -1.0 impact score. He is rapidly evolving into a legitimate offensive engine, though he still needs to iron out those sudden lapses in focus.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Volatile for his role. Rollins has noticeable ups and downs, with scoring moving ~7 points between games.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 55% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Rollins consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Small downward trend. First-half impact: +7.5, second-half: +5.6. Not alarming yet, but trending the wrong direction.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 8 games. Longest cold streak: 4 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 73 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

I. Quickley 93.6 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.11
PTS 10
D. Daniels 75.8 poss
FG% 56.2%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.26
PTS 20
D. Schröder 68.8 poss
FG% 22.2%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 4
S. James 68.4 poss
FG% 62.5%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 12
B. Carrington 60.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 4
D. Mitchell 60.6 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 8
T. Camara 59.8 poss
FG% 36.4%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.18
PTS 11
T. Maxey 55.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 15
J. Pickett 55.6 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 5
T. Jones 54.6 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 7

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

T. Maxey 110.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 30.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 23
I. Quickley 99.5 poss
FG% 52.2%
3P% 54.5%
PPP 0.35
PTS 35
C. McCollum 83.9 poss
FG% 61.1%
3P% 55.6%
PPP 0.39
PTS 33
FG% 62.5%
3P% 45.5%
PPP 0.31
PTS 25
J. Brunson 74.1 poss
FG% 64.7%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.42
PTS 31
D. Schröder 72.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 10
J. Giddey 71.6 poss
FG% 41.7%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.2
PTS 14
D. Mitchell 69.5 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 16.7%
PPP 0.24
PTS 17
J. Pickett 69.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 8
S. Curry 67.0 poss
FG% 43.8%
3P% 37.5%
PPP 0.3
PTS 20

SEASON STATS

74
Games
17.3
PPG
4.6
RPG
5.6
APG
1.5
SPG
0.4
BPG
47.2
FG%
40.6
3P%
79.6
FT%
32.1
MPG

GAME LOG

74 games played