MIA

2025-26 Season

KASPARAS JAKUČIONIS

Miami Heat | Guard | 6-5
Kasparas Jakučionis
6.2PPG
2.6RPG
2.6APG
17.8MPG
-5.0 Impact

Jakučionis produces at an poor rate for a 18-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-5.0
Scoring +5.7
Points Scored 6.2 PPG = +6.2
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -2.0
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.5
Creation +0.3
Assists & Self-Creation 2.6 AST/g + self-creation = +0.3
Turnovers -2.2
Turnovers 0.9/g (live + dead blend) = -2.2
Defense -0.1
Steals 0.6/g = +1.4
Blocks 0.1/g = +0.1
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.6
Hustle & Effort +2.2
Rebounds 2.6 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +0.3
Contested Shots 2.7/g = +0.5
Deflections 1.5/g = +1.0
Charges Drawn 0.1/g = +0.2
Loose Balls 0.4/g = +0.2
Screen Assists 0.0/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +5.9
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.9
Net Impact
-5.0
24th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 25th
6.6 PPG
Efficiency 47th
54.3% TS
Playmaking 54th
2.8 APG
Rebounding 47th
2.8 RPG
Defense 10th
+4.4/g
Hustle 34th
+7.6/g
Creation 8th
+1.32/g
Shot Making 52th
+6.74/g
TO Discipline 55th
0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Kasparas Jakučionis’s first 18 games were defined by a jarring inability to adapt to NBA speed, leaving him looking thoroughly overwhelmed in a reserve role. He offered one tantalizing flash of his ceiling on 12/20 vs BOS, stepping into the starting lineup to drill five three-pointers and generate a +6.9 impact score. However, even when his counting stats looked respectable, his actual value on the floor routinely cratered. Look no further than 01/16 vs BOS, where he tallied 12 points and eight assists but still posted a -6.0 impact score because porous defense and empty-calorie possessions gave those points right back. A subsequent start on 01/18 vs OKC was an unmitigated disaster. He forced terrible looks to finish 1-for-7 from the field, collapsing to a staggering -15.5 impact score as the offense completely stagnated under his direction. If this stretch made anything clear, it is that Jakučionis is currently a massive liability when his perimeter shot isn't bailing him out.

Kasparas Jakučionis’s midseason stretch was defined by a jarring demotion to the second unit that temporarily unlocked his perimeter ceiling before his consistency completely evaporated. Even while struggling to find his shot as a starter early on, he occasionally found ways to heavily influence winning without filling up the bucket. Take his 01/26 vs PHX performance. Despite managing just 7 points, he crashed the glass for 6 rebounds and kept the ball moving, grinding out a +6.8 Impact score through relentless energy and connective passing. The move to a reserve role shortly after ignited a brief, spectacular scoring inferno. He absolutely torched the nets on 02/08 vs WAS, drilling all six of his three-point attempts to rack up 22 points and 6 assists for a massive +20.8 Impact mark. However, his box score production often masked fundamental flaws. When he returned to the starting lineup on 02/21 vs MEM, he shot an efficient 4-of-6 for 12 points, yet still posted a -5.4 Impact score because his porous perimeter defense and slow rotations bled easy baskets on the other end.

Kasparas Jakučionis spent the late winter of the 2025-26 season riding a chaotic pendulum between starting-caliber brilliance and deep, bench-warming slumps. Given a spot in the opening lineup on 03/12 vs MIL, he erupted for 18 points and seven rebounds. He buried five three-pointers that night, spacing the floor perfectly to generate a massive +12.3 Impact score. He did not always need a hot shooting hand to swing a game, however. Take his outing on 03/23 vs SAS, where a modest 8-point performance still yielded a +9.0 Impact score because he crashed the glass for six boards and provided relentless defensive effort. Yet, his playmaking occasionally came with crippling hidden costs. During the 04/04 vs WAS matchup, he stuffed the stat sheet with 14 points and nine assists but still posted a dismal -8.2 Impact score, dragged down by sloppy turnovers and poor shot selection. This volatile stretch paints the picture of a guard who can ignite an offense, but whose erratic execution makes him a maddening rotation puzzle.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Jakučionis has posted negative impact in 77% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 48% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Average defender. Jakučionis doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: -7.4, second-half: -2.7. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 2 games. Longest cold streak: 16 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 61 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

A. Simons 42.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 5
B. Saraf 33.9 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.21
PTS 7
W. Riley 33.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. White 31.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 4
D. Schröder 31.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.16
PTS 5
J. Carter 27.1 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.22
PTS 6
A. Dosunmu 26.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
S. Cooper 24.5 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.37
PTS 9
D. Terry 23.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
J. Suggs 23.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

A. Simons 38.8 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 44.4%
PPP 0.36
PTS 14
D. Schröder 35.4 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 3
P. Pritchard 34.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 5
S. Cooper 31.8 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 4
B. Saraf 28.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
I. Okoro 28.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.29
PTS 8
W. Riley 27.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 3
C. White 27.7 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.36
PTS 10
J. Suggs 26.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
O. Dieng 23.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

SEASON STATS

53
Games
6.2
PPG
2.6
RPG
2.6
APG
0.6
SPG
0.1
BPG
42.9
FG%
42.3
3P%
87.9
FT%
17.8
MPG

GAME LOG

53 games played