HOU

2025-26 Season

AARON HOLIDAY

Houston Rockets | Guard | 6-0
Aaron Holiday
5.2PPG
1.0RPG
1.0APG
13.5MPG
-6.2 Impact

Holiday produces at an poor rate for a 14-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-6.2
Scoring +4.6
Points Scored 5.2 PPG = +5.2
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -2.0
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.4
Creation +0.3
Assists & Self-Creation 1.0 AST/g + self-creation = +0.3
Turnovers -1.5
Turnovers 0.7/g (live + dead blend) = -1.5
Hustle & Effort +0.5
Rebounds 1.0 RPG (OREB + DREB) = -0.4
Contested Shots 1.4/g = +0.3
Deflections 0.6/g = +0.4
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.1
Loose Balls 0.1/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +3.9
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.1
Net Impact
-6.2
13th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 21th
6.0 PPG
Efficiency 65th
56.5% TS
Playmaking 11th
1.1 APG
Rebounding 2th
1.1 RPG
Defense 39th
+6.7/g
Hustle 4th
+3.8/g
Creation 75th
+3.70/g
Shot Making 53th
+6.86/g
TO Discipline 60th
0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Aaron Holiday’s first twenty games of the season were defined by a chaotic, boom-or-bust approach to bench scoring. When his jumper was falling, he looked like a genuine spark plug. He caught fire on 11/25 vs PHX, dropping 22 points and generating a stellar +13.2 Impact score. But that green light often came with severe hidden costs. Look at his outing on 11/27 vs GSW. Despite scoring 14 points, Holiday posted a damaging -7.7 Impact because he hijacked the offense with abysmal shot selection, bricking his way to a 4-for-16 performance from the field. He simply offers zero margin for error. By the time he logged a disastrous -16.5 Impact on 12/20 vs DEN, going scoreless in eight miserable minutes, it was obvious his erratic trigger finger was hurting the second unit.

Aaron Holiday spent the middle of the winter trapped in a brutal slump that nearly erased his rotational value entirely. When thrust into the starting lineup on 01/12 vs SAC, he threw up bricks all night, finishing with just three points on an abysmal 1-for-7 shooting clip that resulted in an Impact of -8.2. Even when his shot occasionally fell, his minutes routinely hurt the team. Look at the 02/25 vs SAC game, where he scored seven points on a tidy 3-for-4 from the floor. Despite that efficient scoring, his Impact sat at a dreadful -9.8 because his stagnant playmaking and inability to organize the second unit stalled out possessions. The lone bright spot emerged on 02/04 vs BOS. During that brief 11-minute burst, Holiday poured in nine points and chipped in two assists, generating an Impact of +6.3 because he actually forced the defense to respect his jumper. Aside from that fleeting spark, this stretch was defined by empty minutes and hesitant play.

This late-season stretch was defined by a brutal, prolonged offensive freeze that made Aaron Holiday nearly unplayable off the bench. The wheels completely fell off during the 03/11 vs DEN matchup, where he hoisted up terrible looks to finish 1-for-10 from the field, dragging the second unit down with a miserable -17.0 impact score. Even when his perimeter shots actually fell, his minutes often hurt the team. During the 03/20 vs ATL game, he hit three triples for 9 points but still posted a -7.2 impact, as his lack of playmaking and defensive lapses bled away any value his scoring provided. He finally found a brief rhythm on 04/07 vs PHX, tallying 12 points on sharp 4-of-6 shooting to earn a rare +2.7 impact score by providing a genuine, efficient offensive spark. Unfortunately, that flash faded quickly. He closed out the stretch with an empty cardio session on 04/18 vs LAL, missing all four of his shots and grabbing zero rebounds to record a catastrophic -18.6 impact.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Holiday has posted negative impact in 87% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 41% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Average defender. Holiday doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 2 games. Longest cold streak: 19 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 74 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

M. Monk 42.0 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
C. Gillespie 32.0 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 5
K. George 31.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.41
PTS 13
W. Clayton Jr. 27.2 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 6
T. Jones 23.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 5
J. Hardy 23.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Murray 22.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
B. Bogdanović 21.7 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 6
K. Chandler 20.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Hardaway Jr. 19.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

W. Clayton Jr. 30.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 4
T. Hardaway Jr. 29.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 5
B. Bogdanović 28.6 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 8
C. Gillespie 24.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.29
PTS 7
J. Goodwin 24.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
Z. LaVine 23.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.3
PTS 7
M. Monk 23.0 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 7
N. Clifford 22.7 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 2
K. George 22.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 3
M. Christie 20.8 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

63
Games
5.2
PPG
1.0
RPG
1.0
APG
0.5
SPG
0.1
BPG
40.5
FG%
38.4
3P%
85.4
FT%
13.5
MPG

GAME LOG

63 games played