HOU

2025-26 Season

AARON HOLIDAY

Houston Rockets | Guard | 6-0
Aaron Holiday
5.3 PPG
0.9 RPG
1.0 APG
13.2 MPG
-2.2 Impact

Holiday produces at an below average rate for a 13-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-2.2
Scoring +3.0
Points 5.3 PPG × +1.00 = +5.3
Missed 2PT 0.8/g × -0.78 = -0.6
Missed 3PT 1.8/g × -0.87 = -1.6
Missed FT 0.1/g × -1.00 = -0.1
Creation +0.8
Assists 1.0/g × +0.50 = +0.5
Off. Rebounds 0.2/g × +1.26 = +0.3
Turnovers -1.4
Turnovers 0.7/g × -1.95 = -1.4
Defense -0.5
Steals 0.5/g × +2.30 = +1.1
Blocks 0.1/g × +0.90 = +0.1
Def. Rebounds 0.7/g × +0.30 = +0.2
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +1.3
Contested Shots 1.7/g × +0.20 = +0.3
Deflections 0.7/g × +0.65 = +0.5
Loose Balls 0.2/g × +0.60 = +0.1
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.2/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.4
Raw Impact +3.2
Baseline (game-average expected) −5.4
Net Impact
-2.2
33th pctl vs Guards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 23th
6.3 PPG
Efficiency 78th
58.6% TS
Playmaking 11th
1.1 APG
Rebounding 3th
1.1 RPG
Rim Protection 11th
0.08/min
Hustle 57th
0.11/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 56th
0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Aaron Holiday’s first twenty games were a volatile rollercoaster of blazing perimeter shooting followed immediately by catastrophic decision-making. When he stayed within the flow of the offense, the results were lethal. On 11/19 vs CLE, he poured in 18 points on just seven shot attempts to post a stellar +8.8 impact score by orchestrating the second unit and punishing defensive breakdowns. However, that discipline frequently vanished when he tried to play hero ball, as seen on 11/26 vs GSW where he tallied 14 points but posted a disastrous -7.8 impact score. His glaringly poor shot selection dragged the entire bench down, as he repeatedly chucked contested looks to finish an abysmal 4-for-16 from the floor. The bottom completely fell out during a brutal shift on 12/23 vs LAC, where defensive lapses and an empty offensive presence resulted in a cratered -12.7 impact. For a backup guard, bleeding that much value makes him entirely too radioactive to trust.

A brutal offensive slump and glaring defensive lapses defined Aaron Holiday’s midseason stint as a deep-bench liability. His shot selection routinely hijacked any second-unit rhythm. Look no further than 01/03 vs DAL, where he chucked his way to an 0-for-6 shooting night, forcing empty perimeter looks that fueled a -5.8 impact score. Even when he actually found the bottom of the net, hidden costs dragged him down. During his 7-point outing on 02/25 vs SAC, severe point-of-attack defensive breakdowns completely erased his efficient shooting and plummeted his impact score to an ugly -8.4. He occasionally found ways to contribute without scoring volume, like his brief three-minute shift on 03/10 vs TOR. In that cameo, aggressive point-of-attack defense and decisive execution earned him a +3.7 impact score despite logging just two points. However, those fleeting moments of hustle were ultimately buried under a mountain of erratic decision-making and over-dribbling.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Below-average consistency. Holiday is negative impact in 69% of games, with scoring moving ~5 points game-to-game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 41% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Average defender. Holiday doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Flat trajectory all season — first-half impact -1.8, second-half -2.7. No major shifts, which fits with the overall steadiness.

In a rough stretch — 6 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 7 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 74 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

M. Monk 42.0 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
C. Gillespie 32.0 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 5
K. George 31.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.41
PTS 13
W. Clayton Jr. 27.2 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 6
T. Jones 23.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 5
J. Hardy 23.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Murray 22.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
B. Bogdanović 21.7 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 6
K. Chandler 20.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Hardaway Jr. 19.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

W. Clayton Jr. 30.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 4
T. Hardaway Jr. 29.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 5
B. Bogdanović 28.6 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 8
C. Gillespie 24.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.29
PTS 7
J. Goodwin 24.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
Z. LaVine 23.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.3
PTS 7
M. Monk 23.0 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 7
N. Clifford 22.7 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 2
K. George 22.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 3
M. Christie 20.8 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

51
Games
5.3
PPG
0.9
RPG
1.0
APG
0.5
SPG
0.1
BPG
40.3
FG%
38.3
3P%
86.5
FT%
13.2
MPG

GAME LOG

51 games played