TOR

2025-26 Season

RJ BARRETT

Toronto Raptors | Forward-Guard | 6-6
RJ Barrett
19.8PPG
5.5RPG
3.4APG
31.2MPG
+8.3 Impact

Barrett produces at an elite rate for a 31-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+8.3
Scoring +17.0
Points Scored 19.8 PPG = +19.8
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -6.6
Shot Making above expected FG% = +3.8
Creation +1.4
Assists & Self-Creation 3.4 AST/g + self-creation = +1.4
Turnovers -4.3
Turnovers 1.9/g (live + dead blend) = -4.3
Defense -0.5
Steals 0.8/g = +1.8
Blocks 0.3/g = +0.3
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.6
Hustle & Effort +4.3
Rebounds 5.5 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +2.1
Contested Shots 3.8/g = +0.8
Deflections 1.6/g = +1.0
Charges Drawn 0.1/g = +0.1
Loose Balls 0.4/g = +0.2
Screen Assists 0.3/g = +0.1
Raw Impact +17.9
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.6
Net Impact
+8.3
85th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 89th
19.8 PPG
Efficiency 66th
58.8% TS
Playmaking 87th
3.4 APG
Rebounding 73th
5.5 RPG
Defense 26th
+5.2/g
Hustle 50th
+12.3/g
Creation 64th
+2.82/g
Shot Making 81th
+8.30/g
TO Discipline 24th
0.06/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

RJ Barrett opened the 2025-26 campaign riding a wave of highly efficient shot creation that transformed him into a reliable offensive engine. He set the tone immediately on 10/22 vs ATL, pouring in 25 points on a blistering 9-for-12 from the floor to generate a massive +19.8 Impact score. Even when his jumper abandoned him, he found ways to contribute to winning basketball. During a gritty 11/14 vs CLE matchup, he scored just 9 points but still posted a +1.5 Impact by crashing the glass for 9 rebounds and facilitating for his teammates. Conversely, his overall value could plummet even when the ball was going through the hoop. On 10/26 vs DAL, Barrett shot an efficient 7-for-13 to reach 16 points, yet he logged a -0.8 Impact because his sluggish defensive rotations repeatedly bled points on the other end. When he plays within the flow of the offense and commits defensively, he looks like a legitimate star, but those sporadic lapses in effort remain his biggest hurdle.

This mid-season stretch was defined by a wild pendulum swing between erratic shot selection and razor-sharp offensive execution. His bad habits flared up during the 02/04 vs MIN matchup, where he forced contested jumpers to finish with just 13 points on 4-for-12 shooting. That poor decision-making and offensive stagnation dragged him down to a brutal -12.3 Impact score. Yet, Barrett occasionally found ways to salvage his nightly value even when his scoring touch vanished. During the 01/28 vs NYK contest, he shot a miserable 3-for-13 from the floor for just 14 points, but still managed a +4.0 Impact score by crashing the glass for eight rebounds and generating crucial extra possessions through sheer hustle. Fortunately, he finally put all the pieces together as February turned to March. He completely dismantled the defense on 03/08 vs DAL, pouring in 31 points on 13-for-19 shooting to earn a massive +29.2 Impact score by pairing timely perimeter makes with relentless drives to the rim.

This late-season stretch was defined by RJ Barrett's maddening duality as a high-volume wing. He vacillated wildly between hyper-efficient rim pressure and momentum-killing tunnel vision. When his jumper abandoned him on 03/25 vs LAC, he stubbornly forced up a 5-for-19 shooting dud, missing all seven of his three-pointers to drag his impact down to a dismal -4.0. That same erratic shot selection plagued him during the 04/01 vs SAC matchup. He tallied 20 points that night, but posted an ugly -8.0 Impact score because his scoring came at the steep cost of inefficient volume and forced looks. Yet, Barrett remains a genuine game-changer when he channels his aggression into the dirty work. Look no further than the 04/09 vs MIA contest, where he shot a mediocre 6-for-15 from the floor but still registered a massive +22.4 Impact by making timely hustle plays and suffocating his matchups with pure defensive effort.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Very consistent. Barrett posts positive impact in 78% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~6 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 62% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Barrett locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: +6.8, second-half: +9.8. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.

Hot right now — 10 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 11 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 51 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

Z. Risacher 64.6 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 14
D. Robinson 59.8 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 12
D. Daniels 56.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.34
PTS 19
M. Bridges 55.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 10
FG% 22.2%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 4
K. Knueppel 40.5 poss
FG% 45.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 11
K. Durant 40.2 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 8
V. Edgecombe 38.1 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 10
A. Green 37.9 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.18
PTS 7
D. Vassell 37.0 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 10

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

D. Daniels 102.7 poss
FG% 53.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 18
P. Washington 51.4 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 9
A. Thompson 46.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 5
M. Buzelis 46.0 poss
FG% 14.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
M. Porter Jr. 45.3 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 5
J. Randle 44.5 poss
FG% 41.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.29
PTS 13
S. Bey 44.0 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 15
O. Anunoby 40.4 poss
FG% 77.8%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.45
PTS 18
J. Green 39.7 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 6
A. Green 38.5 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 9

SEASON STATS

64
Games
19.8
PPG
5.5
RPG
3.4
APG
0.8
SPG
0.3
BPG
48.9
FG%
34.6
3P%
70.6
FT%
31.2
MPG

GAME LOG

64 games played