CHI

2025-26 Season

COLLIN SEXTON

Chicago Bulls | Guard | 6-3
Collin Sexton
15.2 PPG
2.0 RPG
3.3 APG
23.2 MPG
+0.9 Impact

Sexton produces at an average rate for a 23-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+0.9
Scoring +10.3
Points 15.2 PPG × +1.00 = +15.2
Missed 2PT 2.9/g × -0.78 = -2.3
Missed 3PT 2.4/g × -0.87 = -2.1
Missed FT 0.5/g × -1.00 = -0.5
Creation +2.2
Assists 3.3/g × +0.50 = +1.6
Off. Rebounds 0.5/g × +1.26 = +0.6
Turnovers -3.9
Turnovers 2.0/g × -1.95 = -3.9
Defense +1.1
Steals 1.0/g × +2.30 = +2.3
Blocks 0.2/g × +0.90 = +0.2
Def. Rebounds 1.5/g × +0.30 = +0.5
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +2.5
Contested Shots 2.2/g × +0.20 = +0.4
Deflections 1.8/g × +0.65 = +1.2
Loose Balls 0.4/g × +0.60 = +0.2
Screen Assists 0.3/g × +0.30 = +0.1
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.2/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.6
Raw Impact +12.2
Baseline (game-average expected) −11.3
Net Impact
+0.9
78th pctl vs Guards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 77th
15.2 PPG
Efficiency 96th
62.7% TS
Playmaking 61th
3.3 APG
Rebounding 21th
2.0 RPG
Rim Protection 36th
0.10/min
Hustle 54th
0.11/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 14th
0.09/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Collin Sexton’s opening stretch was a volatile tug-of-war between hyper-efficient bench sparks and disastrous, empty-calorie starts. When fully locked in defensively, he was an absolute wrecking ball off the pine. Look at 10/22 vs BKN, where he scored a modest 15 points but generated a massive +9.6 impact score by applying relentless full-court pressure that yielded a +15.2 defensive metric. Yet, when thrust into the starting lineup, his chaotic shot selection routinely punished his own team. During 11/02 vs UTA, he tallied 12 assists but posted a brutal -13.7 impact score due to inefficient isolation attempts and glaring defensive lapses. Even his highest-scoring nights came with hidden costs. He dropped 22 points on 11/23 vs ATL, but his impact plummeted to -4.1 because of empty-calorie offense that failed to mask the defensive damage done elsewhere. Sexton remains an electrifying downhill weapon, but his overall value clearly hinges on accepting a streamlined bench role and abandoning his tunnel vision.

A volatile tug-of-war between high-octane rim pressure and reckless tunnel vision defined this turbulent stretch for Collin Sexton. When he embraced his role as a downhill battering ram, the results were spectacular. Look no further than 01/22 vs ORL, where absolute efficiency and relentless defensive pressure fueled a massive +13.4 impact score. Even when his scoring dipped to just 9 points on 01/24 vs WAS, he still posted a +2.7 impact by hounding opposing ball-handlers with suffocating point-of-attack defense. Yet, his worst habits routinely sabotaged his value on nights when he fell in love with his jumper. During a spot start on 12/31 vs GSW, Sexton stuffed the box score with 16 points, 5 rebounds, and 8 assists, but a brutal volume of missed perimeter shots dragged his impact down to a costly -4.9. Forcing contested looks and driving blindly into congested paint areas repeatedly tanked his efficiency, leaving his overall effectiveness wildly unpredictable.

This twenty-game stretch was a masterclass in sheer volatility, defined by dizzying microwave scoring explosions interspersed with bouts of frustrating tunnel vision. When the blinders came on, the results were disastrous, perfectly illustrated on 02/07 vs DEN when he forced wild drives into heavy traffic. Despite tallying 17 points, those empty possessions and a dismal -5.0 defensive rating dragged his overall impact to a brutal -14.6. Yet, when he harnessed that aggression effectively, he was utterly unguardable. On 03/05 vs PHX, Sexton relentlessly broke the defensive shell with downhill attacks, pouring in 30 points and generating a massive +17.0 impact score. He even found ways to tilt the floor when his shot volume dipped, like his brief twelve-minute stint on 02/22 vs NYK. He managed just 8 points, but his relentless rim pressure energized the second unit and fueled a +3.0 hustle rating, driving a +4.3 overall impact. He remains a chaotic offensive engine, capable of shooting his team into—or completely out of—any basketball game.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Sexton's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~6 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 56% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Sexton locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 4 games. Longest cold streak: 7 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 65 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

R. Rollins 58.9 poss
FG% 36.4%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.15
PTS 9
C. Wallace 49.4 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 11
A. Mitchell 40.8 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 7
J. Shead 40.3 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 8
I. Quickley 40.1 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 10
G. Trent Jr. 36.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 10
J. Walter 34.4 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 8
J. Alvarado 34.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 6
W. Clayton Jr. 32.2 poss
FG% 11.1%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 4
A. Green 29.0 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.62
PTS 18

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Shead 57.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 5
C. Wallace 45.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Maxey 44.0 poss
FG% 16.7%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.18
PTS 8
R. Rollins 41.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
G. Trent Jr. 39.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Green 39.3 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 6
I. Quickley 38.2 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 4
A. Mitchell 37.1 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 9
J. Alvarado 36.8 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 3
C. McCollum 36.0 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 8

SEASON STATS

63
Games
15.2
PPG
2.0
RPG
3.3
APG
1.0
SPG
0.2
BPG
49.0
FG%
40.8
3P%
86.0
FT%
23.2
MPG

GAME LOG

63 games played