2025-26 Season
BUB CARRINGTON
2025-26 Season
BUB CARRINGTON
Carrington produces at an poor rate for a 28-minute workload.
About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works
TEAM COMPARISON
of 18 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)
SKILL DNA
Percentile rank vs 235 Guards with 10+ games
THE SEASON SO FAR
A jarring inability to run an NBA offense defined Bub Carrington’s opening stretch, forcing an early demotion to the bench. His raw counting stats often lied. During the 11/10 vs DET matchup, an efficient 11-point night was entirely derailed by sloppy ball security, resulting in a -10.3 impact score. He looked totally lost on 11/07 vs CLE. Despite logging 11 assists in that contest, a barrage of forced shots and telegraphed passes yielded a catastrophic -18.2 impact. Sometimes he simply vanished entirely, like on 11/03 vs NYK when physical point-of-attack defense held him to zero points for a brutal -18.8 impact rating. Whether he was bogging down the half-court flow with extreme passivity or bleeding points through defensive breakdowns, his crippling mistakes constantly sabotaged his minutes.
A maddening inability to protect the basketball defined Bub Carrington's midseason stretch. He bounced erratically between the starting lineup and the bench, frequently turning otherwise brilliant offensive flashes into net-negative disasters. Look no further than his 01/07 vs PHI start. Despite tallying 18 points and 7 assists in 40 minutes, he posted a catastrophic -18.6 impact score. The hidden costs of that heavy workload were staggering, as a barrage of live-ball turnovers completely derailed the offense and handed away easy points. Conversely, he generated real value when he stopped forcing the issue, as seen on 01/11 vs PHX. Scoring just 9 points, Carrington still drove a +3.0 impact rating by leaning heavily into elite point-of-attack defense and smart, unselfish ball movement. Until he learns to consistently value possession, his floor time will remain a chaotic gamble.
Bub Carrington’s midseason stretch was defined by a maddening oscillation between stubborn shot-chucking and baffling offensive passivity. Even when he put points on the board, like his 15-point outing on 01/30 vs LAL, his tendency to over-dribble against set defenses saddled teammates with late-clock grenades, resulting in a bleak -6.0 impact score. Things hit rock bottom on 02/22 vs CHA, where a disastrous 2-for-10 shooting night and forced jumpers torpedoed his value to the tune of a staggering -20.7 impact rating. Instead of adjusting his mechanics after that nightmare, he simply stopped looking at the rim entirely. During the 02/24 vs ATL matchup, he grabbed 10 rebounds and dished 7 assists, but his steep decline in scoring aggression and refusal to take open looks dragged his impact down to -6.7. Whether he was bleeding points through careless live-ball turnovers or settling for contested early-clock threes, Carrington consistently found hidden ways to sink his team's momentum.
IMPACT TIMELINE
Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.
Struggling. Carrington has posted negative impact in 92% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.
Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 36% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.
Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Carrington locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.
In a rough stretch — 8 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 26 games.
MATCHUP HISTORY
Based on 74 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.
ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM
His shooting stats against each primary defender this season
ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED
How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.
SEASON STATS
GAME LOG
76 games played