GSW

2025-26 Season

STEPHEN CURRY

Golden State Warriors | Guard | 6-2
Stephen Curry
26.5PPG
3.5RPG
4.7APG
31.1MPG
+13.4 Impact

Curry produces at an elite rate for a 31-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+13.4
Scoring +25.2
Points Scored 26.5 PPG = +26.5
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -7.6
Shot Making above expected FG% = +6.3
Creation +1.7
Assists & Self-Creation 4.7 AST/g + self-creation = +1.7
Turnovers -6.5
Turnovers 2.8/g (live + dead blend) = -6.5
Defense +1.2
Steals 1.2/g = +2.8
Blocks 0.4/g = +0.4
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.0
Hustle & Effort +2.0
Rebounds 3.5 RPG (OREB + DREB) = -0.7
Contested Shots 2.4/g = +0.5
Deflections 2.2/g = +1.4
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.1
Loose Balls 0.8/g = +0.5
Screen Assists 0.8/g = +0.2
Raw Impact +23.6
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.2
Net Impact
+13.4
96th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 97th
26.5 PPG
Efficiency 95th
62.2% TS
Playmaking 81th
4.7 APG
Rebounding 66th
3.5 RPG
Defense 69th
+9.2/g
Hustle 55th
+9.5/g
Creation 73th
+3.59/g
Shot Making 99th
+13.62/g
TO Discipline 12th
0.09/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Stephen Curry's opening fifteen games were defined by a wild pendulum swing between age-defying shooting explosions and sudden, jarring cold snaps. When his jumper was falling, he looked utterly unstoppable. He erupted for 49 points on 11/15 vs SAS, generating a massive +42.9 Impact score driven by lethal shot selection and a blistering 9-for-17 mark from beyond the arc. Yet, the veteran guard also endured nights where his aggressive trigger actively harmed the offense. During the 11/01 vs IND matchup, Curry tallied a respectable 24 points but posted a -0.1 Impact score. That negative overall value stemmed from the hidden costs of empty possessions, as he forced up terrible shots to go 4-for-16 from deep while offering little defensive resistance. Conversely, he found ways to contribute when his volume dipped, logging a +5.7 Impact score on 10/27 vs MEM despite scoring just 16 points because he focused on timely hustle plays and disciplined perimeter defense.

This 15-game stretch was defined by a vintage, earth-scorching offensive explosion that reminded the rest of the league of Stephen Curry's terrifying ceiling. His absolute peak arrived on 12/15 vs POR, where he erupted for 48 points on a blistering 12-of-19 from deep. That historically efficient shooting barrage, combined with relentless off-ball gravity, earned him a staggering +45.0 Impact score. However, his overall value wasn't purely tied to his jumper. Even when his shot completely abandoned him on 12/19 vs PHX, yielding just 15 points on a gross 3-of-13 from the floor, he still managed a +9.1 Impact score. He salvaged his night by crashing the glass for nine rebounds, distributing seven assists, and grinding through difficult defensive possessions to keep his team afloat. Contrast that with his sluggish start on 11/27 vs HOU, where a 14-point dud resulted in a -9.9 Impact score. Poor shot selection and defensive lethargy dragged his overall value into the red that night, but he quickly corrected course to dominate the rest of the month.

Stephen Curry’s late-season stretch was defined by erratic shooting swings and a brief, shocking relegation to the second unit. The veteran guard obviously still possessed his lethal ceiling, completely torching the perimeter on 01/23 vs DAL. He buried eight triples on his way to 38 points, yielding a massive +24.0 Impact score fueled by sheer shot-making dominance. However, his counting stats occasionally masked deeper on-court flaws. Take the 01/20 vs MIA matchup, where Curry tallied 19 points and 11 assists but suffered a -1.4 Impact score because defensive bleeding and empty possessions entirely negated his playmaking. Looking for a spark two months later, the coaching staff actually brought him off the pine on 04/05 vs HOU. Curry embraced the unusual reserve role with ruthless efficiency, pouring in 29 points on 11-of-21 shooting to post a stellar +20.2 Impact score.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Very consistent. Curry posts positive impact in 84% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~10 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 56% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Curry locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +15.6, second-half: +11.3. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 14 games. Longest cold streak: 1 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 39 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

T. Camara 110.0 poss
FG% 47.4%
3P% 45.5%
PPP 0.23
PTS 25
J. McDaniels 75.7 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 35.7%
PPP 0.41
PTS 31
M. Christie 71.0 poss
FG% 47.6%
3P% 41.7%
PPP 0.38
PTS 27
K. George 70.2 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 53.3%
PPP 0.48
PTS 34
R. Rollins 67.0 poss
FG% 43.8%
3P% 37.5%
PPP 0.3
PTS 20
J. Shead 50.4 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 14
C. Gillespie 46.4 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 11
S. Castle 44.4 poss
FG% 70.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.47
PTS 21
C. Braun 43.9 poss
FG% 53.8%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.5
PTS 22
A. Black 43.8 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 10

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

T. Camara 80.3 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 10
M. Christie 55.9 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 9
D. Vassell 54.6 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 11
J. McDaniels 50.5 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 5
S. Mykhailiuk 48.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
R. O'Neale 45.9 poss
FG% 16.7%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
A. Green 45.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
D. DiVincenzo 42.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Goodwin 35.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
O. Agbaji 34.7 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

45
Games
26.5
PPG
3.5
RPG
4.7
APG
1.2
SPG
0.4
BPG
46.5
FG%
39.5
3P%
92.2
FT%
31.1
MPG

GAME LOG

45 games played