GSW

2025-26 Season

STEPHEN CURRY

Golden State Warriors | Guard | 6-2
Stephen Curry
27.2 PPG
3.5 RPG
4.8 APG
31.3 MPG
+5.7 Impact

Curry produces at an elite rate for a 31-minute workload. 2.8 turnovers per game cost 5.5 points of value nightly.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+5.7
Scoring +18.2
Points 27.2 PPG × +1.00 = +27.2
Missed 2PT 3.2/g × -0.78 = -2.5
Missed 3PT 7.0/g × -0.87 = -6.1
Missed FT 0.4/g × -1.00 = -0.4
Creation +3.5
Assists 4.8/g × +0.50 = +2.4
Off. Rebounds 0.9/g × +1.26 = +1.1
Turnovers -5.5
Turnovers 2.8/g × -1.95 = -5.5
Defense +1.8
Steals 1.1/g × +2.30 = +2.5
Blocks 0.4/g × +0.90 = +0.4
Def. Rebounds 2.7/g × +0.30 = +0.8
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +3.8
Contested Shots 2.7/g × +0.20 = +0.5
Deflections 2.5/g × +0.65 = +1.6
Charges Drawn 0.1/g × +2.70 = +0.3
Loose Balls 0.9/g × +0.60 = +0.5
Screen Assists 0.9/g × +0.30 = +0.3
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.2/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.6
Raw Impact +21.8
Baseline (game-average expected) −16.1
Net Impact
+5.7
99th pctl vs Guards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 97th
27.2 PPG
Efficiency 95th
62.2% TS
Playmaking 81th
4.8 APG
Rebounding 65th
3.5 RPG
Rim Protection 57th
0.12/min
Hustle 59th
0.11/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 12th
0.09/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Stephen Curry’s opening stretch of the 2025-26 campaign was defined by violent oscillation, swinging wildly between transcendent offensive mastery and disjointed, forced chucking. When his rhythm synced with the offense, he was utterly unguardable, completely bending the opposing defensive scheme to his will. This was obvious on 11/14 vs SAS, where he erupted for 49 points and generated a staggering +25.6 impact score through sheer offensive dominance. High scoring did not always translate to winning basketball, however. During his 10/30 vs MIL outing, he poured in 27 points but posted a -3.6 impact score because underlying inefficiencies and costly turnovers actively killed the team's momentum. Conversely, he did not always need to score to dominate the margins. On 10/28 vs LAC, Curry managed just 19 points but still drove a +7.8 impact score because the sheer panic he induced off the ball warped the defense and created wide-open cutting lanes for his teammates. He remains the most dangerous gravitational force in the sport, but this early stretch reveals a superstar whose nightly value is heavily dictated by shot selection rather than sheer volume.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Volatile for his role. Curry has noticeable ups and downs, with scoring moving ~10 points between games.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 56% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Curry consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Small downward trend. First-half impact: +7.1, second-half: +4.4. Not alarming yet, but trending the wrong direction.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 8 games. Longest cold streak: 3 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 39 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

T. Camara 110.0 poss
FG% 47.4%
3P% 45.5%
PPP 0.23
PTS 25
J. McDaniels 75.7 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 35.7%
PPP 0.41
PTS 31
M. Christie 71.0 poss
FG% 47.6%
3P% 41.7%
PPP 0.38
PTS 27
K. George 70.2 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 53.3%
PPP 0.48
PTS 34
R. Rollins 67.0 poss
FG% 43.8%
3P% 37.5%
PPP 0.3
PTS 20
J. Shead 50.4 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 14
C. Gillespie 46.4 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 11
S. Castle 44.4 poss
FG% 70.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.47
PTS 21
C. Braun 43.9 poss
FG% 53.8%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.5
PTS 22
A. Black 43.8 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 10

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

T. Camara 80.3 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 10
M. Christie 55.9 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 9
D. Vassell 54.6 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 11
J. McDaniels 50.5 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 5
S. Mykhailiuk 48.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
R. O'Neale 45.9 poss
FG% 16.7%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
A. Green 45.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
D. DiVincenzo 42.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Goodwin 35.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
O. Agbaji 34.7 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

39
Games
27.2
PPG
3.5
RPG
4.8
APG
1.1
SPG
0.4
BPG
46.8
FG%
39.1
3P%
93.1
FT%
31.3
MPG

GAME LOG

39 games played