MIN

2025-26 Season

DONTE DIVINCENZO

Minnesota Timberwolves | Guard | 6-4
Donte DiVincenzo
12.1PPG
4.1RPG
3.8APG
30.1MPG
+2.4 Impact

DiVincenzo produces at an above average rate for a 30-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+2.4
Scoring +10.6
Points Scored 12.1 PPG = +12.1
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -4.8
Shot Making above expected FG% = +3.3
Creation +1.0
Assists & Self-Creation 3.8 AST/g + self-creation = +1.0
Turnovers -3.4
Turnovers 1.4/g (live + dead blend) = -3.4
Defense +1.2
Steals 1.3/g = +3.0
Blocks 0.4/g = +0.4
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.2
Hustle & Effort +2.9
Rebounds 4.1 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +0.1
Contested Shots 2.9/g = +0.6
Deflections 2.7/g = +1.7
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.7/g = +0.4
Screen Assists 0.3/g = +0.1
Raw Impact +12.3
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.9
Net Impact
+2.4
71st pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 66th
12.3 PPG
Efficiency 61th
55.6% TS
Playmaking 72th
3.9 APG
Rebounding 79th
4.1 RPG
Defense 80th
+10.0/g
Hustle 84th
+13.0/g
Creation 61th
+3.12/g
Shot Making 49th
+6.62/g
TO Discipline 66th
0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Donte DiVincenzo’s first 28 games were defined by a volatile, trigger-happy green light where his sheer hustle often had to rescue his erratic jumper. When his shot was falling, he looked like an elite two-way weapon. He buried six threes en route to 25 points and 9 rebounds on 11/04 vs BKN, posting a massive +20.5 Impact score through pure offensive firepower. But the floor could completely fall out from under him. During a dismal showing on 12/09 vs PHX, he clanked all six of his attempts from deep to finish with just 2 points, resulting in a brutal -16.2 Impact score because his wasted possessions crippled the half-court offense. Yet, even when the box score looked ugly, DiVincenzo usually found ways to tilt the math. Despite shooting a miserable 2-for-7 for just 8 points on 11/10 vs SAC, he still managed a +5.7 Impact score by generating extra possessions through relentless defensive effort and timely passing. He is the ultimate chaotic good role player, a guy who will shoot you into or out of a game but never stop fighting.

This mid-season stretch was a volatile rollercoaster defined by streaky perimeter shooting and a brutal late-winter offensive collapse. Even when his jumper abandoned him early on, he often salvaged his value through sheer grit. Take the 12/26 vs DEN matchup, where he shot a dismal 2-for-11 from the floor but still scraped together a neutral +0.0 Impact by crashing the glass for eight rebounds and keeping the offense flowing with eight assists. When the outside shot actually fell, he was a massive difference-maker. During the 02/02 vs MEM contest, DiVincenzo caught fire to hit five threes on his way to 21 points, generating a staggering +19.0 Impact because his highly efficient floor spacing finally matched his relentless defensive energy. However, that momentum completely vanished a week later as his shot selection deteriorated. His offensive rhythm flatlined during the 02/08 vs LAC game, where he posted a disastrous -14.0 Impact while scoring just a single point and failing to hit a single field goal. You can live with a role player running hot and cold, but his tendency to completely disappear offensively when his mechanics break down remains a glaring liability.

This late-season stretch was defined by extreme, almost maddening volatility from beyond the arc. DiVincenzo lived and died by the three-point line, acting as a chaotic variable who could single-handedly swing a game's momentum in either direction. On 03/20 vs POR, he managed to score 13 points, but he posted a dismal -9.8 impact score because the hidden cost of his atrocious 5-for-16 shooting completely stalled out the team's offensive rhythm. Yet, he occasionally salvaged his minutes when the jumper betrayed him. During the 03/13 vs GSW matchup, he scratched out a +1.7 impact score despite shooting a dismal 1-for-6 from deep, keeping plays alive with relentless hustle and grabbing six hard-fought rebounds. Conversely, when his mechanics were dialed in, his perimeter gravity changed the geometry of the court. He torched the defense on 03/05 vs TOR, hitting 4-of-6 from downtown to post a massive +14.7 impact score and blow the game wide open.

This late-season stretch was defined by a brutal, self-inflicted shooting slump where erratic perimeter chucking repeatedly torpedoed his team's offense. The floor-spacing completely collapsed on Mar 07 vs ORL, where he missed every single shot he took to post a dismal -17.7 impact score. Even when the shots occasionally fell, hidden costs dragged him into the red. Take Mar 25 vs HOU, where an over-reliance on the three-point shot yielded 17 points but still resulted in a -0.9 overall impact. His shot selection grew increasingly toxic down the stretch. During an Apr 03 vs PHI matchup, brutal perimeter decisions derailed offensive momentum and sparked long rebounds for the opposition, resulting in a staggering -19.0 impact score despite scoring 11 points. Ultimately, no amount of baseline hustle could mask the damage caused by a guard shooting his team out of games.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. DiVincenzo's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~6 points per game.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 40% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Defensive difference-maker. DiVincenzo consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +4.3, second-half: +0.6. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 9 games. Longest cold streak: 5 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 77 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

T. Hardaway Jr. 87.9 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 14.3%
PPP 0.1
PTS 9
A. Reaves 75.8 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 62.5%
PPP 0.22
PTS 17
C. Coward 68.5 poss
FG% 70.0%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.32
PTS 22
D. Garland 66.9 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.24
PTS 16
I. Quickley 66.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 62.5%
PPP 0.22
PTS 15
J. Champagnie 63.3 poss
FG% 30.0%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.13
PTS 8
C. Gillespie 59.0 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 3
Z. LaVine 57.2 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.16
PTS 9
J. Fears 55.1 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 14.3%
PPP 0.11
PTS 6
J. Murray 54.1 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.11
PTS 6

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

T. Hardaway Jr. 103.9 poss
FG% 77.8%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.21
PTS 22
C. Gillespie 70.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.18
PTS 13
A. Thompson 70.1 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 8
K. Dunn 69.3 poss
FG% 12.5%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.04
PTS 3
C. Coward 64.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 15
N. Powell 60.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 10
S. Mykhailiuk 60.2 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.13
PTS 8
D. Garland 57.2 poss
FG% 70.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.26
PTS 15
T. Camara 56.8 poss
FG% 36.4%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 10
J. Holiday 56.4 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 5

SEASON STATS

86
Games
12.1
PPG
4.1
RPG
3.8
APG
1.3
SPG
0.4
BPG
40.9
FG%
38.2
3P%
72.9
FT%
30.1
MPG

GAME LOG

86 games played