MIN

2025-26 Season

AYO DOSUNMU

Minnesota Timberwolves | Guard | 6-4
Ayo Dosunmu
15.0PPG
3.5RPG
3.6APG
27.6MPG
+4.2 Impact

Dosunmu produces at an above average rate for a 28-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+4.2
Scoring +14.0
Points Scored 15.0 PPG = +15.0
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -4.3
Shot Making above expected FG% = +3.3
Creation +1.0
Assists & Self-Creation 3.6 AST/g + self-creation = +1.0
Turnovers -3.2
Turnovers 1.4/g (live + dead blend) = -3.2
Defense +0.3
Steals 0.9/g = +2.1
Blocks 0.3/g = +0.3
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -2.1
Hustle & Effort +2.4
Rebounds 3.5 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +0.7
Contested Shots 3.1/g = +0.6
Deflections 1.0/g = +0.7
Charges Drawn 0.1/g = +0.1
Loose Balls 0.5/g = +0.3
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +14.5
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.3
Net Impact
+4.2
77th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 77th
15.0 PPG
Efficiency 92th
60.5% TS
Playmaking 68th
3.6 APG
Rebounding 65th
3.5 RPG
Defense 47th
+7.1/g
Hustle 73th
+11.3/g
Creation 64th
+3.24/g
Shot Making 84th
+8.98/g
TO Discipline 58th
0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Ayo Dosunmu’s first 24 games were defined by a turbulent identity crisis, bouncing between a hyper-efficient bench weapon and an overextended starter. When dialed in, his downhill attacking was lethal, peaking on 11/25 vs NOP when he poured in 28 points on 11-of-16 shooting to generate a massive +17.6 Impact. Yet, raw point totals often masked a lack of defensive discipline and careless ball security. Look no further than 11/17 vs UTA. He dropped 18 points on crisp shooting that night, but blown rotations and hidden mistakes dragged him down to a -6.0 Impact. Conversely, his true value often emerged when his shot volume dropped and his hustle revved up. During the 12/27 vs PHI matchup, Dosunmu managed just 8 points, but his relentless perimeter harassment and connective passing earned him a +2.5 Impact. He remains a wildly chaotic variable.

Ayo Dosunmu spent the middle of the winter transforming from a standard rotation guard into an absolute offensive flamethrower. He attacked defenses with ruthless efficiency. Look no further than the 01/11 vs DAL matchup, where he racked up 20 points and 8 assists on a pristine 7-for-9 from the floor. That brilliant shot selection and crisp playmaking fueled a massive +18.2 Impact score. Even when his jumper completely abandoned him on 12/30 vs MIN, he still scraped together a +1.7 Impact despite scoring just 10 points on a miserable 4-for-12 shooting night. He salvaged his value by crashing the glass for 6 rebounds and keeping the ball moving with 7 assists, generating positive momentum entirely through unselfish court vision and hustle plays. This relentless effort eventually forced him into the starting five on 01/31 vs MIA. He rewarded the promotion with a masterpiece, torching Miami for 29 points, 8 rebounds, and 9 assists to earn a +16.4 Impact by draining five threes and flawlessly orchestrating the offense.

A mid-March promotion to the starting lineup completely resurrected Ayo Dosunmu's season. While coming off the pine early in this stretch, he looked hesitant and actively dragged the second unit down on 02/20 vs DAL, forcing bad looks during a 5-point, 2-for-9 shooting night that yielded a brutal -12.8 impact score. Even when his jumper started falling, hidden costs ruined his overall value. He dropped a highly efficient 13 points on 6-of-8 shooting on 03/10 vs LAL, but a complete lack of playmaking and porous defense saddled him with a -3.7 impact. Everything flipped once he moved into the starting five. Given the keys to the offense, he exacted revenge on 03/30 vs DAL by orchestrating a brilliant triple-double with 18 points, 15 rebounds, and 12 assists. That monstrous +28.9 impact score stemmed directly from his relentless effort on the glass and unselfish passing, transforming him from a bench liability into a two-way engine.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Volatile for his role. Dosunmu has noticeable ups and downs, with scoring moving ~7 points between games.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 68% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Dosunmu consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Slight upward trend. First-half impact: +2.8, second-half: +5.6. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 11 games. Longest cold streak: 4 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 67 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

A. Thompson 50.6 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 5
S. Henderson 44.5 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 9
P. Larsson 42.9 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 6
K. Sanders 41.1 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 5
D. Bane 40.7 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 10
B. Mathurin 39.5 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.38
PTS 15
T. Maxey 38.0 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 3
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 10
D. Smith 37.4 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 6
J. Suggs 34.4 poss
FG% 16.7%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.09
PTS 3

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

D. Bane 56.8 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 15
E. Dëmin 52.9 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.06
PTS 3
V. Edgecombe 51.8 poss
FG% 22.2%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.1
PTS 5
A. Thompson 50.6 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 7
P. Larsson 48.3 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 6
T. Maxey 43.7 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 8
A. Black 41.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.02
PTS 1
T. Camara 41.5 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
S. Henderson 41.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
B. Mathurin 37.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 5

SEASON STATS

78
Games
15.0
PPG
3.5
RPG
3.6
APG
0.9
SPG
0.3
BPG
51.5
FG%
43.9
3P%
88.2
FT%
27.6
MPG

GAME LOG

78 games played