HOU

2025-26 Season

JOSH OKOGIE

Houston Rockets | Guard | 6-4
Josh Okogie
4.5PPG
2.5RPG
0.9APG
17.4MPG
-5.4 Impact

Okogie produces at an poor rate for a 17-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-5.4
Scoring +3.8
Points Scored 4.5 PPG = +4.5
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -1.8
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.1
Creation +0.4
Assists & Self-Creation 0.9 AST/g + self-creation = +0.4
Turnovers -1.2
Turnovers 0.5/g (live + dead blend) = -1.2
Defense +0.7
Steals 0.8/g = +1.8
Blocks 0.2/g = +0.2
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.3
Hustle & Effort +2.4
Rebounds 2.5 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +0.8
Contested Shots 1.6/g = +0.3
Deflections 1.4/g = +0.9
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.1
Loose Balls 0.6/g = +0.3
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +6.1
Baseline (game-average expected) −11.5
Net Impact
-5.4
20th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 10th
4.8 PPG
Efficiency 13th
46.6% TS
Playmaking 8th
0.9 APG
Rebounding 45th
2.6 RPG
Defense 58th
+7.6/g
Hustle 87th
+14.0/g
Creation 29th
+2.10/g
Shot Making 8th
+3.55/g
TO Discipline 88th
0.03/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Josh Okogie’s first 27 games were defined by a maddening inconsistency, bouncing between energetic sparkplug and outright liability after earning a starting role. Even when his shot was falling, hidden costs often ruined his nights. Look at the 10/29 vs TOR matchup, where he scored 10 points on highly efficient 4-for-5 shooting but still posted a dismal -6.5 Impact score because defensive lapses and empty possessions bled away his value. Conversely, he occasionally found ways to tilt the floor without an offensive rhythm. During the 11/25 vs PHX contest, Okogie shot a miserable 4-for-11 from the field for just 9 points, yet generated a +6.0 Impact score by crashing the glass for six rebounds and wreaking havoc with relentless hustle. Unfortunately, those gritty performances were frequently overshadowed by complete offensive disappearing acts. He logged a grueling 34 minutes in the 12/22 vs SAC game but managed a measly 3 points on 1-for-5 shooting, resulting in a brutal -14.3 Impact score as his poor shot selection actively stalled the offense.

Josh Okogie spent this mid-season stretch trapped in an offensive wasteland, bouncing erratically between spot starts and the deep bench. His utter lack of scoring gravity constantly crippled his value. The nadir arrived on 02/11 vs LAC. In a mere 10 minutes, he posted a lifeless zero points, zero rebounds, and zero assists, resulting in a disastrous -19.6 Impact score because his absolute invisibility allowed defenders to freely abandon him and swarm his teammates. Even when gifted heavy rotational minutes, his offensive limitations dragged down the entire unit. During a start on 01/17 vs MIN, he logged 33 minutes but managed a single point on 0-for-4 shooting, sinking to a -11.7 Impact score as his poor shot selection and inability to space the floor completely clogged the half-court offense. He did manage one fleeting moment of genuine utility on 01/29 vs ATL. Okogie racked up 10 points and 10 rebounds while hitting three triples, earning a rare +7.9 Impact score by finally pairing his relentless hustle with actual tangible production on the glass.

This late-season stretch for Josh Okogie was defined by prolonged offensive irrelevance punctuated by a desperate shift to the starting lineup. He actually opened the period looking like a dangerous spark plug on 02/25 vs SAC. Pouring in 14 points and grabbing seven rebounds, he generated a massive +11.4 Impact score because his red-hot perimeter shooting forced the defense to respect his spacing. But that rhythm evaporated almost immediately, reducing him to a complete non-factor who was actively hurting the team. Look no further than 03/02 vs WAS, where he posted a dismal -18.9 Impact score while offering literally zero points, rebounds, or assists in nine minutes of empty cardio. A sudden promotion to the starting five in April yielded one bright spot on 04/09 vs PHI. Despite scoring just nine points, Okogie earned a +9.7 Impact score because his relentless hustle yielded 11 critical rebounds that kept offensive possessions alive. Ultimately, a few gritty rebounding nights cannot salvage a rotation spot when your jumper is this completely broken.

Josh Okogie’s late-season stretch was defined by a jarring role change that ruthlessly exposed his offensive limitations. He initially thrived as a situational pest off the bench, locking down his primary assignment to post a +1.4 impact score despite scoring zero points on Mar 16 vs LAL. That relentless perimeter resistance eventually earned him a spot in the starting lineup. The promotion peaked on Apr 09 vs PHI, where he grabbed 11 rebounds and generated crucial second-chance opportunities on the glass for a massive +5.2 impact. However, the experiment crashed violently the very next night. Logging 27 minutes on Apr 10 vs MIN, Okogie suffered a catastrophic -11.9 impact score because his complete offensive futility—failing to hit a single field goal—allowed defenders to entirely ignore him and ruin the team's spacing. While his hustle remains valuable in microscopic doses, asking him to play heavy starter minutes is a clear recipe for offensive stagnation.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Okogie has posted negative impact in 77% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 58% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Okogie locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 2 games. Longest cold streak: 22 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 75 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

J. Murray 66.7 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 9
P. Pritchard 39.2 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.2
PTS 8
C. McCollum 35.3 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 3
C. Kispert 35.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Robinson 34.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
J. Champagnie 33.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
R. Westbrook 30.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Christie 30.5 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 8
J. Harden 30.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
I. Quickley 29.6 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 5

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Murray 66.7 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 16
C. Cunningham 45.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.04
PTS 2
P. Pritchard 42.5 poss
FG% 45.5%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 13
C. McCollum 41.3 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
D. Avdija 38.9 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 4
J. Harden 38.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
C. Flagg 38.1 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.37
PTS 14
T. Hardaway Jr. 31.7 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.19
PTS 6
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 5
D. Brooks 30.2 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 5

SEASON STATS

84
Games
4.5
PPG
2.5
RPG
0.9
APG
0.8
SPG
0.2
BPG
42.6
FG%
38.5
3P%
60.6
FT%
17.4
MPG

GAME LOG

84 games played