MIN

2025-26 Season

MIKE CONLEY

Minnesota Timberwolves | Guard | 6-1
Mike Conley
4.5PPG
1.7RPG
2.8APG
17.5MPG
-6.3 Impact

Conley produces at an poor rate for a 18-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-6.3
Scoring +3.8
Points Scored 4.5 PPG = +4.5
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -1.9
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.2
Creation +0.5
Assists & Self-Creation 2.8 AST/g + self-creation = +0.5
Turnovers -1.4
Turnovers 0.6/g (live + dead blend) = -1.4
Hustle & Effort +1.0
Rebounds 1.7 RPG (OREB + DREB) = -0.1
Contested Shots 1.6/g = +0.3
Deflections 0.8/g = +0.6
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.2/g = +0.1
Screen Assists 0.2/g = +0.1
Raw Impact +3.9
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.2
Net Impact
-6.3
12th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 11th
4.8 PPG
Efficiency 62th
55.8% TS
Playmaking 56th
3.0 APG
Rebounding 10th
1.7 RPG
Defense 39th
+6.5/g
Hustle 17th
+5.7/g
Creation 38th
+2.40/g
Shot Making 12th
+3.89/g
TO Discipline 82th
0.03/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Mike Conley's early season was defined by a jarring transition into a diminished, highly volatile bench role. When thrust into the starting lineup on 10/27 vs DEN, the veteran managed a +6.5 impact score while scoring just 10 points. His value that night came entirely from organizing the offense with four assists and providing a steadying defensive effort against a tough opponent. But that veteran magic was fleeting. Look at his spot start on 11/20 vs WAS, where he tallied a stretch-high 10 points and six assists but still posted a -0.2 impact score. The hidden cost was his brutal 1/4 shooting from the floor, which bogged down the half-court flow and completely negated his playmaking. Back in a reserve role on 11/22 vs PHX, he bottomed out with a dismal -12.6 impact score while managing just three points and a single assist. Father Time is undefeated, and Conley's inability to consistently generate clean looks is rapidly becoming a glaring liability.

Father Time seemed to finally catch up to Mike Conley during a brutal mid-season offensive slump that saw him struggle to stay effective off the bench. His jumper completely abandoned him on 12/05 vs NOP, where a dismal 1-for-7 shooting night—including five missed threes—yielded an abysmal -20.5 Impact score. Things barely improved on 12/09 vs PHX. He went completely scoreless on five attempts in that matchup, posting a -16.9 Impact score because his empty possessions and lack of scoring gravity routinely stalled the offense. He offered a fleeting glimpse of his vintage self on 12/22 vs MIL. Despite scoring just six points, Conley generated a +1.7 Impact score in that contest by grabbing five rebounds and dishing out six assists to brilliantly stabilize the second unit. Sadly, those steadying moments were rare exceptions in an otherwise bleak stretch of basketball. When an aging point guard stops hitting open shots, the hidden costs of his declining burst become impossible to ignore.

A brutal midseason shooting slump defined Mike Conley's mid-to-late season stretch, rendering the veteran point guard nearly unplayable for weeks at a time. Look at the 01/21 vs UTA game, where he logged zero points on 0-for-3 shooting in 16 minutes, resulting in a disastrous -15.8 Impact score as his inability to threaten the defense crippled the team's spacing. Moving him into the starting lineup didn't fix the issue. During the 01/27 vs GSW matchup, he missed all four of his shots to post a -7.3 Impact score, dragging down the first unit with his complete offensive disappearing act. He spent months tossing up zeroes before finally finding a pulse in the 04/02 vs DET game. Hitting four three-pointers for 14 points, Conley managed a rare +4.8 Impact score because his sudden perimeter accuracy actually forced defenders to respect his gravity again. Still, when a guard stops scoring entirely for long stretches, the hidden costs of broken offensive sets easily overwhelm whatever veteran savvy they bring to the floor.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Conley has posted negative impact in 91% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 30% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Average defender. Conley doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

In a rough stretch — 4 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 25 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 66 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. Jenkins 39.9 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.08
PTS 3
A. Thompson 35.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
J. Murray 32.8 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
D. Schröder 30.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
B. Williams 29.7 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
C. McCollum 27.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 3
K. Huerter 26.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
R. Dennis 22.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 2
C. Gillespie 22.7 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.13
PTS 3
K. George 22.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 3

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

D. Schröder 37.4 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 3
R. Sheppard 35.4 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 5
K. Huerter 32.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 10
A. Green 30.2 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.1
PTS 3
K. Knueppel 30.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Robinson 29.9 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 4
B. Williams 26.6 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 8
D. Jenkins 25.4 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.35
PTS 9
R. Westbrook 23.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 3
B. Brown 23.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 5

SEASON STATS

65
Games
4.5
PPG
1.7
RPG
2.8
APG
0.6
SPG
0.2
BPG
35.6
FG%
35.4
3P%
90.4
FT%
17.5
MPG

GAME LOG

65 games played