IND

2025-26 Season

T.J. MCCONNELL

Indiana Pacers | Guard | 6-1
T.J. McConnell
9.4 PPG
2.2 RPG
5.1 APG
17.2 MPG
+3.8 Impact

McConnell produces at an above average rate for a 17-minute workload.

NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+3.8
Scoring +6.4
Points 9.4 PPG × +1.00 = +9.4
Missed 2PT 3.1/g × -0.78 = -2.4
Missed 3PT 0.6/g × -0.87 = -0.5
Missed FT 0.1/g × -1.00 = -0.1
Creation +3.3
Assists 5.1/g × +0.50 = +2.5
Off. Rebounds 0.6/g × +1.26 = +0.8
Turnovers -2.1
Turnovers 1.1/g × -1.95 = -2.1
Defense +1.1
Steals 1.0/g × +2.30 = +2.3
Blocks 0.2/g × +0.90 = +0.2
Def. Rebounds 1.7/g × +0.30 = +0.5
Fouls Committed 2.5/g × -0.75 = -1.9
Hustle & Effort +3.2
Contested Shots 1.4/g × +0.20 = +0.3
Deflections 2.1/g × +0.65 = +1.4
Charges Drawn 0.1/g × +2.70 = +0.3
Loose Balls 0.6/g × +0.60 = +0.4
Off. Fouls Drawn 0.3/g uncredited × +2.70 = +0.8
Raw Impact +11.9
Baseline (game-average expected) −8.1
Net Impact
+3.8
94th pctl vs Guards

About this model: Net Impact can't measure floor spacing, help defense rotations, or playmaking gravity — so wings and guards are slightly undervalued vs bigs. How Net Impact works

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 235 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 50th
9.4 PPG
Efficiency 69th
57.3% TS
Playmaking 83th
5.1 APG
Rebounding 28th
2.2 RPG
Rim Protection 87th
0.17/min
Hustle 96th
0.17/min
Shot Creation 50th
0% pullup
TO Discipline 32th
0.07/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

T.J. McConnell spent the first twenty games of the 2025-26 season operating as an absolute wrecking ball off the bench, dictating tempo with a chaotic yet highly efficient brand of basketball. His peak arrived on 12/20 vs NOP, where he carved up the opposing backcourt with surgical mid-range execution to post a massive +16.6 impact score alongside 16 points and 8 assists in just 18 minutes. Points weren't always required for the veteran guard to tilt the floor. On 11/29 vs CHI, he scored just 8 points but generated a strong +6.0 impact score because his menacing full-court pressure and +3.0 hustle metric completely disrupted the opponent's offensive initiation. But his aggressive driving style carried inherent risks. During a rough outing on 12/08 vs SAC, uncharacteristic struggles finishing in the paint led to an ugly 2-for-9 shooting night, dragging his impact down to a dismal -8.8. When his push-shots fell, however, McConnell transformed into an elite backup floor general who completely hijacked the rhythm of the game.

Relentless pace manipulation and suffocating backcourt harassment defined this middle stretch of the season for T.J. McConnell. He operated as a one-man tempo controller off the bench, peaking brilliantly on 01/08 vs CHA. In that contest, aggressive downhill drives and stifling defense fueled a massive +16.3 impact score alongside his 23 points and 8 assists. Even when his shot volume dipped, McConnell found ways to tilt the floor. During the 02/06 vs MIL matchup, he scored just 8 points but still posted a stellar +7.5 impact because his surgical interior passing completely dismantled the defense without requiring a heavy scoring burden. However, his aggressive style occasionally backfired when his defensive execution slipped. On 01/04 vs ORL, he tallied a respectable 10 points and 5 assists, but a stark inability to contain ball-handlers at the point of attack resulted in a costly -3.6 impact score. Ultimately, his value hinged entirely on whether his frenetic energy generated backcourt chaos or yielded easy penetration for the opponent.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Volatile for his role. McConnell has noticeable ups and downs, with scoring moving ~5 points between games.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 68% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. McConnell consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Small downward trend. First-half impact: +5.1, second-half: +2.5. Not alarming yet, but trending the wrong direction.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 8 games. Longest cold streak: 3 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 62 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

J. Alvarado 53.9 poss
FG% 77.8%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 15
R. Rollins 47.2 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 6
B. Carrington 44.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 8
Q. Grimes 40.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 6
J. Richardson 36.9 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 8
J. Shead 36.8 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 6
C. McCollum 36.1 poss
FG% 46.2%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.39
PTS 14
J. Walsh 30.4 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 5
C. Porter Jr. 28.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.32
PTS 9
J. Clarkson 27.0 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 4

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

L. Kennard 54.4 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 10
J. Alvarado 53.8 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.19
PTS 10
R. Rollins 49.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 6
J. Richardson 44.1 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 6
Q. Grimes 41.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 8
C. Porter Jr. 40.2 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
J. Shead 35.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 6
A. Simons 34.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 5
B. Carrington 32.9 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 6
R. Sheppard 31.6 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 6

SEASON STATS

56
Games
9.4
PPG
2.2
RPG
5.1
APG
1.0
SPG
0.2
BPG
53.8
FG%
32.0
3P%
86.2
FT%
17.2
MPG

GAME LOG

56 games played