IND

2025-26 Season

T.J. MCCONNELL

Indiana Pacers | Guard | 6-1
T.J. McConnell
9.4PPG
2.2RPG
5.1APG
17.2MPG
0.0 Impact

McConnell produces at an average rate for a 17-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+0.0
Scoring +9.2
Points Scored 9.4 PPG = +9.4
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -2.6
Shot Making above expected FG% = +2.4
Creation +0.8
Assists & Self-Creation 5.1 AST/g + self-creation = +0.8
Turnovers -2.6
Turnovers 1.1/g (live + dead blend) = -2.6
Defense +1.3
Steals 1.0/g = +2.3
Blocks 0.2/g = +0.2
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.2
Hustle & Effort +1.4
Rebounds 2.2 RPG (OREB + DREB) = -0.8
Contested Shots 1.4/g = +0.3
Deflections 2.0/g = +1.3
Charges Drawn 0.1/g = +0.2
Loose Balls 0.6/g = +0.4
Screen Assists 0.1/g = +0.0
Raw Impact +10.1
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.1
Net Impact
+0.0
60th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 246 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 50th
9.4 PPG
Efficiency 73th
57.3% TS
Playmaking 83th
5.1 APG
Rebounding 27th
2.2 RPG
Defense 58th
+7.6/g
Hustle 41th
+7.9/g
Creation 81th
+4.03/g
Shot Making 40th
+5.89/g
TO Discipline 32th
0.07/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

T.J. McConnell’s early season was defined by a drastic mid-November course correction. He began the year as an erratic offensive liability. During his initial slump on 11/12 vs UTA, he scored 12 points but posted a -1.8 Impact score because he settled for empty jumpers and managed just a single assist. He quickly recalibrated. Instead of hunting his own shot, he leaned into facilitating and defensive tenacity, which paid off beautifully on 11/30 vs CHI. Despite scoring just eight points in that matchup, McConnell generated a +6.3 Impact by dishing out six assists and suffocating opposing guards. By the time he suited up on 12/21 vs NOP, the veteran was operating at absolute peak efficiency. He carved up the Pelicans for 16 points and eight assists on 8-for-10 shooting, earning a massive +15.4 Impact score through relentless hustle and flawless offensive execution.

T.J. McConnell’s midseason stretch was defined by erratic swings, where his trademark frantic energy frequently bled into costly inefficiency. He hit his absolute ceiling on 01/09 vs CHA, erupting for 23 points and eight assists in 28 minutes. That night, his relentless rim pressure and crisp 10-for-17 shooting yielded a staggering +22.2 Impact, a stark reminder of what happens when his aggressive shot selection actually pays off. Conversely, his scoring bursts sometimes masked deeper flaws, like on 01/04 vs ORL. Despite an efficient 10 points on 5-for-9 shooting, he posted a -4.6 Impact because his porous defense and careless turnovers surrendered easy transition buckets. He was actually much more valuable on quieter nights like 01/15 vs TOR. Though he scored just eight points, his relentless hustle and careful orchestration of the second-unit offense resulted in a +2.9 Impact.

This mid-season stretch was defined by a jarring identity crisis, exposing the stark contrast between McConnell's struggles as a spot starter and his lethal efficiency off the bench. When thrust into the opening lineup on 03/15 vs MIL, he dished out a flashy 11 assists in 28 minutes of action. Despite those gaudy passing numbers, his dismal 3-for-10 shooting dragged his impact score down to a brutal -7.6, as his inability to score efficiently allowed the defense to sag off and stall the broader offense. Returning to his natural reserve role late in the month cured his woes instantly. On 03/23 vs ORL, he posted a flawless 6-for-6 shooting night for 13 points, generating a stellar +10.5 impact because his pristine shot selection kept the offense humming without a single wasted possession. He was even better on 03/25 vs LAL, carving up the defense for 17 points on 8-of-10 from the floor to earn a massive +12.3 impact score. By pairing ruthless efficiency with relentless downhill pressure, McConnell made it clear that his frenetic energy is best weaponized in concentrated bursts against opposing second units.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. McConnell's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~5 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 68% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games McConnell locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +1.8, second-half: -1.7. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 6 games. Longest cold streak: 5 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 62 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

J. Alvarado 53.9 poss
FG% 77.8%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 15
R. Rollins 47.2 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 6
B. Carrington 44.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 8
Q. Grimes 40.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 6
J. Richardson 36.9 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 8
J. Shead 36.8 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 6
C. McCollum 36.1 poss
FG% 46.2%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.39
PTS 14
J. Walsh 30.4 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 5
C. Porter Jr. 28.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.32
PTS 9
J. Clarkson 27.0 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 4

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

L. Kennard 54.4 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 10
J. Alvarado 53.8 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.19
PTS 10
R. Rollins 49.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 6
J. Richardson 44.1 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 6
Q. Grimes 41.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 8
C. Porter Jr. 40.2 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
J. Shead 35.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 6
A. Simons 34.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 5
B. Carrington 32.9 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 6
R. Sheppard 31.6 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 6

SEASON STATS

56
Games
9.4
PPG
2.2
RPG
5.1
APG
1.0
SPG
0.2
BPG
53.8
FG%
32.0
3P%
86.2
FT%
17.2
MPG

GAME LOG

56 games played